UEFA Nations League

Slovakia vs Kazakhstan Odds Movement Analysis | UEFA Nations League | 168 Tips

SlovakiaSlovakia
VS
KazakhstanKazakhstan
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-09-29 20:59:23
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 5.88 -0.25 0.05
Over Under 6.66 3.5 0.03
Europe 1.21 | 6.28 | 13.45
Probability 78.0% | 15.0% | 7.0%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Conflicted
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
European Odds, Implied Probability indicate movement toward the home side, while Handicap indicate movement toward the away side. Evidence Label: 1.28 → 1.21
Market State Agreement
Conflicting
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
🟢 Home price down ★★★☆☆🟢 Home win prob. up ★★☆☆☆🟢 Total up ★★★★★
Conflict Neutral Note
Conflicting Signals Title
Home price down1.28 → 1.212026-09-29 18:42:19★★★☆☆Home win prob. up73.23 → 77.952026-09-29 18:42:19★★☆☆☆
Independent Market Signals Title
Total up2.5 → 32026-09-29 18:42:19★★★★★
Strength Label ★★★☆☆ Signals are split across markets. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-09-29 20:59:23

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Key Movements Title

5
09-29 18:42Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line09-29 15:31Away price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line09-29 11:50Away price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line09-29 03:00Away price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line09-29 18:42Home price down★★★☆☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleA large downward handicap change was recorded from the opening line.
History Title
09-28 02:450.92 -1.5 0.96Opening
09-29 11:501.05 -1.75 0.84Up Line
09-29 18:421.11 -2 0.79Up Line
09-29 20:595.88 -0.25 0.05Down Line
0.052.965.88158Home WaterAway Water-0.25
Timeline Title
09-28 02:45 Opening
-1.5
09-29 11:50
-1.75
09-29 18:42
-2
09-29 20:59
-0.25
09-29 20:59 Latest
-0.25
8
Record Count
3
Change Count
2
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe observed total line moved notably higher.
History Title
09-28 02:450.90 2.5 0.96Opening
09-29 11:500.97 2.5/3 0.91Up Line
09-29 18:420.98 3 0.90Up Line
09-29 20:596.66 3.5 0.03Up Line
0.033.356.66158OverUnder3.5
Timeline Title
09-28 02:45 Opening
2.5（0.90 / 0.96）
09-29 11:50
2.5/3（0.97 / 0.91）
09-29 18:42
3（0.98 / 0.90）
09-29 20:59
3.5（6.66 / 0.03）
09-29 20:59 Latest
3.5（6.66 / 0.03）
8
Record Count
3
Change Count
3
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home 1X2 price decreased by a small amount.
History Title
09-28 02:451.28 / 5.16 / 10.90Opening
09-29 11:501.25 / 5.66 / 12.05Away Odds Up
09-29 18:421.21 / 6.27 / 13.46Away Odds Up
09-29 20:591.21 / 6.28 / 13.45No Change
1.217.3413.5158HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
09-28 02:45 Opening
1.28 / 5.16 / 10.90
09-29 11:50
1.25 / 5.66 / 12.05
09-29 18:42
1.21 / 6.27 / 13.46
09-29 20:59 Latest
1.21 / 6.28 / 13.45
8
Record Count
2
Change Count
0
Home Odds Change
2
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleThe home implied probability increased slightly from the opening observation.
History Title
09-28 02:4573.2% / 18.2% / 8.6%Opening
09-29 20:5978.0% / 15.0% / 7.0%No Change
7.0142.578.0158Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
09-28 02:45 Opening
73.23%
09-29 20:59 Latest
77.96%
8
Record Count
0
Change Count
+4.73%
Home Prob Cumulative
±1.61%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
09-29 18:42
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.72 points to 77.95% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-29 18:42
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 10.9 to 13.46 (+23.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-29 18:42
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.28 to 1.21 (-5.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-29 18:42
🟢Total up★★★☆☆
O/U line moved from 2.5 to 3, up 0.5 goals from opening - goal expectation rising notably.
09-29 18:42
🟢Handicap up★★☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 1.5 to 2, up 2 steps (0.5 goals) from opening - market backing home side strongly.
09-29 15:31
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.11 points to 76.34% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-29 15:31
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 10.9 to 12.39 (+13.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-29 15:31
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.28 to 1.24 (-3.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-29 15:31
🟢Total up★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 2.5 to 2.5/3, up 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly higher.
09-29 15:31
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 1.5 to 1.5/2, up 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward home side.
09-29 11:50
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.27 points to 75.5% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-29 11:50
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 10.9 to 12.05 (+10.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-29 03:00
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 10.9 to 11.54 (+5.9%) - market confidence in away side easing.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
09-28 02:45
Opening RecordOpening Short
09-29 11:50
Handicap Up LineHandicap
09-29 11:50
Over Under Up LineOver Under
09-29 11:50
Europe Away Odds UpEurope
09-29 18:42
Handicap Up LineHandicap
09-29 18:42
Over Under Up LineOver Under
09-29 18:42
Europe Away Odds UpEurope
09-29 20:59
Handicap Down LineHandicap
09-29 20:59
Over Under Up LineOver Under

Overview Stats Title

3
Handicap Changes
3
Ou Changes
2
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
8
Total Records
2Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status　·　Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
09-28
09-29
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