AC Milan vs Bologna FC 1909 Odds Movement Analysis | Serie A | 168.Tips

Serie A 2026-10-29 01:30
AC MilanAC Milan
VS
Bologna FC 1909Bologna FC 1909
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-28 16:45:28
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.90 -0.75 0.99
Over Under 0.86 2/2.5 1.03
Europe 1.68 | 3.68 | 5.24
Probability 56.3% | 25.7% | 18.0%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Only Handicap indicates movement toward the away side; the other core signals show no matching direction. Evidence Label: -1 → -0.75
Market State Agreement
Insufficient
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under
Market State Evidence
2
Market Signals Title
🔴 Handicap down ★☆☆☆☆🔴 Total down ★★☆☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Handicap down-1 → -0.752026-10-28 14:18:59★☆☆☆☆
Independent Market Signals Title
Total down2.5 → 2/2.52026-10-28 14:18:59★★☆☆☆
Strength Label ★☆☆☆☆ There is not enough cross-market movement for a directional summary. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-28 16:45:28

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Key Movements Title

5
10-28 10:35Home price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line10-28 04:54Away price down★★★☆☆Key Movement Line10-28 14:18Home price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line10-28 02:34Away price down★★★☆☆Key Movement Line10-28 00:47Away price down★★★☆☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap moved down one step from the previous observation.
History Title
10-23 10:071.07 -1 0.81Opening
10-27 15:020.85 -0.75 1.03Down Line
10-28 16:450.90 -0.75 0.99No Change
0.790.941.0911324Home WaterAway Water-0.75
Timeline Title
10-23 10:07 Opening
-1
10-27 15:02
-0.75
10-28 16:45 Latest
-0.75
24
Record Count
1
Change Count
0
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe observed total line moved to a lower level.
History Title
10-23 10:070.85 2.5 1.03Opening
10-27 15:021.05 2.5/3 0.83Up Line
10-27 18:400.84 2.5 1.04Down Line
10-28 10:350.84 2/2.5 1.04Down Line
10-28 16:450.86 2/2.5 1.03No Change
0.830.941.0511324OverUnder2/2.5
Timeline Title
10-23 10:07 Opening
2.5（0.85 / 1.03）
10-27 15:02
2.5/3（1.05 / 0.83）
10-27 18:40
2.5（0.84 / 1.04）
10-28 10:35
2/2.5（0.84 / 1.04）
10-28 16:45 Latest
2/2.5（0.86 / 1.03）
24
Record Count
3
Change Count
1
Up Count
2
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleNo significant 1X2 price movement recorded yet.
History Title
10-23 10:071.60 / 3.96 / 5.22Opening
10-28 16:451.68 / 3.68 / 5.24No Change
1.603.505.3911324HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
10-23 10:07 Opening
1.60 / 3.96 / 5.22
10-28 16:45 Latest
1.68 / 3.68 / 5.24
24
Record Count
0
Change Count
0
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
No Change

Probability

Of
Comment TitleNo significant win-probability movement recorded yet.
History Title
10-23 10:0758.5% / 23.6% / 17.9%Opening
10-28 16:4556.3% / 25.7% / 18.0%No Change
17.438.158.811324Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
10-23 10:07 Opening
58.46%
10-28 16:45 Latest
56.27%
24
Record Count
0
Change Count
-2.19%
Home Prob Cumulative
±0.91%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
10-28 14:18
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.82 points to 55.64% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 14:18
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.6 to 1.7 (+6.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-28 14:18
🔴Total down★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 2.5 to 2/2.5, down 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly lower.
10-28 14:18
🔴Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 1 to 0.5/1, down 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward away side.
10-28 10:35
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.22 points to 55.24% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 10:35
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.22 to 5.02 (-3.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-28 10:35
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.6 to 1.71 (+6.9%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-28 04:54
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.31 points to 56.15% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 04:54
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.22 to 4.89 (-6.3%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-28 04:54
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.6 to 1.68 (+5.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-28 02:34
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.27 points to 56.19% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 02:34
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.22 to 4.91 (-5.9%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-28 00:47
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.13 points to 56.33% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 00:47
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.22 to 4.94 (-5.4%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-27 23:19
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.6 to 1.67 (+4.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-27 21:53
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.22 to 4.97 (-4.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-27 20:14
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.22 to 5.0 (-4.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-27 20:14
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.6 to 1.66 (+3.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-27 18:40
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.22 to 5.06 (-3.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-27 18:40
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.6 to 1.65 (+3.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-27 15:02
🟢Total up★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 2.5 to 2.5/3, up 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly higher.
10-27 01:45
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 5.22 to 5.38 (+3.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-26 20:18
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 5.22 to 5.39 (+3.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-26 16:59
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 5.22 to 5.38 (+3.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
10-23 10:07
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-27 15:02
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-27 15:02
Over Under Up LineOver Under
10-27 18:40
Over Under Down LineOver Under
10-28 10:35
Over Under Down LineOver Under

Overview Stats Title

1
Handicap Changes
3
Ou Changes
0
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
24
Total Records
6Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status　·　Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
10-23
10-24
10-25
10-26
10-27
10-28
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