US Sassuolo Calcio vs SS Lazio Odds Movement Analysis | Serie A | 168.Tips

Serie A 2026-10-28 01:30
US Sassuolo CalcioUS Sassuolo Calcio
VS
SS LazioSS Lazio
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-27 17:18:11
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.91 +0.5 0.98
Over Under 1.01 3 0.88
Europe 3.59 | 3.59 | 2.00
Probability 26.4% | 26.4% | 47.3%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
The core directional markets are aligned toward the away side. Evidence Label: 2.84 → 3.46
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe
Market State Evidence
4
Market Signals Title
🔴 Handicap down ★☆☆☆☆🔴 Home price up ★★★★★🔴 Home win prob. down ★★★☆☆🟢 Total up ★★☆☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Handicap down+0.25 → +0.52026-10-27 16:23:43★☆☆☆☆Home price up2.84 → 3.462026-10-27 16:23:43★★★★★Home win prob. down32.99 → 27.342026-10-27 16:23:43★★★☆☆
Independent Market Signals Title
Total up2.5/3 → 32026-10-27 10:30:25★★☆☆☆
Strength Label ★★★★★ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-27 17:18:11

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Key Movements Title

5
10-27 16:23Home price up★★★★★Key Movement Line10-27 15:15Home price up★★★★★Key Movement Line10-27 13:38Home price up★★★★★Key Movement Line10-27 12:27Home price up★★★★★Key Movement Line10-27 10:30Home price up★★★★★Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap line moved downward by one tier from the prior observation.
History Title
10-24 04:380.85 +0.25 1.03Opening
10-27 16:230.87 +0.5 1.02Down Line
10-27 17:180.91 +0.5 0.98No Change
0.800.951.0911426Home WaterAway Water+0.5
Timeline Title
10-24 04:38 Opening
+0.25
10-27 16:23
+0.5
10-27 17:18 Latest
+0.5
26
Record Count
1
Change Count
0
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe Over/Under line moved up slightly from the previous observation.
History Title
10-24 04:380.97 2.5/3 0.91Opening
10-27 04:541.04 3 0.84Up Line
10-27 12:270.92 2.5/3 0.96Down Line
10-27 17:181.01 3 0.88Up Line
0.840.941.0411426OverUnder3
Timeline Title
10-24 04:38 Opening
2.5/3（0.97 / 0.91）
10-27 04:54
3（1.04 / 0.84）
10-27 12:27
2.5/3（0.92 / 0.96）
10-27 17:18
3（1.01 / 0.88）
10-27 17:18 Latest
3（1.01 / 0.88）
26
Record Count
3
Change Count
2
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home 1X2 price increased by a large amount.
History Title
10-24 04:382.84 / 3.39 / 2.38Opening
10-25 11:113.07 / 3.45 / 2.23Home Odds Up
10-27 17:183.59 / 3.59 / 2.00No Change
2.002.793.5911426HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
10-24 04:38 Opening
2.84 / 3.39 / 2.38
10-25 11:11
3.07 / 3.45 / 2.23
10-27 17:18 Latest
3.59 / 3.59 / 2.00
26
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleHome implied probability moved down by a moderate amount.
History Title
10-24 04:3833.0% / 27.6% / 39.4%Opening
10-27 17:1826.4% / 26.4% / 47.3%No Change
26.436.847.311426Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
10-24 04:38 Opening
32.99%
10-27 17:18 Latest
26.35%
26
Record Count
0
Change Count
-6.64%
Home Prob Cumulative
±1.78%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
10-27 16:23
🟢Away win prob. up★★★☆☆
Away win probability increased by 6.33 points to 45.7% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 16:23
🔴Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 5.65 points to 27.34% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 16:23
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.38 to 2.07 (-13.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-27 16:23
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 2.84 to 3.46 (+21.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-27 16:23
🔴Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 0/0.5 to -0.5, down 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward away side.
10-27 15:15
🟢Away win prob. up★★★☆☆
Away win probability increased by 6.11 points to 45.48% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 15:15
🔴Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 5.41 points to 27.58% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 15:15
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.38 to 2.08 (-12.6%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-27 15:15
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 2.84 to 3.43 (+20.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-27 13:38
🟢Away win prob. up★★★☆☆
Away win probability increased by 5.91 points to 45.28% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 13:38
🔴Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 5.24 points to 27.75% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 13:38
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 2.84 to 3.41 (+20.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-27 13:38
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.38 to 2.09 (-12.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-27 12:27
🟢Away win prob. up★★★☆☆
Away win probability increased by 5.87 points to 45.24% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 12:27
🔴Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 5.1 points to 27.89% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 12:27
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 2.84 to 3.39 (+19.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-27 10:30
🟢Away win prob. up★★★☆☆
Away win probability increased by 5.54 points to 44.91% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 10:30
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 4.36 points to 28.63% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 10:30
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 2.84 to 3.31 (+16.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-27 10:30
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.38 to 2.11 (-11.3%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-27 10:30
🟢Total up★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 2.5/3 to 3, up 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly higher.
10-27 07:40
🟢Away win prob. up★★★☆☆
Away win probability increased by 5.46 points to 44.83% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 07:40
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 4.24 points to 28.75% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 07:40
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 2.84 to 3.29 (+15.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-27 04:54
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 4.76 points to 44.13% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 04:54
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.57 points to 29.42% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 04:54
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.38 to 2.14 (-10.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-27 04:54
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 2.84 to 3.21 (+13.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-27 03:17
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 4.54 points to 43.91% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 03:17
