Frosinone Calcio vs US Lecce Odds Movement Analysis | Serie A | 168.Tips

Serie A 2026-10-30 01:30
Frosinone CalcioFrosinone Calcio
VS
US LecceUS Lecce
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-29 13:59:20
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.87 -0.75 1.02
Over Under 0.91 3.5 0.98
Europe 1.69 | 4.16 | 4.39
Probability 55.8% | 22.7% | 21.5%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Three core directional markets show the same home-side direction. Evidence Label: 1.88 → 1.71
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe · Probability
Market State Evidence
4
Market Signals Title
Strength Label ★★★★☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-29 13:59:20

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Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap line moved upward by one tier from the prior observation.
History Title
10-25 07:290.93 -0.5 0.95Opening
10-26 00:260.89 -0.75 0.99Up Line
10-29 13:590.87 -0.75 1.02No Change
0.830.941.0511223Home WaterAway Water-0.75
Timeline Title
10-25 07:29 Opening
-0.5
10-26 00:26
-0.75
10-29 13:59 Latest
-0.75
23
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleA larger upward change in the total-goals line was recorded.
History Title
10-25 07:290.98 3 0.90Opening
10-26 00:260.93 3/3.5 0.95Up Line
10-28 16:541.02 3.5 0.86Up Line
10-29 13:590.91 3.5 0.98No Change
0.860.961.0611223OverUnder3.5
Timeline Title
10-25 07:29 Opening
3(0.98 / 0.90)
10-26 00:26
3/3.5(0.93 / 0.95)
10-28 16:54
3.5(1.02 / 0.86)
10-29 13:59 Latest
3.5(0.91 / 0.98)
23
Record Count
2
Change Count
2
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home-win price moved down noticeably from the opening observation.
History Title
10-25 07:291.88 / 3.69 / 3.78Opening
10-26 00:261.72 / 3.98 / 4.34Home Odds Down
10-29 13:591.69 / 4.16 / 4.39No Change
1.653.174.6911223HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
10-25 07:29 Opening
1.88 / 3.69 / 3.78
10-26 00:26
1.72 / 3.98 / 4.34
10-29 13:59 Latest
1.69 / 4.16 / 4.39
23
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleHome implied probability moved up by a moderate amount.
History Title
10-25 07:2949.8% / 25.4% / 24.8%Opening
10-26 00:2654.7% / 23.6% / 21.7%Home Prob Up
10-29 13:5955.8% / 22.7% / 21.5%No Change
20.138.657.111223Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
10-25 07:29 Opening
49.83%
10-26 00:26
54.69%
10-29 13:59 Latest
55.83%
23
Record Count
1
Change Count
+6.00%
Home Prob Cumulative
±4.49%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
★★★★★

Title

Count Suffix
10-29 12:11
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.94 points to 21.84% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-29 12:11
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.48 points to 55.31% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-29 12:11
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.88 to 1.71 (-9.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-29 12:11
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 3.78 to 4.33 (+14.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-29 12:11
🟢Total up★★★☆☆
O/U line moved from 3 to 3.5, up 0.5 goals from opening - goal expectation rising notably.
10-29 12:11
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 0.5 to 0.5/1, up 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward home side.
10-29 10:53
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.0 points to 21.78% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-29 10:53
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.66 points to 55.49% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-29 10:53
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.88 to 1.7 (-9.6%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-29 08:22
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.94 points to 21.84% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-29 08:22
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.48 points to 55.31% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-29 08:22
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.88 to 1.71 (-9.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-29 05:03
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.98 points to 20.8% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-29 05:03
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 6.39 points to 56.22% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-29 05:03
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 3.78 to 4.54 (+20.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-29 05:03
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.88 to 1.68 (-10.6%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-29 03:19
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.5 points to 20.28% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-29 03:19
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 7.11 points to 56.94% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-29 03:19
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 3.78 to 4.66 (+23.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-29 03:19
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.88 to 1.66 (-11.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-29 01:34
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.64 points to 20.14% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-29 01:34
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 7.31 points to 57.14% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-29 01:34
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 3.78 to 4.68 (+23.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-29 01:34
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.88 to 1.65 (-12.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-28 23:32
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.69 points to 20.09% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 23:32
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 7.27 points to 57.1% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 23:32
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 3.78 to 4.69 (+24.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-28 21:32
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.68 points to 20.1% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 21:32
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 7.3 points to 57.13% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 20:17
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.62 points to 20.16% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 20:17
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 7.22 points to 57.05% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 20:17
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 3.78 to 4.67 (+23.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-28 18:20
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.52 points to 20.26% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 18:20
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 7.05 points to 56.88% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 18:20
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 3.78 to 4.66 (+23.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-28 18:20
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.88 to 1.66 (-11.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-28 16:54
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.43 points to 20.35% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 16:54
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 6.94 points to 56.77% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 16:54
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 3.78 to 4.63 (+22.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-28 10:43
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.21 points to 20.57% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 10:43
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 6.57 points to 56.4% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 10:43
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 3.78 to 4.58 (+21.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-28 10:43
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.88 to 1.67 (-11.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-28 10:43
🟢Total up★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 3 to 3/3.5, up 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly higher.
10-28 02:39
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.19 points to 20.59% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 02:39
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 6.52 points to 56.35% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 02:39
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 3.78 to 4.57 (+20.9%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-27 22:41
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.18 points to 20.6% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 22:41
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 6.55 points to 56.38% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 18:47
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.19 points to 20.59% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 18:47
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 6.52 points to 56.35% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 10:33
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.17 points to 20.61% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 10:33
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 6.46 points to 56.29% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 10:33
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 3.78 to 4.56 (+20.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-27 01:49
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.13 points to 20.65% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 01:49
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 6.43 points to 56.26% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 01:49
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 3.78 to 4.55 (+20.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-26 17:04
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.84 points to 20.94% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-26 17:04
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 6.13 points to 55.96% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-26 17:04
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 3.78 to 4.49 (+18.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-26 17:04
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.88 to 1.68 (-10.6%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-26 08:46
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.35 points to 21.43% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-26 08:46
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.39 points to 55.22% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-26 08:46
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 3.78 to 4.38 (+15.9%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-26 08:46
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.88 to 1.7 (-9.6%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-26 00:26
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.11 points to 21.67% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-26 00:26
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.86 points to 54.69% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-26 00:26
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 3.78 to 4.34 (+14.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-26 00:26
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.88 to 1.72 (-8.5%) - away side attracting more attention.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
10-25 07:29
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-26 00:26
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-26 00:26
Over Under Up LineOver Under
10-26 00:26
Europe Home Odds DownEurope
10-26 00:26
Prob Change PrefixHome Prob UpProbability
10-28 16:54
Over Under Up LineOver Under

Overview Stats Title

1
Handicap Changes
2
Ou Changes
1
Odds Changes
1
Prob Changes
23
Total Records
5Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status · Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
10-25
10-26
10-27
10-28
10-29
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