14
Record Count
UEFA Nations League
Norway
Wales vs Norway Odds Movement Analysis | UEFA Nations League | 168 Tips
Wales
VS
Norway
Pre Match High Freq
Until Kickoff
Snapshot Title
Snapshot Latest
Handicap
8.33 -0.25 0.01
Over Under
8.33 3.5 0.01
Europe
7.00 | 4.88 | 1.42
Probability
13.6% | 19.5% | 66.9%
Signal Summary Title
Market State Title: Market State ConflictedMarket Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Handicap indicate movement toward the home side, while European Odds, Implied Probability indicate movement toward the away side. Evidence Label: 5.01 → 7.0
Market State Agreement
Conflicting
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
Conflict Neutral Note
Conflicting Signals Title
Independent Market Signals Title
Strength Label ★★★★★
Signals are split across markets.
Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq
Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff
Market State Latest: 2026-10-01 20:47:04
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Key Movements Title
5Handicap
OfComment TitleA large upward handicap change was recorded from the opening line.
History Title
09-28 02:471.00 +0.75 0.76Opening
09-28 15:331.01 +1 0.87Down Line
09-30 04:270.81 +1.25 1.07Down Line
10-01 19:010.82 +1 1.07Up Line
10-01 20:478.33 -0.25 0.01Up Line
Timeline Title
09-28 02:47 Opening
+0.75
09-28 15:33
+1
09-30 04:27
+1.25
10-01 19:01
+1
10-01 20:47
-0.25
10-01 20:47 Latest
-0.25
4
Change Count
2
Up Count
2
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★Over Under
OfComment TitleA larger upward change in the total-goals line was recorded.
History Title
09-28 02:470.80 2.5/3 0.96Opening
09-28 15:330.98 3 0.90Up Line
10-01 06:181.15 3/3.5 0.76Up Line
10-01 09:250.84 3 1.04Down Line
10-01 15:591.07 3/3.5 0.81Up Line
10-01 19:010.84 3.5 1.04Up Line
10-01 20:478.33 3.5 0.01Over Water Up
Timeline Title
09-28 02:47 Opening
2.5/3（0.80 / 0.96）
09-28 15:33
3（0.98 / 0.90）
10-01 06:18
3/3.5（1.15 / 0.76）
10-01 09:25
3（0.84 / 1.04）
10-01 15:59
3/3.5（1.07 / 0.81）
10-01 19:01
3.5（0.84 / 1.04）
10-01 20:47
3.5（8.33 / 0.01）
10-01 20:47 Latest
3.5（8.33 / 0.01）
14
Record Count
6
Change Count
4
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★Europe
OfComment TitleThe home-win price moved up materially from the opening observation.
History Title
09-28 02:475.01 / 4.13 / 1.61Opening
09-28 15:335.50 / 4.36 / 1.53Home Odds Up
10-01 03:066.44 / 4.75 / 1.45Home Odds Up
10-01 15:596.87 / 4.90 / 1.42Home Odds Up
10-01 20:477.00 / 4.88 / 1.42No Change
Timeline Title
09-28 02:47 Opening
5.01 / 4.13 / 1.61
09-28 15:33
5.50 / 4.36 / 1.53
10-01 03:06
6.44 / 4.75 / 1.45
10-01 15:59
6.87 / 4.90 / 1.42
10-01 20:47 Latest
7.00 / 4.88 / 1.42
14
Record Count
3
Change Count
3
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★Probability
OfComment TitleHome implied probability moved down by a small amount.
History Title
09-28 02:4718.8% / 22.8% / 58.4%Opening
10-01 20:4713.6% / 19.5% / 66.9%No Change
Timeline Title
09-28 02:47 Opening
18.78%
10-01 20:47 Latest
13.58%
14
Record Count
0
Change Count
-5.20%
Home Prob Cumulative
±1.70%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No ChangeTitle
Count Suffix10-01 19:01
Away win prob. up★★★☆☆
Away win probability increased by 8.5 points to 66.94% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-01 19:01
Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 5.2 points to 13.58% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-01 19:01
Home price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 5.01 to 7.0 (+39.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-01 19:01
Total up★★★★☆
O/U line surged from 2.5/3 to 3.5, up 0.75 goals from opening - goal expectation surging strongly.
