UEFA Nations League

Bulgaria vs Estonia Odds Movement Analysis | UEFA Nations League | 168 Tips

BulgariaBulgaria
VS
EstoniaEstonia
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-09-29 20:59:48
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 7.14 -0.25 0.02
Over Under 7.14 0.5 0.02
Europe 1.80 | 3.37 | 4.84
Probability 52.5% | 28.0% | 19.5%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Handicap, 1X2 price, and implied probability all indicate movement toward the away side. Evidence Label: 1.64 → 1.8
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
🔴 Handicap down ★★☆☆☆🔴 Home price up ★★★☆☆🔴 Home win prob. down ★★☆☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Handicap down-0.75 → -0.52026-09-29 18:42:44★★☆☆☆Home price up1.64 → 1.82026-09-29 18:42:44★★★☆☆Home win prob. down56.94 → 52.492026-09-29 18:42:44★★☆☆☆
Strength Label ★★★☆☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-09-29 20:59:48

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Key Movements Title

5
09-29 18:42Away price down★★★★☆Key Movement Line09-29 11:50Away price down★★★★☆Key Movement Line09-29 08:27Away price down★★★★☆Key Movement Line09-29 15:32Away price down★★★★☆Key Movement Line09-29 18:42Home price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap moved down two steps across the observed period.
History Title
09-28 02:460.90 -0.75 0.98Opening
09-29 18:420.92 -0.5 0.97Down Line
09-29 20:597.14 -0.25 0.02Down Line
0.023.587.14158Home WaterAway Water-0.25
Timeline Title
09-28 02:46 Opening
-0.75
09-29 18:42
-0.5
09-29 20:59
-0.25
09-29 20:59 Latest
-0.25
8
Record Count
2
Change Count
0
Up Count
2
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe Over/Under line moved down materially from the opening position.
History Title
09-28 02:460.78 2 1.08Opening
09-28 15:311.08 2/2.5 0.79Up Line
09-29 18:420.78 2 1.11Down Line
09-29 20:597.14 0.5 0.02Down Line
0.023.587.14158OverUnder0.5
Timeline Title
09-28 02:46 Opening
2（0.78 / 1.08）
09-28 15:31
2/2.5（1.08 / 0.79）
09-29 18:42
2（0.78 / 1.11）
09-29 20:59
0.5（7.14 / 0.02）
09-29 20:59 Latest
0.5（7.14 / 0.02）
8
Record Count
3
Change Count
1
Up Count
2
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home 1X2 price increased by a small amount.
History Title
09-28 02:461.64 / 3.52 / 5.65Opening
09-29 08:271.75 / 3.47 / 5.02Away Odds Down
09-29 20:591.80 / 3.37 / 4.84No Change
1.643.655.66158HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
09-28 02:46 Opening
1.64 / 3.52 / 5.65
09-29 08:27
1.75 / 3.47 / 5.02
09-29 20:59 Latest
1.80 / 3.37 / 4.84
8
Record Count
1
Change Count
0
Home Odds Change
1
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleHome implied probability moved down by a small amount.
History Title
09-28 02:4656.9% / 26.5% / 16.5%Opening
09-29 20:5952.5% / 28.0% / 19.5%No Change
16.536.857.0158Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
09-28 02:46 Opening
56.94%
09-29 20:59 Latest
52.47%
8
Record Count
0
Change Count
-4.47%
Home Prob Cumulative
±2.34%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
09-29 18:42
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.95 points to 19.48% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-29 18:42
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 4.45 points to 52.49% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-29 18:42
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.65 to 4.85 (-14.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-29 18:42
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.64 to 1.8 (+9.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-29 18:42
🔴Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 0.5/1 to 0.5, down 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward away side.
09-29 15:32
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.13 points to 18.66% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-29 15:32
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.77 points to 54.17% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-29 15:32
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.65 to 5.05 (-10.6%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-29 15:32
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.64 to 1.74 (+6.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-29 15:32
🟢Total up★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 2 to 2/2.5, up 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly higher.
09-29 11:50
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.36 points to 18.89% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-29 11:50
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.07 points to 53.87% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-29 11:50
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.65 to 4.99 (-11.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-29 11:50
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.64 to 1.75 (+6.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-29 08:27
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.28 points to 18.81% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-29 08:27
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.97 points to 53.97% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-29 08:27
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.65 to 5.02 (-11.2%) - away side attracting more attention.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
09-28 02:46
Opening RecordOpening Short
09-28 15:31
Over Under Up LineOver Under
09-29 08:27
Europe Away Odds DownEurope
09-29 18:42
Handicap Down LineHandicap
09-29 18:42
Over Under Down LineOver Under
09-29 20:59
Handicap Down LineHandicap
09-29 20:59
Over Under Down LineOver Under

Overview Stats Title

2
Handicap Changes
3
Ou Changes
1
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
8
Total Records
2Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status　·　Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
09-28
09-29
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