UEFA Nations League

Norway vs Portugal Odds Movement Analysis | UEFA Nations League | 168 Tips

NorwayNorway
VS
PortugalPortugal
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-09-27 20:53:53
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 5.88 -0.25 0.06
Over Under 5.26 3.5 0.08
Europe 2.33 | 3.74 | 2.78
Probability 40.6% | 25.3% | 34.0%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
The core directional markets are aligned toward the home side. Evidence Label: 2.64 → 2.32
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under
Market State Evidence
4
Market Signals Title
🟢 Handicap up ★☆☆☆☆🟢 Home price down ★★★★☆🟢 Home win prob. up ★★★☆☆🟢 Total up ★★★★☆
Supporting Signals Title
Handicap up0 → -0.252026-09-27 17:49:55★☆☆☆☆Home price down2.64 → 2.322026-09-27 17:49:55★★★★☆Home win prob. up35.5 → 40.972026-09-27 17:49:55★★★☆☆
Independent Market Signals Title
Total up2.5/3 → 3/3.52026-09-27 17:49:55★★★★☆
Strength Label ★★★★☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-09-27 20:53:53

Key Movements Title

5
09-27 17:49Away price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line09-27 17:49Home price down★★★★☆Key Movement Line09-27 14:41Away price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line09-27 11:37Home price down★★★★☆Key Movement Line09-27 11:37Away price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap line moved upward by one tier from the prior observation.
History Title
09-24 21:450.95 0 0.87Opening
09-27 08:201.09 -0.25 0.80Up Line
09-27 20:535.88 -0.25 0.06Home Water Up
0.062.975.881610Home WaterAway Water-0.25
Timeline Title
09-24 21:45 Opening
0
09-27 08:20
-0.25
09-27 20:53
-0.25
09-27 20:53 Latest
-0.25
10
Record Count
2
Change Count
1
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleA larger upward change in the total-goals line was recorded.
History Title
09-24 21:450.81 2.5/3 0.99Opening
09-25 16:280.80 3 1.00Up Line
09-26 13:431.00 3/3.5 0.88Up Line
09-27 20:535.26 3.5 0.08Up Line
0.082.675.261610OverUnder3.5
Timeline Title
09-24 21:45 Opening
2.5/3（0.81 / 0.99）
09-25 16:28
3（0.80 / 1.00）
09-26 13:43
3/3.5（1.00 / 0.88）
09-27 20:53
3.5（5.26 / 0.08）
09-27 20:53 Latest
3.5（5.26 / 0.08）
10
Record Count
3
Change Count
3
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home 1X2 price decreased by a moderate amount.
History Title
09-24 21:452.64 / 3.49 / 2.49Opening
09-27 20:532.33 / 3.74 / 2.78No Change
2.323.053.791610HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
09-24 21:45 Opening
2.64 / 3.49 / 2.49
09-27 20:53 Latest
2.33 / 3.74 / 2.78
10
Record Count
0
Change Count
0
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
No Change

Probability

Of
Comment TitleHome implied probability moved up by a small amount.
History Title
09-24 21:4535.5% / 26.9% / 37.6%Opening
09-27 20:5340.6% / 25.3% / 34.0%No Change
25.133.041.01610Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
09-24 21:45 Opening
35.50%
09-27 20:53 Latest
40.63%
10
Record Count
0
Change Count
+5.13%
Home Prob Cumulative
±1.92%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
09-27 17:49
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.69 points to 33.95% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-27 17:49
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.47 points to 40.97% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-27 17:49
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 2.49 to 2.8 (+12.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-27 17:49
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.64 to 2.32 (-12.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-27 17:49
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 0 to 0/0.5, up 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward home side.
09-27 17:49
🟢Total up★★★☆☆
O/U line moved from 2.5/3 to 3/3.5, up 0.5 goals from opening - goal expectation rising notably.
09-27 14:41
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.61 points to 34.03% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-27 14:41
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.42 points to 40.92% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-27 14:41
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 2.49 to 2.79 (+12.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-27 11:37
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.94 points to 34.7% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-27 11:37
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.47 points to 39.97% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-27 11:37
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.49 to 2.73 (+9.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-27 11:37
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.64 to 2.37 (-10.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-27 08:20
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.54 points to 35.1% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-27 08:20
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.99 points to 39.49% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-27 08:20
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.49 to 2.7 (+8.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-27 08:20
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.64 to 2.4 (-9.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-27 05:10
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.61 points to 38.11% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-27 05:10
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.49 to 2.61 (+4.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-27 05:10
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.64 to 2.48 (-6.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-27 01:51
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.85 points to 38.35% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-27 01:51
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.49 to 2.62 (+5.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-27 01:51
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.64 to 2.46 (-6.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-26 13:43
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.62 points to 38.12% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-26 13:43
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.49 to 2.59 (+4.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-26 13:43
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.64 to 2.47 (-6.4%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-25 16:28
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.64 to 2.51 (-4.9%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-25 16:28
🟢Total up★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 2.5/3 to 3, up 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly higher.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
09-24 21:45
Opening RecordOpening Short
09-25 16:28
Over Under Up LineOver Under
09-26 13:43
Over Under Up LineOver Under
09-27 08:20
Handicap Up LineHandicap
09-27 20:53
Handicap Home Water UpHandicap
09-27 20:53
Over Under Up LineOver Under

Overview Stats Title

2
Handicap Changes
3
Ou Changes
0
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
10
Total Records
4Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status　·　Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
09-24
09-25
09-26
09-27
Partners
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