UEFA Nations League

Slovakia vs Moldova Odds Movement Analysis | UEFA Nations League | 168 Tips

SlovakiaSlovakia
VS
MoldovaMoldova
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-09-26 21:24:10
Finished Kicked Off

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 6.25 -0.25 0.04
Over Under 6.66 2.5 0.03
Europe 1.16 | 7.22 | 17.02
Probability 81.4% | 13.1% | 5.5%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Conflicted
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Core directional signals are split between Implied Probability and Handicap. Evidence Label: -1.75 → -0.25
Market State Agreement
Conflicting
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe · Probability
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
Strength Label ★★★★★ Signals are split across markets. Live Monitoring Label: Finished Time To Kickoff Label: Kicked Off Market State Latest: 2026-09-26 21:24:10

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap moved down by three or more tiers from the opening position.
History Title
09-24 21:410.79 -1.75 1.03Opening
09-26 13:361.05 -2.25 0.84Up Line
09-26 20:121.08 -0.75 0.80Down Line
09-26 21:246.25 -0.25 0.04Down Line
0.043.156.25146Home WaterAway Water-0.25
Timeline Title
09-24 21:41 Opening
-1.75
09-26 13:36
-2.25
09-26 20:12
-0.75
09-26 21:24
-0.25
09-26 21:24 Latest
-0.25
6
Record Count
3
Change Count
1
Up Count
2
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe Over/Under line moved down slightly from the previous observation.
History Title
09-24 21:410.80 2.5/3 1.00Opening
09-26 13:360.99 3 0.89Up Line
09-26 21:246.66 2.5 0.03Down Line
0.033.356.66146OverUnder2.5
Timeline Title
09-24 21:41 Opening
2.5/3(0.80 / 1.00)
09-26 13:36
3(0.99 / 0.89)
09-26 21:24
2.5(6.66 / 0.03)
09-26 21:24 Latest
2.5(6.66 / 0.03)
6
Record Count
2
Change Count
1
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleNo significant 1X2 price movement recorded yet.
History Title
09-24 21:411.20 / 6.20 / 13.09Opening
09-26 13:361.15 / 7.31 / 17.98Away Odds Up
09-26 16:491.14 / 7.65 / 19.53Away Odds Up
09-26 20:121.16 / 7.22 / 17.02Away Odds Down
09-26 21:241.16 / 7.22 / 17.02No Change
1.1410.319.5146HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
09-24 21:41 Opening
1.20 / 6.20 / 13.09
09-26 13:36
1.15 / 7.31 / 17.98
09-26 16:49
1.14 / 7.65 / 19.53
09-26 20:12
1.16 / 7.22 / 17.02
09-26 21:24 Latest
1.16 / 7.22 / 17.02
6
Record Count
3
Change Count
0
Home Odds Change
3
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleThe home implied probability increased slightly from the opening observation.
History Title
09-24 21:4177.8% / 15.1% / 7.1%Opening
09-26 13:3681.9% / 12.9% / 5.2%Home Prob Up
09-26 21:2481.4% / 13.1% / 5.5%No Change
4.8343.882.8146Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
09-24 21:41 Opening
77.81%
09-26 13:36
81.88%
09-26 21:24 Latest
81.38%
6
Record Count
1
Change Count
+3.57%
Home Prob Cumulative
±3.93%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
★★★★★

Title

Count Suffix
09-26 21:24
🔴Total down★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 2.5/3 to 2.5, down 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly lower.
09-26 21:24
🔴Handicap down★★★★★
Handicap moved from 1.5/2 to 0/0.5, dropped 6 steps (1.5 goals) from opening - significant structural weakening.
09-26 21:24
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.57 points to 81.38% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-26 21:24
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 13.09 to 17.02 (+30.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-26 21:24
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.2 to 1.16 (-3.3%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-26 20:12
⚠️Handicap volatile★★★★★
Handicap oscillated 6 steps today (low 3 to high 9) - market divergence notable
09-26 20:12
🔴Handicap down★★★★☆
Handicap moved from 1.5/2 to 0.5/1, dropped 4 steps (1.0 goals) from opening - significant structural weakening.
09-26 20:12
🟢Total up★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 2.5/3 to 3, up 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly higher.
09-26 16:49
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.3 points to 4.83% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-26 16:49
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.01 points to 82.82% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-26 16:49
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 13.09 to 19.53 (+49.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-26 16:49
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.2 to 1.14 (-5.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-26 16:49
🟢Handicap up★★☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 1.5/2 to 2/2.5, up 2 steps (0.5 goals) from opening - market backing home side strongly.
09-26 13:36
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.07 points to 81.88% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-26 13:36
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 13.09 to 17.98 (+37.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-26 13:36
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.2 to 1.15 (-4.2%) - away side attracting more attention.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
09-24 21:41
Opening RecordOpening Short
09-26 13:36
Handicap Up LineHandicap
09-26 13:36
Over Under Up LineOver Under
09-26 13:36
Europe Away Odds UpEurope
09-26 13:36
Prob Change PrefixHome Prob UpProbability
09-26 16:49
Europe Away Odds UpEurope
09-26 20:12
Handicap Down LineHandicap
09-26 20:12
Europe Away Odds DownEurope
09-26 21:24
Handicap Down LineHandicap
09-26 21:24
Over Under Down LineOver Under

Overview Stats Title

3
Handicap Changes
2
Ou Changes
3
Odds Changes
1
Prob Changes
6
Total Records
3Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
Finished
Monitor Level
Finished
Current Status · Kicked Off
Market Heat Change
09-24
09-25
09-26