UEFA Nations League

Belgium vs France Odds Movement Analysis | UEFA Nations League | 168 Tips

Belgium
VS
FranceFrance
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-09-28 20:56:09
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.02 +0.25 7.69
Over Under 7.14 1.5 0.03
Europe 3.24 | 3.67 | 2.13
Probability 29.4% | 25.9% | 44.7%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
The core directional markets are aligned toward the home side.
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe
Market State Evidence
1
Market Signals Title
Strength Label ★★★☆☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-09-28 20:56:09

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Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap moved up one step from the previous observation.
History Title
09-24 21:470.94 +0.5 0.88Opening
09-25 16:300.82 +0.75 1.00Down Line
09-26 13:451.00 +0.5 0.82Up Line
09-28 17:481.01 +0.25 0.88Up Line
09-28 20:560.02 +0.25 7.69home_water_down
0.023.857.691712Home WaterAway Water+0.25
Timeline Title
09-24 21:47 Opening
+0.5
09-25 16:30
+0.75
09-26 13:45
+0.5
09-28 17:48
+0.25
09-28 20:56
+0.25
09-28 20:56 Latest
+0.25
12
Record Count
4
Change Count
2
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe Over/Under line moved down materially from the opening position.
History Title
09-24 21:470.86 2.5/3 0.94Opening
09-25 16:300.98 3 0.82Up Line
09-26 13:450.79 3 1.01Over Water Down
09-28 17:480.81 2.5/3 1.07Down Line
09-28 20:567.14 1.5 0.03Down Line
0.033.587.141712OverUnder1.5
Timeline Title
09-24 21:47 Opening
2.5/3(0.86 / 0.94)
09-25 16:30
3(0.98 / 0.82)
09-26 13:45
3(0.79 / 1.01)
09-28 17:48
2.5/3(0.81 / 1.07)
09-28 20:56
1.5(7.14 / 0.03)
09-28 20:56 Latest
1.5(7.14 / 0.03)
12
Record Count
4
Change Count
1
Up Count
2
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleA small downward change in the home-win price was recorded.
History Title
09-24 21:473.60 / 3.66 / 1.92Opening
09-25 16:303.86 / 3.85 / 1.82Home Odds Up
09-26 13:453.60 / 3.94 / 1.87Home Odds Down
09-28 17:483.50 / 3.75 / 2.01Home Odds Down
09-28 20:563.24 / 3.67 / 2.13Home Odds Down
1.822.883.941712HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
09-24 21:47 Opening
3.60 / 3.66 / 1.92
09-25 16:30
3.86 / 3.85 / 1.82
09-26 13:45
3.60 / 3.94 / 1.87
09-28 17:48
3.50 / 3.75 / 2.01
09-28 20:56
3.24 / 3.67 / 2.13
09-28 20:56 Latest
3.24 / 3.67 / 2.13
12
Record Count
4
Change Count
4
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleA small upward change in home implied probability was recorded.
History Title
09-24 21:4725.9% / 25.5% / 48.6%Opening
09-28 20:5629.4% / 25.9% / 44.7%No Change
23.837.651.41712Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
09-24 21:47 Opening
25.92%
09-28 20:56 Latest
29.38%
12
Record Count
0
Change Count
+3.46%
Home Prob Cumulative
±2.69%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
09-28 17:48
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.92 to 2.01 (+4.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-28 17:48
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from -0.5 to 0/0.5, up 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward home side.
09-28 14:46
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.43 points to 51.02% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-28 14:46
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 3.6 to 3.87 (+7.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-28 14:46
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.92 to 1.86 (-3.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-28 14:46
🟢Total up★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 2.5/3 to 3, up 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly higher.
09-28 11:45
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 3.6 to 3.82 (+6.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-28 11:45
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.33 points to 50.92% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-28 08:38
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 3.6 to 3.81 (+5.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-28 05:34
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 3.6 to 3.71 (+3.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-25 16:30
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.84 points to 51.43% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-25 16:30
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.92 to 1.82 (-5.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-25 16:30
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 3.6 to 3.86 (+7.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-25 16:30
🔴Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from -0.5 to -0.5/-1, down 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward away side.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
09-24 21:47
Opening RecordOpening Short
09-25 16:30
Handicap Down LineHandicap
09-25 16:30
Over Under Up LineOver Under
09-25 16:30
Europe Home Odds UpEurope
09-26 13:45
Handicap Up LineHandicap
09-26 13:45
Over Under Over Water DownOver Under
09-26 13:45
Europe Home Odds DownEurope
09-28 17:48
Handicap Up LineHandicap
09-28 17:48
Over Under Down LineOver Under
09-28 17:48
Europe Home Odds DownEurope
09-28 20:56
Handicap home_water_downHandicap
09-28 20:56
Over Under Down LineOver Under
09-28 20:56
Europe Home Odds DownEurope

Overview Stats Title

4
Handicap Changes
4
Ou Changes
4
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
12
Total Records
5Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status · Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
09-24
09-25
09-26
09-27
09-28