UEFA Nations League

Romania vs Bosnia and Herzegovina Odds Movement Analysis | UEFA Nations League | 168 Tips

RomaniaRomania
VS
Bosnia and HerzegovinaBosnia and Herzegovina
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-09-28 20:57:22
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 7.69 -0.25 0.01
Over Under 7.69 6.5 0.01
Europe 2.51 | 3.23 | 2.86
Probability 37.7% | 29.3% | 33.1%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
European Odds, Implied Probability both indicate movement toward the away side. Evidence Label: 2.08 → 2.51
Market State Agreement
Mixed
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
🔴 Home price up ★★★★★🔴 Home win prob. down ★★★☆☆🟢 Total up ★★★★★
Supporting Signals Title
Home price up2.08 → 2.512026-09-28 19:22:15★★★★★Home win prob. down44.9 → 37.672026-09-28 19:22:15★★★☆☆
Independent Market Signals Title
Total up2.5 → 4.52026-09-28 19:22:15★★★★★
Strength Label ★★★★★ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-09-28 20:57:22

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Key Movements Title

5
09-28 19:22Home price up★★★★★Key Movement Line09-28 19:22Away price down★★★★★Key Movement Line09-28 16:03Home price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line09-28 12:52Home price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line09-28 16:03Away price down★★★★☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe main handicap line was stable, with a change in the away-side water.
History Title
09-24 21:480.79 -0.25 1.03Opening
09-28 20:577.69 -0.25 0.01Home Water Up
0.013.857.691712Home WaterAway Water-0.25
Timeline Title
09-24 21:48 Opening
-0.25
09-28 20:57
-0.25
09-28 20:57 Latest
-0.25
12
Record Count
1
Change Count
0
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe observed total line moved notably higher.
History Title
09-24 21:481.00 2.5 0.80Opening
09-28 12:520.82 2/2.5 1.06Down Line
09-28 16:030.99 2/2.5 0.89Over Water Up
09-28 19:220.80 4.5 1.07Up Line
09-28 20:577.69 6.5 0.01Up Line
0.013.857.691712OverUnder6.5
Timeline Title
09-24 21:48 Opening
2.5（1.00 / 0.80）
09-28 12:52
2/2.5（0.82 / 1.06）
09-28 16:03
2/2.5（0.99 / 0.89）
09-28 19:22
4.5（0.80 / 1.07）
09-28 20:57
6.5（7.69 / 0.01）
09-28 20:57 Latest
6.5（7.69 / 0.01）
12
Record Count
4
Change Count
2
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home-win price moved up materially from the opening observation.
History Title
09-24 21:482.08 / 3.37 / 3.41Opening
09-28 12:522.36 / 3.30 / 3.02Away Odds Down
09-28 19:222.51 / 3.23 / 2.86Home Odds Up
09-28 20:572.51 / 3.23 / 2.86No Change
2.082.753.411712HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
09-24 21:48 Opening
2.08 / 3.37 / 3.41
09-28 12:52
2.36 / 3.30 / 3.02
09-28 19:22
2.51 / 3.23 / 2.86
09-28 20:57 Latest
2.51 / 3.23 / 2.86
12
Record Count
2
Change Count
1
Home Odds Change
1
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleA noticeable downward change in home implied probability was recorded.
History Title
09-24 21:4844.9% / 27.7% / 27.4%Opening
09-28 20:5737.7% / 29.3% / 33.1%No Change
27.436.144.91712Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
09-24 21:48 Opening
44.90%
09-28 20:57 Latest
37.67%
12
Record Count
0
Change Count
-7.23%
Home Prob Cumulative
±1.92%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
09-28 19:22
🟢Away win prob. up★★★☆☆
Away win probability increased by 5.67 points to 33.06% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-28 19:22
🔴Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 7.23 points to 37.67% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-28 19:22
🟢Away price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 3.41 to 2.86 (-16.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-28 19:22
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 2.08 to 2.51 (+20.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-28 19:22
🟢Total up★★★★★
O/U line surged from 2.5 to 4.5, up 2.0 goals from opening - goal expectation surging strongly.
09-28 16:03
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 4.03 points to 31.42% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-28 16:03
🔴Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 5.33 points to 39.57% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-28 16:03
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.41 to 3.01 (-11.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-28 16:03
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 2.08 to 2.39 (+14.9%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-28 16:03
🔴Total down★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 2.5 to 2/2.5, down 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly lower.
09-28 12:52
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.91 points to 31.3% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-28 12:52
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 4.85 points to 40.05% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-28 12:52
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.41 to 3.02 (-11.4%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-28 12:52
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 2.08 to 2.36 (+13.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-28 09:48
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.12 points to 29.51% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-28 09:48
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.93 points to 41.97% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-28 09:48
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.41 to 3.2 (-6.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-28 09:48
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.08 to 2.25 (+8.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-28 05:39
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.08 to 2.18 (+4.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-28 05:39
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.41 to 3.29 (-3.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-28 02:37
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.08 to 2.17 (+4.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-27 14:06
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.41 to 3.27 (-4.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-27 01:54
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.41 to 3.28 (-3.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-27 01:54
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.08 to 2.16 (+3.9%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-26 13:46
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.41 to 3.29 (-3.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-26 13:46
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.08 to 2.15 (+3.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
09-24 21:48
Opening RecordOpening Short
09-28 12:52
Over Under Down LineOver Under
09-28 12:52
Europe Away Odds DownEurope
09-28 16:03
Over Under Over Water UpOver Under
09-28 19:22
Over Under Up LineOver Under
09-28 19:22
Europe Home Odds UpEurope
09-28 20:57
Handicap Home Water UpHandicap
09-28 20:57
Over Under Up LineOver Under

Overview Stats Title

1
Handicap Changes
4
Ou Changes
2
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
12
Total Records
5Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status　·　Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
09-24
09-25
09-26
09-27
09-28
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