UEFA Nations League

Germany vs Greece Odds Movement Analysis | UEFA Nations League | 168 Tips

GermanyGermany
VS
GreeceGreece
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-09-27 20:53:29
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 7.14 -0.25 0.03
Over Under 6.25 1.5 0.05
Europe 1.44 | 4.74 | 6.59
Probability 65.7% | 20.0% | 14.3%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Handicap, European Odds are aligned toward the away side. Evidence Label: 1.37 → 1.44
Market State Agreement
Mixed
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe
Market State Evidence
2
Market Signals Title
Strength Label ★★★☆☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-09-27 20:53:29

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleA large downward handicap change was recorded from the opening line.
History Title
09-20 15:511.00 -1.5 0.82Opening
09-24 21:440.80 -1.25 1.02Down Line
09-27 20:537.14 -0.25 0.03Down Line
0.033.587.141611Home WaterAway Water-0.25
Timeline Title
09-20 15:51 Opening
-1.5
09-24 21:44
-1.25
09-27 20:53
-0.25
09-27 20:53 Latest
-0.25
11
Record Count
2
Change Count
0
Up Count
2
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe observed total line moved notably lower.
History Title
09-20 15:510.86 3 0.94Opening
09-26 13:431.03 3/3.5 0.85Up Line
09-27 14:410.89 3 0.99Down Line
09-27 20:536.25 1.5 0.05Down Line
0.053.156.251611OverUnder1.5
Timeline Title
09-20 15:51 Opening
3(0.86 / 0.94)
09-26 13:43
3/3.5(1.03 / 0.85)
09-27 14:41
3(0.89 / 0.99)
09-27 20:53
1.5(6.25 / 0.05)
09-27 20:53 Latest
1.5(6.25 / 0.05)
11
Record Count
3
Change Count
1
Up Count
2
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleA small upward change in the home-win price was recorded.
History Title
09-20 15:511.37 / 4.93 / 7.19Opening
09-24 21:441.34 / 5.21 / 7.78Away Odds Up
09-25 16:281.39 / 5.00 / 6.81Away Odds Down
09-27 20:531.44 / 4.74 / 6.59No Change
1.344.567.781611HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
09-20 15:51 Opening
1.37 / 4.93 / 7.19
09-24 21:44
1.34 / 5.21 / 7.78
09-25 16:28
1.39 / 5.00 / 6.81
09-27 20:53 Latest
1.44 / 4.74 / 6.59
11
Record Count
2
Change Count
0
Home Odds Change
2
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleNo significant win-probability movement recorded yet.
History Title
09-20 15:5168.1% / 18.9% / 13.0%Opening
09-27 20:5365.7% / 20.0% / 14.3%No Change
12.141.070.01611Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
09-20 15:51 Opening
68.10%
09-27 20:53 Latest
65.69%
11
Record Count
0
Change Count
-2.41%
Home Prob Cumulative
±2.49%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
09-27 17:49
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.26 points to 65.84% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-27 17:49
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 7.19 to 6.66 (-7.4%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-27 17:49
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.37 to 1.44 (+5.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-27 17:49
🔴Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 1.5 to 1/1.5, down 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward away side.
09-27 14:41
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.51 points to 65.59% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-27 14:41
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 7.19 to 6.63 (-7.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-27 14:41
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.37 to 1.45 (+5.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-27 11:36
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 7.19 to 6.75 (-6.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-27 11:36
🟢Total up★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 3 to 3/3.5, up 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly higher.
09-27 08:19
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 7.19 to 6.7 (-6.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-27 08:19
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.37 to 1.42 (+3.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-27 05:10
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 7.19 to 6.85 (-4.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-26 13:43
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 7.19 to 6.86 (-4.6%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-25 16:28
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 7.19 to 6.81 (-5.3%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-24 21:44
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 7.19 to 7.78 (+8.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
09-20 15:51
Opening RecordOpening Short
09-24 21:44
Handicap Down LineHandicap
09-24 21:44
Europe Away Odds UpEurope
09-25 16:28
Europe Away Odds DownEurope
09-26 13:43
Over Under Up LineOver Under
09-27 14:41
Over Under Down LineOver Under
09-27 20:53
Handicap Down LineHandicap
09-27 20:53
Over Under Down LineOver Under

Overview Stats Title

2
Handicap Changes
3
Ou Changes
2
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
11
Total Records
8Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status · Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
09-20
09-24
09-25
09-26
09-27