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.49 points to 29.5% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 03:17
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 2.84 to 3.2 (+12.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-27 03:17
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.38 to 2.15 (-9.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-27 00:56
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 4.5 points to 43.87% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 00:56
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.42 points to 29.57% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 00:56
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 2.84 to 3.19 (+12.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-26 22:09
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 4.54 points to 43.91% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-26 22:09
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.49 points to 29.5% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-26 22:09
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 2.84 to 3.2 (+12.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-26 18:59
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 4.52 points to 43.89% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-26 18:59
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.69 points to 29.3% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-26 18:59
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 2.84 to 3.22 (+13.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-26 17:43
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 4.67 points to 44.04% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-26 17:43
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.81 points to 29.18% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-26 17:43
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.38 to 2.14 (-10.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-26 17:43
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 2.84 to 3.23 (+13.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-26 15:22
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 4.45 points to 43.82% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-26 15:22
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.64 points to 29.35% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-26 15:22
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.38 to 2.15 (-9.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-26 15:22
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 2.84 to 3.21 (+13.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-26 11:32
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 4.6 points to 43.97% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-26 11:32
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.77 points to 29.22% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-26 11:32
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.38 to 2.14 (-10.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-26 11:32
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 2.84 to 3.22 (+13.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-26 08:01
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 4.82 points to 44.19% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-26 08:01
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.85 points to 29.14% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-26 08:01
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.38 to 2.13 (-10.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-26 08:01
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 2.84 to 3.23 (+13.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-26 04:35
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 4.63 points to 44.0% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-26 04:35
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.75 points to 29.24% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-26 04:35
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.38 to 2.14 (-10.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-26 04:35
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 2.84 to 3.22 (+13.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-26 01:02
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 4.22 points to 43.59% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-26 01:02
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.48 points to 29.51% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-26 01:02
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.38 to 2.16 (-9.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-26 01:02
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 2.84 to 3.19 (+12.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-25 21:33
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.35 points to 42.72% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-25 21:33
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.87 points to 30.12% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-25 21:33
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.38 to 2.2 (-7.6%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-25 21:33
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.84 to 3.12 (+9.9%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-25 18:02
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.15 points to 42.52% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-25 18:02
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.58 points to 30.41% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-25 18:02
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.38 to 2.21 (-7.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-25 18:02
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.84 to 3.09 (+8.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-25 11:11
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.77 points to 42.14% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-25 11:11
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.38 points to 30.61% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-25 11:11
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.38 to 2.23 (-6.3%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-25 11:11
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.84 to 3.07 (+8.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
10-24 04:38
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-25 11:11
Europe Home Odds UpEurope
10-27 04:54
Over Under Up LineOver Under
10-27 12:27
Over Under Down LineOver Under
10-27 16:23
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-27 17:18
Over Under Up LineOver Under

Overview Stats Title

1
Handicap Changes
3
Ou Changes
1
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
26
Total Records
4Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status　·　Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
10-24
10-25
10-26
10-27
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