UEFA Nations League

Turkey vs Italy Odds Movement Analysis | UEFA Nations League | 168 Tips

TurkeyTurkey
VS
ItalyItaly
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-09-28 20:56:32
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 7.69 -0.25 0.02
Over Under 7.69 5.5 0.02
Europe — | — | —
Probability — | — | —

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Only Handicap currently shows a home side direction.
Market State Agreement
Insufficient
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe
Market State Evidence
1
Market Signals Title
🟢 Total up ★★★★★
Independent Market Signals Title
Total up2.5 → 2.5/32026-09-28 18:45:12★★★★★
Strength Label ★☆☆☆☆ There is not enough cross-market movement for a directional summary. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-09-28 20:56:32

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Key Movements Title

5
09-28 02:33Away price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line09-28 02:33Home price down★★★☆☆Key Movement Line09-27 14:05Away price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line09-27 14:05Home price down★★★☆☆Key Movement Line09-28 05:34Away price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleA small upward handicap change was recorded.
History Title
09-24 21:470.98 0 0.84Opening
09-28 18:450.80 +0.25 1.09Down Line
09-28 20:567.69 -0.25 0.02Up Line
0.023.857.691712Home WaterAway Water-0.25
Timeline Title
09-24 21:47 Opening
0
09-28 18:45
+0.25
09-28 20:56
-0.25
09-28 20:56 Latest
-0.25
12
Record Count
2
Change Count
1
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe observed total line moved notably higher.
History Title
09-24 21:470.90 2.5 0.90Opening
09-26 13:450.95 2.5/3 0.85Up Line
09-28 11:451.03 3 0.85Up Line
09-28 18:450.90 2.5/3 0.98Down Line
09-28 20:567.69 5.5 0.02Up Line
0.023.857.691712OverUnder5.5
Timeline Title
09-24 21:47 Opening
2.5（0.90 / 0.90）
09-26 13:45
2.5/3（0.95 / 0.85）
09-28 11:45
3（1.03 / 0.85）
09-28 18:45
2.5/3（0.90 / 0.98）
09-28 20:56
5.5（7.69 / 0.02）
09-28 20:56 Latest
5.5（7.69 / 0.02）
12
Record Count
4
Change Count
3
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleNo significant 1X2 price movement recorded yet.
History Title
09-24 21:472.79 / 3.34 / 2.42Opening
09-28 18:452.83 / 3.43 / 2.43Home Odds Up
09-28 20:56— / — / —No Change
2.422.973.531712HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
09-24 21:47 Opening
2.79 / 3.34 / 2.42
09-28 18:45
2.83 / 3.43 / 2.43
09-28 20:56 Latest
— / — / —
12
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleNo significant win-probability movement recorded yet.
History Title
09-24 21:4733.5% / 27.9% / 38.6%Opening
09-28 20:56— / — / —No Change
26.832.939.01712Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
09-24 21:47 Opening
33.46%
09-28 20:56 Latest
—
12
Record Count
0
Change Count
+0.00%
Home Prob Cumulative
±1.82%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
09-28 18:45
🟢Total up★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 2.5 to 2.5/3, up 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly higher.
09-28 18:45
🔴Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 0 to 0/0.5, down 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward away side.
09-28 15:21
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.42 to 2.5 (+3.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-28 15:21
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.79 to 2.68 (-3.9%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-28 15:21
🟢Total up★★★☆☆
O/U line moved from 2.5 to 3, up 0.5 goals from opening - goal expectation rising notably.
09-28 11:45
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.0 points to 35.46% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-28 11:45
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.42 to 2.51 (+3.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-28 11:45
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.79 to 2.67 (-4.3%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-28 08:39
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.42 to 2.53 (+4.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-28 08:39
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.79 to 2.68 (-3.9%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-28 08:39
🟢Total up★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 2.5 to 2.5/3, up 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly higher.
09-28 05:34
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.33 points to 35.79% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-28 05:34
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.42 to 2.56 (+5.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-28 05:34
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.79 to 2.64 (-5.4%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-28 02:33
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.34 points to 36.24% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-28 02:33
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.92 points to 36.38% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-28 02:33
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.42 to 2.6 (+7.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-28 02:33
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.79 to 2.59 (-7.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-27 14:05
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.44 points to 35.9% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-27 14:05
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.42 to 2.57 (+6.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-27 14:05
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.79 to 2.62 (-6.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-27 01:53
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.42 to 2.52 (+4.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-27 01:53
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.79 to 2.67 (-4.3%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-26 13:45
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.42 to 2.51 (+3.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
09-24 21:47
Opening RecordOpening Short
09-26 13:45
Over Under Up LineOver Under
09-28 11:45
Over Under Up LineOver Under
09-28 18:45
Handicap Down LineHandicap
09-28 18:45
Over Under Down LineOver Under
09-28 18:45
Europe Home Odds UpEurope
09-28 20:56
Handicap Up LineHandicap
09-28 20:56
Over Under Up LineOver Under

Overview Stats Title

2
Handicap Changes
4
Ou Changes
1
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
12
Total Records
5Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status　·　Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
09-24
09-25
09-26
09-27
09-28
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