12
Record Count
UEFA Nations League
Hungary
Northern Ireland vs Hungary Odds Movement Analysis | UEFA Nations League | 168 Tips
Northern Ireland
VS
Hungary
Pre Match High Freq
Until Kickoff
Snapshot Title
Snapshot Latest
Handicap
7.69 -0.25 0.01
Over Under
7.69 0.5 0.01
Europe
2.84 | 2.93 | 2.74
Probability
33.3% | 32.2% | 34.5%
Signal Summary Title
Market State Title: Market State MovingMarket Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Three core directional markets show the same home-side direction. Evidence Label: 3.29 → 2.84
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe · Probability
Market State Evidence
4
Market Signals Title
Supporting Signals Title
Independent Market Signals Title
Strength Label ★★★★☆
Core market signals point in the same direction.
Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq
Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff
Market State Latest: 2026-09-28 20:56:57
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Key Movements Title
5Handicap
OfComment TitleTwo upward handicap changes were recorded over the observed period.
History Title
09-24 21:480.89 +0.25 0.93Opening
09-26 13:460.94 0 0.88Up Line
09-28 05:391.07 0 0.82Home Water Up
09-28 19:030.81 0 1.07home_water_down
09-28 20:567.69 -0.25 0.01Up Line
Timeline Title
09-24 21:48 Opening
+0.25
09-26 13:46
0
09-28 05:39
0
09-28 19:03
0
09-28 20:56
-0.25
09-28 20:56 Latest
-0.25
4
Change Count
2
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★Over Under
OfComment TitleA larger downward change in the total-goals line was recorded.
History Title
09-24 21:480.84 2 0.96Opening
09-28 19:030.99 1.5/2 0.88Down Line
09-28 20:567.69 0.5 0.01Down Line
Timeline Title
09-24 21:48 Opening
2（0.84 / 0.96）
09-28 19:03
1.5/2（0.99 / 0.88）
09-28 20:56
0.5（7.69 / 0.01）
09-28 20:56 Latest
0.5（7.69 / 0.01）
12
Record Count
2
Change Count
0
Up Count
2
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★Europe
OfComment TitleThe home 1X2 price decreased by a moderate amount.
History Title
09-24 21:483.29 / 3.11 / 2.24Opening
09-26 13:462.69 / 3.01 / 2.74Home Odds Down
09-28 20:562.84 / 2.93 / 2.74No Change
Timeline Title
09-24 21:48 Opening
3.29 / 3.11 / 2.24
09-26 13:46
2.69 / 3.01 / 2.74
09-28 20:56 Latest
2.84 / 2.93 / 2.74
12
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★Probability
OfComment TitleA small upward change in home implied probability was recorded.
History Title
09-24 21:4828.4% / 30.0% / 41.6%Opening
09-26 13:4634.8% / 31.1% / 34.1%Home Prob Up
09-28 20:5633.3% / 32.2% / 34.5%No Change
Timeline Title
09-24 21:48 Opening
28.36%
09-26 13:46
34.78%
09-28 20:56 Latest
33.27%
12
Record Count
1
Change Count
+4.91%
Home Prob Cumulative
±6.10%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
★★★★★Title
Count Suffix09-28 19:03
Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 7.17 points to 34.48% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-28 19:03
Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.91 points to 33.27% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-28 19:03
Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 2.24 to 2.74 (+22.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-28 19:03
Home price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.29 to 2.84 (-13.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-28 19:03
Total down★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 2 to 1.5/2, down 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly lower.
09-28 19:03
Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 0/0.5 to 0, up 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward home side.
09-28 16:02
Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 5.97 points to 35.68% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-28 16:02
Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.02 points to 32.38% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-28 16:02
Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 2.24 to 2.65 (+18.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-28 16:02
Home price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.29 to 2.92 (-11.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-28 12:52
Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 6.14 points to 35.51% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-28 12:52
Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.55 points to 32.91% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-28 12:52
Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 2.24 to 2.66 (+18.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-28 12:52
Home price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.29 to 2.87 (-12.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-28 05:39
Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 6.07 points to 35.58% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-28 05:39
Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.84 points to 33.2% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-28 05:39
Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 2.24 to 2.65 (+18.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-28 05:39
Home price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.29 to 2.84 (-13.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-28 02:33
Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 7.41 points to 34.24% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-28 02:33
Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 6.13 points to 34.49% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-28 02:33
Home price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 3.29 to 2.73 (-17.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-28 02:33
Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 2.24 to 2.75 (+22.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-27 14:05
Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 7.55 points to 34.1% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-27 14:05
Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 6.5 points to 34.86% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-27 14:05
Home price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 3.29 to 2.69 (-18.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-27 01:54
Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 7.68 points to 33.97% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-27 01:54
Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 6.62 points to 34.98% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-27 01:54
Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 2.24 to 2.76 (+23.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-27 01:54
Home price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 3.29 to 2.68 (-18.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-26 13:46
Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 7.51 points to 34.14% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-26 13:46
Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 6.42 points to 34.78% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-26 13:46
Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 2.24 to 2.74 (+22.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-26 13:46
Home price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 3.29 to 2.69 (-18.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
Overview Title
Overview All Modules09-24 21:48
Opening RecordOpening Short
09-26 13:46
Handicap Up LineHandicap
09-26 13:46
Europe Home Odds DownEurope
09-26 13:46
Prob Change PrefixHome Prob UpProbability
09-28 05:39
Handicap Home Water UpHandicap
09-28 19:03
Handicap home_water_downHandicap
09-28 19:03
Over Under Down LineOver Under
09-28 20:56
Handicap Up LineHandicap
09-28 20:56
Over Under Down LineOver Under
Overview Stats Title
4
Handicap Changes
2
Ou Changes
1
Odds Changes
1
Prob Changes
12
Total Records
5Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status · Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
09-24
09-25
09-26
09-27
09-28