UEFA Nations League

Finland vs Belarus Odds Movement Analysis | UEFA Nations League | 168 Tips

FinlandFinland
VS
BelarusBelarus
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-09-29 18:41:01
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 7.69 -0.25 0.01
Over Under 7.69 0.5 0.01
Europe 1.53 | 4.01 | 6.49
Probability 61.8% | 23.6% | 14.6%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Conflicted
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
European Odds, Implied Probability indicate movement toward the home side, while Handicap indicate movement toward the away side. Evidence Label: 1.69 → 1.51
Market State Agreement
Conflicting
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe
Market State Evidence
2
Market Signals Title
🟢 Home price down ★★★☆☆🟢 Home win prob. up ★★★☆☆
Conflict Neutral Note
Conflicting Signals Title
Home price down1.69 → 1.512026-09-29 15:30:01★★★☆☆Home win prob. up55.34 → 62.662026-09-29 15:30:01★★★☆☆
Strength Label ★★★☆☆ Signals are split across markets. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-09-29 18:41:01

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Key Movements Title

5
09-29 15:30Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line09-29 11:49Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line09-29 08:25Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line09-29 03:20Away price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line09-29 00:06Away price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap line declined two tiers from the opening position.
History Title
09-28 02:440.95 -0.75 0.93Opening
09-29 00:061.08 -1 0.80Up Line
09-29 18:417.69 -0.25 0.01Down Line
0.013.857.69159Home WaterAway Water-0.25
Timeline Title
09-28 02:44 Opening
-0.75
09-29 00:06
-1
09-29 18:41
-0.25
09-29 18:41 Latest
-0.25
9
Record Count
2
Change Count
1
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe Over/Under line moved down materially from the opening position.
History Title
09-28 02:440.82 2 1.04Opening
09-28 14:520.99 2/2.5 0.88Up Line
09-29 15:291.04 2.5 0.84Up Line
09-29 18:417.69 0.5 0.01Down Line
0.013.857.69159OverUnder0.5
Timeline Title
09-28 02:44 Opening
2（0.82 / 1.04）
09-28 14:52
2/2.5（0.99 / 0.88）
09-29 15:29
2.5（1.04 / 0.84）
09-29 18:41
0.5（7.69 / 0.01）
09-29 18:41 Latest
0.5（7.69 / 0.01）
9
Record Count
3
Change Count
2
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home-win price moved down slightly from the opening observation.
History Title
09-28 02:441.69 / 3.48 / 5.26Opening
09-29 00:061.59 / 3.74 / 5.96Away Odds Up
09-29 18:411.53 / 4.01 / 6.49No Change
1.514.066.61159HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
09-28 02:44 Opening
1.69 / 3.48 / 5.26
09-29 00:06
1.59 / 3.74 / 5.96
09-29 18:41 Latest
1.53 / 4.01 / 6.49
9
Record Count
1
Change Count
0
Home Odds Change
1
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleHome implied probability moved up by a moderate amount.
History Title
09-28 02:4455.3% / 26.9% / 17.8%Opening
09-29 18:4161.8% / 23.6% / 14.6%No Change
14.338.562.7159Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
09-28 02:44 Opening
55.34%
09-29 18:41 Latest
61.83%
9
Record Count
0
Change Count
+6.49%
Home Prob Cumulative
±2.14%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
09-29 15:30
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.47 points to 14.31% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-29 15:30
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 7.32 points to 62.66% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-29 15:30
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 5.26 to 6.61 (+25.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-29 15:30
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.69 to 1.51 (-10.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-29 15:30
🟢Total up★★★☆☆
O/U line moved from 2 to 2.5, up 0.5 goals from opening - goal expectation rising notably.
09-29 15:30
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 0.5/1 to 1, up 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward home side.
09-29 11:49
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.89 points to 14.89% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-29 11:49
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.56 points to 60.9% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-29 11:49
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 5.26 to 6.34 (+20.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-29 11:49
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.69 to 1.55 (-8.3%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-29 11:49
🟢Total up★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 2 to 2/2.5, up 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly higher.
09-29 08:25
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.36 points to 15.42% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-29 08:25
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.4 points to 59.74% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-29 08:25
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 5.26 to 6.12 (+16.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-29 08:25
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.69 to 1.58 (-6.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-29 03:20
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.05 points to 15.73% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-29 03:20
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.84 points to 59.18% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-29 03:20
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 5.26 to 5.98 (+13.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-29 03:20
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.69 to 1.59 (-5.9%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-29 00:06
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.01 points to 15.77% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-29 00:06
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.76 points to 59.1% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-29 00:06
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 5.26 to 5.96 (+13.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-28 14:52
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 5.26 to 5.44 (+3.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
09-28 02:44
Opening RecordOpening Short
09-28 14:52
Over Under Up LineOver Under
09-29 00:06
Handicap Up LineHandicap
09-29 00:06
Europe Away Odds UpEurope
09-29 15:29
Over Under Up LineOver Under
09-29 18:41
Handicap Down LineHandicap
09-29 18:41
Over Under Down LineOver Under

Overview Stats Title

2
Handicap Changes
3
Ou Changes
1
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
9
Total Records
2Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status　·　Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
09-28
09-29
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