UEFA Nations League

Denmark vs Wales Odds Movement Analysis | UEFA Nations League | 168 Tips

DenmarkDenmark
VS
WalesWales
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-09-27 16:18:13
Pre Match Monitoring Until Kickoff

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 1.11 -1.25 0.79
Over Under 0.95 2.5 0.93
Europe 1.40 | 5.00 | 7.21
Probability 67.8% | 19.0% | 13.2%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Three core directional markets show the same home-side direction. Evidence Label: 1.61 → 1.39
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe · Probability
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
🟢 Handicap up ★☆☆☆☆🟢 Home price down ★★★★☆🟢 Home win prob. up ★★★☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Handicap up-1 → -1.252026-09-27 13:01:12★☆☆☆☆Home price down1.61 → 1.392026-09-27 13:01:12★★★★☆Home win prob. up58.24 → 68.152026-09-27 13:01:12★★★☆☆
Strength Label ★★★★☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match Monitoring Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-09-27 16:18:13

Key Movements Title

5
09-27 13:01Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line09-27 09:47Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line09-27 06:44Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line09-27 03:27Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line09-27 00:17Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap line moved upward by one tier from the prior observation.
History Title
09-24 21:431.03 -1 0.79Opening
09-25 16:260.78 -1 1.04home_water_down
09-26 13:411.05 -1.25 0.83Up Line
09-27 16:181.11 -1.25 0.79Home Water Up
0.780.951.11159Home WaterAway Water-1.25
Timeline Title
09-24 21:43 Opening
-1
09-25 16:26
-1
09-26 13:41
-1.25
09-27 16:18
-1.25
09-27 16:18 Latest
-1.25
9
Record Count
3
Change Count
1
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleNo significant total (over/under) movement recorded yet.
History Title
09-24 21:430.92 2.5 0.88Opening
09-26 13:411.02 2.5/3 0.86Up Line
09-27 06:441.04 3 0.84Up Line
09-27 16:180.95 2.5 0.93Down Line
0.840.941.04159OverUnder2.5
Timeline Title
09-24 21:43 Opening
2.5（0.92 / 0.88）
09-26 13:41
2.5/3（1.02 / 0.86）
09-27 06:44
3（1.04 / 0.84）
09-27 16:18
2.5（0.95 / 0.93）
09-27 16:18 Latest
2.5（0.95 / 0.93）
9
Record Count
3
Change Count
2
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home-win price moved down noticeably from the opening observation.
History Title
09-24 21:431.61 / 3.89 / 5.31Opening
09-25 16:261.48 / 4.32 / 6.38Home Odds Down
09-27 09:471.40 / 4.89 / 7.47Away Odds Up
09-27 16:181.40 / 5.00 / 7.21No Change
1.394.467.54159HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
09-24 21:43 Opening
1.61 / 3.89 / 5.31
09-25 16:26
1.48 / 4.32 / 6.38
09-27 09:47
1.40 / 4.89 / 7.47
09-27 16:18 Latest
1.40 / 5.00 / 7.21
9
Record Count
2
Change Count
1
Home Odds Change
1
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleThe home implied probability increased noticeably from the opening observation.
History Title
09-24 21:4358.2% / 24.1% / 17.7%Opening
09-25 16:2663.5% / 21.8% / 14.7%Home Prob Up
09-27 16:1867.8% / 19.0% / 13.2%No Change
12.640.468.2159Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
09-24 21:43 Opening
58.24%
09-25 16:26
63.51%
09-27 16:18 Latest
67.83%
9
Record Count
1
Change Count
+9.59%
Home Prob Cumulative
±5.27%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
★★★★★

Title

Count Suffix
09-27 13:01
🔴Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 5.1 points to 12.56% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-27 13:01
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 9.91 points to 68.15% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-27 13:01
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 5.31 to 7.54 (+42.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-27 13:01
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.61 to 1.39 (-13.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-27 13:01
🟢Total up★★★☆☆
O/U line moved from 2.5 to 3, up 0.5 goals from opening - goal expectation rising notably.
09-27 13:01
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 1 to 1/1.5, up 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward home side.
09-27 09:47
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.94 points to 12.72% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-27 09:47
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 9.62 points to 67.86% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-27 09:47
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 5.31 to 7.47 (+40.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-27 09:47
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.61 to 1.4 (-13.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-27 06:44
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.09 points to 13.57% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-27 06:44
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 8.09 points to 66.33% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-27 06:44
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 5.31 to 6.99 (+31.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-27 06:44
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.61 to 1.43 (-11.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-27 03:27
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.85 points to 13.81% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-27 03:27
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 7.01 points to 65.25% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-27 03:27
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 5.31 to 6.85 (+29.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-27 03:27
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.61 to 1.45 (-9.9%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-27 03:27
🟢Total up★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 2.5 to 2.5/3, up 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly higher.
09-27 00:17
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.57 points to 14.09% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-27 00:17
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 6.59 points to 64.83% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-27 00:17
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 5.31 to 6.72 (+26.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-27 00:17
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.61 to 1.46 (-9.3%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-26 13:41
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.26 points to 14.4% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-26 13:41
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 6.18 points to 64.42% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-26 13:41
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 5.31 to 6.53 (+23.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-25 16:26
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.93 points to 14.73% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-25 16:26
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.27 points to 63.51% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-25 16:26
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 5.31 to 6.38 (+20.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-25 16:26
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.61 to 1.48 (-8.1%) - away side attracting more attention.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
09-24 21:43
Opening RecordOpening Short
09-25 16:26
Handicap home_water_downHandicap
09-25 16:26
Europe Home Odds DownEurope
09-25 16:26
Prob Change PrefixHome Prob UpProbability
09-26 13:41
Handicap Up LineHandicap
09-26 13:41
Over Under Up LineOver Under
09-27 06:44
Over Under Up LineOver Under
09-27 09:47
Europe Away Odds UpEurope
09-27 16:18
Handicap Home Water UpHandicap
09-27 16:18
Over Under Down LineOver Under

Overview Stats Title

3
Handicap Changes
3
Ou Changes
2
Odds Changes
1
Prob Changes
9
Total Records
4Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
Pre Match
Monitor Level
Pre Match Monitoring
Current Status　·　Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
09-24
09-25
09-26
09-27
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