UEFA Nations League

Luxembourg vs Iceland Odds Movement Analysis | UEFA Nations League | 168 Tips

LuxembourgLuxembourg
VS
IcelandIceland
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-09-29 21:00:14
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.02 +0.25 7.14
Over Under 7.14 3.5 0.02
Europe 3.26 | 3.26 | 2.24
Probability 28.9% | 28.9% | 42.1%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Only European Odds indicates movement toward the away side; the other core signals show no matching direction. Evidence Label: 3.01 → 3.27
Market State Agreement
Insufficient
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe
Market State Evidence
1
Market Signals Title
🔴 Home price up ★★★☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Home price up3.01 → 3.272026-09-29 18:43:09★★★☆☆
Strength Label ★★★☆☆ There is not enough cross-market movement for a directional summary. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-09-29 21:00:14

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Key Movements Title

5
09-29 11:51Home price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line09-29 03:01Home price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line09-29 08:28Home price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line09-29 18:43Home price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line09-29 11:51Away price down★★★☆☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe main handicap line was stable, with a change in the home-side water.
History Title
09-28 02:460.86 +0.25 1.02Opening
09-29 03:011.02 +0.25 0.86Home Water Up
09-29 18:431.11 +0.25 0.79Home Water Up
09-29 21:000.02 +0.25 7.14home_water_down
0.023.587.14158Home WaterAway Water+0.25
Timeline Title
09-28 02:46 Opening
+0.25
09-29 03:01
+0.25
09-29 18:43
+0.25
09-29 21:00
+0.25
09-29 21:00 Latest
+0.25
8
Record Count
3
Change Count
0
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe Over/Under line moved up materially from the opening position.
History Title
09-28 02:460.87 2/2.5 0.99Opening
09-29 21:007.14 3.5 0.02Up Line
0.023.587.14158OverUnder3.5
Timeline Title
09-28 02:46 Opening
2/2.5（0.87 / 0.99）
09-29 21:00
3.5（7.14 / 0.02）
09-29 21:00 Latest
3.5（7.14 / 0.02）
8
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleA small upward change in the home-win price was recorded.
History Title
09-28 02:463.01 / 3.26 / 2.32Opening
09-29 03:013.32 / 3.30 / 2.18Home Odds Up
09-29 15:323.12 / 3.23 / 2.32Home Odds Down
09-29 21:003.26 / 3.26 / 2.24No Change
2.182.783.38158HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
09-28 02:46 Opening
3.01 / 3.26 / 2.32
09-29 03:01
3.32 / 3.30 / 2.18
09-29 15:32
3.12 / 3.23 / 2.32
09-29 21:00 Latest
3.26 / 3.26 / 2.24
8
Record Count
2
Change Count
2
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleNo significant win-probability movement recorded yet.
History Title
09-28 02:4631.1% / 28.7% / 40.3%Opening
09-29 21:0028.9% / 28.9% / 42.1%No Change
27.935.643.3158Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
09-28 02:46 Opening
31.05%
09-29 21:00 Latest
28.94%
8
Record Count
0
Change Count
-2.11%
Home Prob Cumulative
±2.61%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
09-29 18:43
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.17 points to 28.88% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-29 18:43
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.32 to 2.24 (-3.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-29 18:43
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 3.01 to 3.27 (+8.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-29 15:32
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 3.01 to 3.12 (+3.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-29 11:51
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.02 points to 43.3% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-29 11:51
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.12 points to 27.93% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-29 11:51
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.32 to 2.18 (-6.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-29 11:51
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 3.01 to 3.38 (+12.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-29 08:28
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.09 points to 42.37% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-29 08:28
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.55 points to 28.5% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-29 08:28
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.32 to 2.22 (-4.3%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-29 08:28
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 3.01 to 3.3 (+9.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-29 03:01
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.87 points to 43.15% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-29 03:01
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.71 points to 28.34% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-29 03:01
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.32 to 2.18 (-6.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-29 03:01
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 3.01 to 3.32 (+10.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
09-28 02:46
Opening RecordOpening Short
09-29 03:01
Handicap Home Water UpHandicap
09-29 03:01
Europe Home Odds UpEurope
09-29 15:32
Europe Home Odds DownEurope
09-29 18:43
Handicap Home Water UpHandicap
09-29 21:00
Handicap home_water_downHandicap
09-29 21:00
Over Under Up LineOver Under

Overview Stats Title

3
Handicap Changes
1
Ou Changes
2
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
8
Total Records
2Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status　·　Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
09-28
09-29
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