UEFA Nations League

Greece vs Netherlands Odds Movement Analysis | UEFA Nations League | 168 Tips

GreeceGreece
VS
NetherlandsNetherlands
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-01 20:46:11
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.03 +0.25 7.14
Over Under 7.69 4.5 0.02
Europe 3.20 | 3.49 | 2.20
Probability 29.7% | 27.2% | 43.1%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Handicap, European Odds are aligned toward the home side. Evidence Label: 3.38 → 3.2
Market State Agreement
Mixed
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
Strength Label ★★★☆☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-01 20:46:11

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Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap line moved upward by one tier from the prior observation.
History Title
09-28 02:460.75 +0.5 1.01Opening
09-28 15:320.99 +0.25 0.89Up Line
09-30 16:340.83 +0.5 1.05Down Line
10-01 06:170.63 +0.75 1.39Down Line
10-01 09:240.85 +0.5 1.04Up Line
10-01 12:451.02 +0.25 0.87Up Line
10-01 20:460.03 +0.25 7.14home_water_down
0.033.587.141713Home WaterAway Water+0.25
Timeline Title
09-28 02:46 Opening
+0.5
09-28 15:32
+0.25
09-30 16:34
+0.5
10-01 06:17
+0.75
10-01 09:24
+0.5
10-01 12:45
+0.25
10-01 20:46
+0.25
10-01 20:46 Latest
+0.25
13
Record Count
6
Change Count
3
Up Count
2
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleA larger upward change in the total-goals line was recorded.
History Title
09-28 02:460.78 2.5 0.98Opening
09-28 15:321.03 2.5/3 0.85Up Line
10-01 18:590.96 2/2.5 0.92Down Line
10-01 20:467.69 4.5 0.02Up Line
0.023.857.691713OverUnder4.5
Timeline Title
09-28 02:46 Opening
2.5(0.78 / 0.98)
09-28 15:32
2.5/3(1.03 / 0.85)
10-01 18:59
2/2.5(0.96 / 0.92)
10-01 20:46
4.5(7.69 / 0.02)
10-01 20:46 Latest
4.5(7.69 / 0.02)
13
Record Count
3
Change Count
2
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleA small downward change in the home-win price was recorded.
History Title
09-28 02:463.38 / 3.49 / 2.07Opening
10-01 18:593.20 / 3.49 / 2.20Away Odds Up
10-01 20:463.20 / 3.49 / 2.20No Change
2.042.843.641713HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
09-28 02:46 Opening
3.38 / 3.49 / 2.07
10-01 18:59
3.20 / 3.49 / 2.20
10-01 20:46 Latest
3.20 / 3.49 / 2.20
13
Record Count
1
Change Count
0
Home Odds Change
1
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleNo significant win-probability movement recorded yet.
History Title
09-28 02:4627.8% / 26.9% / 45.3%Opening
10-01 20:4629.7% / 27.2% / 43.1%No Change
26.036.246.41713Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
09-28 02:46 Opening
27.77%
10-01 20:46 Latest
29.66%
13
Record Count
0
Change Count
+1.89%
Home Prob Cumulative
±1.30%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
10-01 18:59
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.2 points to 43.14% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-01 18:59
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.07 to 2.2 (+6.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-01 18:59
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.38 to 3.2 (-5.3%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-01 18:59
🔴Total down★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 2.5 to 2/2.5, down 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly lower.
10-01 18:59
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from -0.5 to 0/0.5, up 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward home side.
10-01 15:58
🟢Total up★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 2.5 to 2.5/3, up 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly higher.
10-01 06:17
🔴Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from -0.5 to -0.5/-1, down 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward away side.
09-29 16:12
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.38 to 3.24 (-4.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-29 16:12
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.07 to 2.14 (+3.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-29 03:46
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.38 to 3.25 (-3.9%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-28 15:32
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.38 to 3.24 (-4.1%) - away side attracting more attention.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
09-28 02:46
Opening RecordOpening Short
09-28 15:32
Handicap Up LineHandicap
09-28 15:32
Over Under Up LineOver Under
09-30 16:34
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-01 06:17
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-01 09:24
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-01 12:45
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-01 18:59
Over Under Down LineOver Under
10-01 18:59
Europe Away Odds UpEurope
10-01 20:46
Handicap home_water_downHandicap
10-01 20:46
Over Under Up LineOver Under

Overview Stats Title

6
Handicap Changes
3
Ou Changes
1
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
13
Total Records
4Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status · Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
09-28
09-29
09-30
10-01