UEFA Nations League

Slovenia vs North Macedonia Odds Movement Analysis | UEFA Nations League | 168 Tips

SloveniaSlovenia
VS
North MacedoniaNorth Macedonia
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-09-29 20:54:06
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 7.14 -0.25 0.02
Over Under 7.14 2.5 0.02
Europe 1.48 | 3.94 | 8.41
Probability 64.5% | 24.2% | 11.3%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Conflicted
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
European Odds, Implied Probability indicate movement toward the home side, while Handicap indicate movement toward the away side. Evidence Label: 1.67 → 1.49
Market State Agreement
Conflicting
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe · Probability
Market State Evidence
2
Market Signals Title
🟢 Home price down ★★★★☆🟢 Home win prob. up ★★★☆☆
Conflict Neutral Note
Conflicting Signals Title
Home price down1.67 → 1.492026-09-29 18:36:27★★★★☆Home win prob. up55.74 → 64.12026-09-29 18:36:27★★★☆☆
Strength Label ★★★★☆ Signals are split across markets. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-09-29 20:54:06

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Key Movements Title

5
09-29 18:36Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line09-29 15:12Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line09-29 11:43Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line09-29 08:19Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line09-29 02:57Away price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap line declined two tiers from the opening position.
History Title
09-24 21:510.88 -0.75 0.94Opening
09-29 15:121.08 -1 0.81Up Line
09-29 18:361.01 -1.25 0.88Up Line
09-29 20:547.14 -0.25 0.02Down Line
0.023.587.141713Home WaterAway Water-0.25
Timeline Title
09-24 21:51 Opening
-0.75
09-29 15:12
-1
09-29 18:36
-1.25
09-29 20:54
-0.25
09-29 20:54 Latest
-0.25
13
Record Count
3
Change Count
2
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleA small upward change in the total-goals line was recorded.
History Title
09-24 21:510.91 2/2.5 0.89Opening
09-29 08:190.81 2 1.07Down Line
09-29 20:547.14 2.5 0.02Up Line
0.023.587.141713OverUnder2.5
Timeline Title
09-24 21:51 Opening
2/2.5（0.91 / 0.89）
09-29 08:19
2（0.81 / 1.07）
09-29 20:54
2.5（7.14 / 0.02）
09-29 20:54 Latest
2.5（7.14 / 0.02）
13
Record Count
2
Change Count
1
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home-win price moved down noticeably from the opening observation.
History Title
09-24 21:511.67 / 3.61 / 5.04Opening
09-27 01:561.65 / 3.62 / 5.37Away Odds Up
09-29 18:361.49 / 3.93 / 8.24Home Odds Down
09-29 20:541.48 / 3.94 / 8.41No Change
1.484.958.411713HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
09-24 21:51 Opening
1.67 / 3.61 / 5.04
09-27 01:56
1.65 / 3.62 / 5.37
09-29 18:36
1.49 / 3.93 / 8.24
09-29 20:54 Latest
1.48 / 3.94 / 8.41
13
Record Count
2
Change Count
1
Home Odds Change
1
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleHome implied probability moved up by a moderate amount.
History Title
09-24 21:5155.7% / 25.8% / 18.5%Opening
09-29 18:3664.1% / 24.3% / 11.6%Home Prob Up
09-29 20:5464.5% / 24.2% / 11.3%No Change
11.337.964.51713Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
09-24 21:51 Opening
55.74%
09-29 18:36
64.10%
09-29 20:54 Latest
64.45%
13
Record Count
1
Change Count
+8.71%
Home Prob Cumulative
±5.04%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
★★★★★

Title

Count Suffix
09-29 18:36
🔴Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 6.88 points to 11.59% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-29 18:36
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 8.36 points to 64.1% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-29 18:36
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 5.04 to 8.24 (+63.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-29 18:36
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.67 to 1.49 (-10.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-29 18:36
🟢Handicap up★★☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 0.5/1 to 1/1.5, up 2 steps (0.5 goals) from opening - market backing home side strongly.
09-29 18:36
🔴Total down★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 2/2.5 to 2, down 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly lower.
09-29 15:12
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.49 points to 14.98% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-29 15:12
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.32 points to 59.06% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-29 15:12
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 5.04 to 6.31 (+25.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-29 15:12
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.67 to 1.6 (-4.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-29 15:12
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 0.5/1 to 1, up 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward home side.
09-29 11:43
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.9 points to 15.57% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-29 11:43
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.59 points to 58.33% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-29 11:43
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 5.04 to 6.07 (+20.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-29 08:19
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.57 points to 15.9% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-29 08:19
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.2 points to 57.94% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-29 08:19
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 5.04 to 5.94 (+17.9%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-29 02:57
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 5.04 to 5.69 (+12.9%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-28 14:47
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 5.04 to 5.64 (+11.9%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-28 02:39
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 5.04 to 5.57 (+10.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-27 14:08
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 5.04 to 5.45 (+8.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-27 01:56
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 5.04 to 5.37 (+6.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
09-24 21:51
Opening RecordOpening Short
09-27 01:56
Europe Away Odds UpEurope
09-29 08:19
Over Under Down LineOver Under
09-29 15:12
Handicap Up LineHandicap
09-29 18:36
Handicap Up LineHandicap
09-29 18:36
Europe Home Odds DownEurope
09-29 18:36
Prob Change PrefixHome Prob UpProbability
09-29 20:54
Handicap Down LineHandicap
09-29 20:54
Over Under Up LineOver Under

Overview Stats Title

3
Handicap Changes
2
Ou Changes
2
Odds Changes
1
Prob Changes
13
Total Records
6Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status　·　Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
09-24
09-25
09-26
09-27
09-28
09-29
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