UEFA Nations League

Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein Odds Movement Analysis | UEFA Nations League | 168 Tips

AzerbaijanAzerbaijan
VS
LiechtensteinLiechtenstein
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-01 18:13:08
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 7.14 -0.25 0.02
Over Under 7.14 0.5 0.02
Europe 1.10 | 8.30 | 27.86
Probability 85.3% | 11.3% | 3.4%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Conflicted
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Implied Probability indicate movement toward the home side, while Handicap indicate movement toward the away side. Evidence Label: -2 → -1.75
Market State Agreement
Conflicting
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
Strength Label ★★★★★ Signals are split across markets. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-01 18:13:08

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Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap moved down by three or more tiers from the opening position.
History Title
09-30 02:310.80 -2 1.02Opening
09-30 14:561.04 -2.25 0.84Up Line
10-01 16:240.70 -1.75 1.21Down Line
10-01 18:137.14 -0.25 0.02Down Line
0.023.587.141610Home WaterAway Water-0.25
Timeline Title
09-30 02:31 Opening
-2
09-30 14:56
-2.25
10-01 16:24
-1.75
10-01 18:13
-0.25
10-01 18:13 Latest
-0.25
10
Record Count
3
Change Count
1
Up Count
2
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe Over/Under line moved down materially from the opening position.
History Title
09-30 02:311.01 3 0.79Opening
10-01 03:330.80 2.5/3 1.07Down Line
10-01 06:470.68 2.5 1.30Down Line
10-01 09:530.89 2.5/3 0.99Up Line
10-01 13:171.05 2.5/3 0.83Over Water Up
10-01 16:240.99 2/2.5 0.88Down Line
10-01 18:137.14 0.5 0.02Down Line
0.023.587.141610OverUnder0.5
Timeline Title
09-30 02:31 Opening
3(1.01 / 0.79)
10-01 03:33
2.5/3(0.80 / 1.07)
10-01 06:47
2.5(0.68 / 1.30)
10-01 09:53
2.5/3(0.89 / 0.99)
10-01 13:17
2.5/3(1.05 / 0.83)
10-01 16:24
2/2.5(0.99 / 0.88)
10-01 18:13
0.5(7.14 / 0.02)
10-01 18:13 Latest
0.5(7.14 / 0.02)
10
Record Count
6
Change Count
1
Up Count
4
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleNo significant 1X2 price movement recorded yet.
History Title
09-30 02:311.14 / 7.16 / 18.61Opening
10-01 09:531.12 / 7.88 / 22.90Away Odds Up
10-01 13:171.10 / 8.57 / 29.93Away Odds Up
10-01 16:241.10 / 8.30 / 27.86Away Odds Down
10-01 18:131.10 / 8.30 / 27.86No Change
1.1015.529.91610HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
09-30 02:31 Opening
1.14 / 7.16 / 18.61
10-01 09:53
1.12 / 7.88 / 22.90
10-01 13:17
1.10 / 8.57 / 29.93
10-01 16:24
1.10 / 8.30 / 27.86
10-01 18:13 Latest
1.10 / 8.30 / 27.86
10
Record Count
3
Change Count
0
Home Odds Change
3
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleA small upward change in home implied probability was recorded.
History Title
09-30 02:3181.9% / 13.1% / 5.0%Opening
10-01 18:1385.3% / 11.3% / 3.4%No Change
3.1544.585.81610Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
09-30 02:31 Opening
81.94%
10-01 18:13 Latest
85.32%
10
Record Count
0
Change Count
+3.38%
Home Prob Cumulative
±1.87%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
10-01 16:24
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.38 points to 85.32% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-01 16:24
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 18.61 to 27.86 (+49.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-01 16:24
🔴Total down★★★★☆
O/U line dropped from 3 to 2/2.5, down 0.75 goals from opening - goal expectation falling sharply.
10-01 16:24
🔴Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 2 to 1.5/2, down 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward away side.
10-01 16:24
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.14 to 1.1 (-3.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-01 13:17
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.89 points to 85.83% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-01 13:17
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 18.61 to 29.93 (+60.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-01 13:17
🔴Total down★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 3 to 2.5/3, down 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly lower.
10-01 13:17
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 2 to 2/2.5, up 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward home side.
10-01 09:53
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.02 points to 83.96% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-01 09:53
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 18.61 to 22.9 (+23.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-01 06:47
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 18.61 to 21.05 (+13.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-01 06:47
🔴Total down★★★☆☆
O/U line moved from 3 to 2.5, down 0.5 goals from opening - goal expectation contracting.
10-01 03:33
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 18.61 to 20.5 (+10.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-01 03:33
🔴Total down★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 3 to 2.5/3, down 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly lower.
10-01 00:16
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 18.61 to 20.25 (+8.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-30 14:57
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 18.61 to 19.43 (+4.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
09-30 02:31
Opening RecordOpening Short
09-30 14:56
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-01 03:33
Over Under Down LineOver Under
10-01 06:47
Over Under Down LineOver Under
10-01 09:53
Over Under Up LineOver Under
10-01 09:53
Europe Away Odds UpEurope
10-01 13:17
Over Under Over Water UpOver Under
10-01 13:17
Europe Away Odds UpEurope
10-01 16:24
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-01 16:24
Over Under Down LineOver Under
10-01 16:24
Europe Away Odds DownEurope
10-01 18:13
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-01 18:13
Over Under Down LineOver Under

Overview Stats Title

3
Handicap Changes
6
Ou Changes
3
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
10
Total Records
2Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status · Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
09-30
10-01