AC Milan vs Inter Milan Odds Movement Analysis | Serie A | 168.Tips

Serie A 2026-11-01 03:45
AC MilanAC Milan
VS
Inter MilanInter Milan
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-29 14:23:28
Focused Monitoring Until Kickoff
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.90 +0.5 0.98
Over Under 1.05 3 0.83
Europe 3.48 | 3.67 | 1.98
Probability 27.0% | 25.6% | 47.4%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Handicap, 1X2 price, and implied probability all indicate movement toward the away side. Evidence Label: 3.01 → 3.49
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
🔴 Handicap down ★☆☆☆☆🔴 Home price up ★★★★★🔴 Home win prob. down ★★☆☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Handicap down+0.25 → +0.52026-10-28 20:34:07★☆☆☆☆Home price up3.01 → 3.492026-10-29 05:18:36★★★★★Home win prob. down31.12 → 26.952026-10-29 05:18:36★★☆☆☆
Strength Label ★★★★★ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Focused Monitoring Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-29 14:23:28

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Key Movements Title

5
10-29 05:18Home price up★★★★★Key Movement Line10-28 20:34Home price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-29 05:18Away price down★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-28 20:34Away price down★★★☆☆Key Movement Line10-28 01:58Home price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleA small downward handicap change was recorded.
History Title
10-26 03:180.94 +0.25 0.94Opening
10-28 20:340.90 +0.5 0.98Down Line
10-29 05:181.14 +0.25 0.83Up Line
10-29 14:230.90 +0.5 0.98Down Line
0.830.981.141610Home WaterAway Water+0.5
Timeline Title
10-26 03:18 Opening
+0.25
10-28 20:34
+0.5
10-29 05:18
+0.25
10-29 14:23
+0.5
10-29 14:23 Latest
+0.5
10
Record Count
3
Change Count
1
Up Count
2
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe observed total line moved to a higher level.
History Title
10-26 03:180.83 2.5/3 1.05Opening
10-29 14:231.05 3 0.83Up Line
0.830.961.091610OverUnder3
Timeline Title
10-26 03:18 Opening
2.5/3（0.83 / 1.05）
10-29 14:23
3（1.05 / 0.83）
10-29 14:23 Latest
3（1.05 / 0.83）
10
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleA large upward change in the home-win price was recorded.
History Title
10-26 03:183.01 / 3.56 / 2.20Opening
10-26 12:163.23 / 3.61 / 2.07Home Odds Up
10-29 14:233.48 / 3.67 / 1.98No Change
1.982.833.681610HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
10-26 03:18 Opening
3.01 / 3.56 / 2.20
10-26 12:16
3.23 / 3.61 / 2.07
10-29 14:23 Latest
3.48 / 3.67 / 1.98
10
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleA small downward change in home implied probability was recorded.
History Title
10-26 03:1831.1% / 26.3% / 42.6%Opening
10-29 14:2327.0% / 25.6% / 47.4%No Change
25.536.547.51610Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
10-26 03:18 Opening
31.12%
10-29 14:23 Latest
26.98%
10
Record Count
0
Change Count
-4.14%
Home Prob Cumulative
±2.18%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
10-29 05:18
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 4.93 points to 47.5% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-29 05:18
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 4.17 points to 26.95% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-29 05:18
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.2 to 1.98 (-10.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-29 05:18
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 3.01 to 3.49 (+15.9%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-28 20:34
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 4.34 points to 46.91% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 20:34
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.53 points to 27.59% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 20:34
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.2 to 2.0 (-9.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-28 20:34
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 3.01 to 3.4 (+13.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-28 20:34
🔴Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 0/0.5 to -0.5, down 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward away side.
10-28 11:19
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.96 points to 45.53% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 11:19
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.35 points to 28.77% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 11:19
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 3.01 to 3.26 (+8.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-28 11:19
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.2 to 2.06 (-6.4%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-28 01:58
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.97 points to 45.54% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 01:58
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.43 points to 28.69% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 01:58
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 3.01 to 3.27 (+8.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-27 17:31
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.93 points to 45.5% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 17:31
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.37 points to 28.75% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 17:31
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 3.01 to 3.26 (+8.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-27 08:20
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.66 points to 45.23% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 08:20
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.22 points to 28.9% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 08:20
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 3.01 to 3.24 (+7.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-27 08:20
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.2 to 2.07 (-5.9%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-26 21:42
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.62 points to 45.19% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-26 21:42
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.16 points to 28.96% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-26 21:42
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 3.01 to 3.23 (+7.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-26 12:16
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.59 points to 45.16% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-26 12:16
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.18 points to 28.94% - market probability distribution shifted.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
10-26 03:18
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-26 12:16
Europe Home Odds UpEurope
10-28 20:34
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-29 05:18
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-29 14:23
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-29 14:23
Over Under Up LineOver Under

Overview Stats Title

3
Handicap Changes
1
Ou Changes
1
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
10
Total Records
4Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
Focused
Monitor Level
Focused Monitoring
Current Status　·　Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
10-26
10-27
10-28
10-29
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