UEFA Nations League

Israel vs Republic of Ireland Odds Movement Analysis | UEFA Nations League | 168 Tips

IsraelIsrael
VS
Republic of IrelandRepublic of Ireland
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-09-27 20:54:17
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 7.69 -0.25 0.01
Over Under 7.69 3.5 0.01
Europe 2.76 | 3.16 | 2.63
Probability 34.2% | 29.9% | 35.9%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Handicap moved toward the home side, while the other core signals did not match it. Evidence Label: 0 → -0.25
Market State Agreement
Insufficient
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe · Probability
Market State Evidence
1
Market Signals Title
Strength Label ★☆☆☆☆ There is not enough cross-market movement for a directional summary. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-09-27 20:54:17

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap line moved upward by one tier from the prior observation.
History Title
09-24 21:450.97 0 0.85Opening
09-26 13:431.11 -0.25 0.78Up Line
09-27 01:520.97 0 0.91Down Line
09-27 20:547.69 -0.25 0.01Up Line
0.013.857.691610Home WaterAway Water-0.25
Timeline Title
09-24 21:45 Opening
0
09-26 13:43
-0.25
09-27 01:52
0
09-27 20:54
-0.25
09-27 20:54 Latest
-0.25
10
Record Count
3
Change Count
2
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe Over/Under line moved up materially from the opening position.
History Title
09-24 21:451.00 2.5 0.80Opening
09-27 05:100.82 2/2.5 1.06Down Line
09-27 20:547.69 3.5 0.01Up Line
0.013.857.691610OverUnder3.5
Timeline Title
09-24 21:45 Opening
2.5(1.00 / 0.80)
09-27 05:10
2/2.5(0.82 / 1.06)
09-27 20:54
3.5(7.69 / 0.01)
09-27 20:54 Latest
3.5(7.69 / 0.01)
10
Record Count
2
Change Count
1
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleNo significant 1X2 price movement recorded yet.
History Title
09-24 21:452.78 / 3.29 / 2.45Opening
09-25 16:292.92 / 3.26 / 2.37Home Odds Up
09-26 13:432.67 / 3.19 / 2.69Home Odds Down
09-27 20:542.76 / 3.16 / 2.63No Change
2.372.833.291610HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
09-24 21:45 Opening
2.78 / 3.29 / 2.45
09-25 16:29
2.92 / 3.26 / 2.37
09-26 13:43
2.67 / 3.19 / 2.69
09-27 20:54 Latest
2.76 / 3.16 / 2.63
10
Record Count
2
Change Count
2
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleNo significant win-probability movement recorded yet.
History Title
09-24 21:4533.6% / 28.4% / 38.1%Opening
09-26 13:4335.3% / 29.6% / 35.1%Home Prob Up
09-27 20:5434.2% / 29.9% / 35.9%No Change
28.433.939.41610Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
09-24 21:45 Opening
33.56%
09-26 13:43
35.34%
09-27 20:54 Latest
34.21%
10
Record Count
1
Change Count
+0.65%
Home Prob Cumulative
±3.37%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
★★★★★

Title

Count Suffix
09-27 17:50
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.37 points to 34.71% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-27 17:50
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 2.45 to 2.72 (+11.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-27 17:50
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.78 to 2.66 (-4.3%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-27 17:50
🔴Total down★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 2.5 to 2/2.5, down 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly lower.
09-27 14:42
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.41 points to 35.67% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-27 14:42
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.45 to 2.65 (+8.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-27 11:37
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.29 points to 35.79% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-27 11:37
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.45 to 2.64 (+7.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-27 08:20
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.34 points to 35.74% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-27 05:10
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.13 points to 35.95% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-27 05:10
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.45 to 2.62 (+6.9%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-27 01:52
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.1 points to 35.98% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-26 13:43
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.0 points to 35.08% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-26 13:43
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.45 to 2.69 (+9.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-26 13:43
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.78 to 2.67 (-4.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-26 13:43
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 0 to 0/0.5, up 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward home side.
09-25 16:29
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.45 to 2.37 (-3.3%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-25 16:29
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.78 to 2.92 (+5.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
09-24 21:45
Opening RecordOpening Short
09-25 16:29
Europe Home Odds UpEurope
09-26 13:43
Handicap Up LineHandicap
09-26 13:43
Europe Home Odds DownEurope
09-26 13:43
Prob Change PrefixHome Prob UpProbability
09-27 01:52
Handicap Down LineHandicap
09-27 05:10
Over Under Down LineOver Under
09-27 20:54
Handicap Up LineHandicap
09-27 20:54
Over Under Up LineOver Under

Overview Stats Title

3
Handicap Changes
2
Ou Changes
2
Odds Changes
1
Prob Changes
10
Total Records
4Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status · Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
09-24
09-25
09-26
09-27