UEFA Nations League

Georgia vs Ukraine Odds Movement Analysis | UEFA Nations League | 168 Tips

GeorgiaGeorgia
VS
UkraineUkraine
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-09-28 18:13:59
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 7.14 -0.25 0.02
Over Under 7.14 0.5 0.02
Europe 2.28 | 3.24 | 3.26
Probability 41.6% | 29.3% | 29.1%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Three core directional markets show the same home-side direction. Evidence Label: 2.62 → 2.28
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe · Probability
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
🟢 Handicap up ★☆☆☆☆🟢 Home price down ★★★★☆🟢 Home win prob. up ★★★☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Handicap up0 → -0.252026-09-28 16:02:14★☆☆☆☆Home price down2.62 → 2.282026-09-28 16:02:14★★★★☆Home win prob. up35.59 → 41.612026-09-28 16:02:14★★★☆☆
Strength Label ★★★★☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-09-28 18:13:59

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Key Movements Title

5
09-28 16:02Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line09-28 16:02Home price down★★★★☆Key Movement Line09-28 16:02Away win prob. down★★★☆☆Key Movement Line09-28 16:02Home win prob. up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line09-28 12:52Home price up★★☆☆☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleA small upward handicap change was recorded.
History Title
09-24 21:460.92 0 0.90Opening
09-28 16:020.85 -0.25 1.03Up Line
09-28 18:137.14 -0.25 0.02Home Water Up
0.023.587.141712Home WaterAway Water-0.25
Timeline Title
09-24 21:46 Opening
0
09-28 16:02
-0.25
09-28 18:13
-0.25
09-28 18:13 Latest
-0.25
12
Record Count
2
Change Count
1
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleA larger downward change in the total-goals line was recorded.
History Title
09-24 21:460.84 2/2.5 0.96Opening
09-28 16:021.03 2.5/3 0.84Up Line
09-28 18:137.14 0.5 0.02Down Line
0.023.587.141712OverUnder0.5
Timeline Title
09-24 21:46 Opening
2/2.5（0.84 / 0.96）
09-28 16:02
2.5/3（1.03 / 0.84）
09-28 18:13
0.5（7.14 / 0.02）
09-28 18:13 Latest
0.5（7.14 / 0.02）
12
Record Count
2
Change Count
1
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home-win price moved down noticeably from the opening observation.
History Title
09-24 21:462.62 / 3.22 / 2.63Opening
09-28 16:022.28 / 3.24 / 3.26Home Odds Down
09-28 18:132.28 / 3.24 / 3.26No Change
2.282.773.261712HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
09-24 21:46 Opening
2.62 / 3.22 / 2.63
09-28 16:02
2.28 / 3.24 / 3.26
09-28 18:13 Latest
2.28 / 3.24 / 3.26
12
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleThe home implied probability increased noticeably from the opening observation.
History Title
09-24 21:4635.6% / 29.0% / 35.5%Opening
09-28 16:0241.6% / 29.3% / 29.1%Home Prob Up
09-28 18:1341.6% / 29.3% / 29.1%No Change
29.035.341.61712Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
09-24 21:46 Opening
35.59%
09-28 16:02
41.61%
09-28 18:13 Latest
41.61%
12
Record Count
1
Change Count
+6.02%
Home Prob Cumulative
±6.75%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
★★★★★

Title

Count Suffix
09-28 16:02
🔴Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 6.35 points to 29.1% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-28 16:02
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 6.02 points to 41.61% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-28 16:02
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 2.63 to 3.26 (+23.9%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-28 16:02
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.62 to 2.28 (-13.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-28 16:02
🟢Total up★★★☆☆
O/U line moved from 2/2.5 to 2.5/3, up 0.5 goals from opening - goal expectation rising notably.
09-28 16:02
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 0 to 0/0.5, up 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward home side.
09-28 12:52
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.63 to 2.71 (+3.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-28 12:52
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.62 to 2.71 (+3.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-28 06:18
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.62 to 2.7 (+3.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
09-24 21:46
Opening RecordOpening Short
09-28 16:02
Handicap Up LineHandicap
09-28 16:02
Over Under Up LineOver Under
09-28 16:02
Europe Home Odds DownEurope
09-28 16:02
Prob Change PrefixHome Prob UpProbability
09-28 18:13
Handicap Home Water UpHandicap
09-28 18:13
Over Under Down LineOver Under

Overview Stats Title

2
Handicap Changes
2
Ou Changes
1
Odds Changes
1
Prob Changes
12
Total Records
5Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status　·　Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
09-24
09-25
09-26
09-27
09-28
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