10-01 19:01
Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from -0.5/-1 to -1, down 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward away side.
10-01 19:01
Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.61 to 1.42 (-11.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-01 15:59
Away win prob. up★★★☆☆
Away win probability increased by 8.38 points to 66.82% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-01 15:59
Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 4.97 points to 13.81% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-01 15:59
Home price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 5.01 to 6.87 (+37.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-01 15:59
Total up★★★☆☆
O/U line moved from 2.5/3 to 3/3.5, up 0.5 goals from opening - goal expectation rising notably.
10-01 15:59
Handicap down★★☆☆☆
Handicap moved from -0.5/-1 to -1/-1.5, down 2 steps (0.5 goals) from opening - market momentum fading.
10-01 12:47
Away win prob. up★★★☆☆
Away win probability increased by 6.92 points to 65.36% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-01 12:47
Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.97 points to 14.81% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-01 12:47
Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.61 to 1.45 (-9.9%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-01 12:47
Home price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 5.01 to 6.4 (+27.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-01 12:47
Total up★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 2.5/3 to 3, up 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly higher.
10-01 09:25
Away win prob. up★★★☆☆
Away win probability increased by 7.44 points to 65.88% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-01 09:25
Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 4.38 points to 14.4% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-01 09:25
Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.61 to 1.44 (-10.6%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-01 09:25
Home price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 5.01 to 6.59 (+31.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-01 06:18
Away win prob. up★★★☆☆
Away win probability increased by 7.1 points to 65.54% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-01 06:18
Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 4.16 points to 14.62% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-01 06:18
Home price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 5.01 to 6.5 (+29.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-01 06:18
Total up★★★☆☆
O/U line moved from 2.5/3 to 3/3.5, up 0.5 goals from opening - goal expectation rising notably.
10-01 06:18
Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.61 to 1.45 (-9.9%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-01 03:06
Away win prob. up★★★☆☆
Away win probability increased by 6.9 points to 65.34% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-01 03:06
Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 4.07 points to 14.71% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-01 03:06
Home price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 5.01 to 6.44 (+28.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-01 03:06
Total up★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 2.5/3 to 3, up 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly higher.
09-30 16:35
Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 4.9 points to 63.34% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-30 16:35
Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.81 points to 15.97% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-30 16:35
Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.61 to 1.49 (-7.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-30 16:35
Home price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 5.01 to 5.91 (+18.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-30 04:27
Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.97 points to 62.41% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-30 04:27
Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.28 points to 16.5% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-30 04:27
Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.61 to 1.51 (-6.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-30 04:27
Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 5.01 to 5.71 (+14.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-29 16:17
Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.67 points to 62.11% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-29 16:17
Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.1 points to 16.68% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-29 16:17
Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.61 to 1.52 (-5.6%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-29 16:17
Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 5.01 to 5.66 (+13.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-29 16:17
Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from -0.5/-1 to -1, down 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward away side.
09-29 03:48
Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.1 points to 61.54% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-29 03:48
Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 5.01 to 5.55 (+10.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-29 03:48
Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.61 to 1.53 (-5.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-28 15:33
Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.94 points to 61.38% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-28 15:33
Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 5.01 to 5.5 (+9.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
Overview Title
Overview All Modules09-28 02:47
Opening RecordOpening Short
09-28 15:33
Handicap Down LineHandicap
09-28 15:33
Over Under Up LineOver Under
09-28 15:33
Europe Home Odds UpEurope
09-30 04:27
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-01 03:06
Europe Home Odds UpEurope
10-01 06:18
Over Under Up LineOver Under
10-01 09:25
Over Under Down LineOver Under
10-01 15:59
Over Under Up LineOver Under
10-01 15:59
Europe Home Odds UpEurope
10-01 19:01
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-01 19:01
Over Under Up LineOver Under
10-01 20:47
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-01 20:47
Over Under Over Water UpOver Under
Overview Stats Title
4
Handicap Changes
6
Ou Changes
3
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
14
Total Records
4Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status · Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
09-28
09-29
09-30
10-01