AC Monza vs SSC Napoli Odds Movement Analysis | Serie A | 168.Tips

Serie A 2026-10-29 03:45
AC MonzaAC Monza
VS
SSC NapoliSSC Napoli
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-28 19:12:10
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.90 +1 0.99
Over Under 1.05 3 0.84
Europe 4.98 | 4.08 | 1.65
Probability 19.1% | 23.3% | 57.6%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Three core directional markets show the same away-side direction. Evidence Label: 3.81 → 4.59
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
🔴 Handicap down ★★☆☆☆🔴 Home price up ★★★★★🔴 Home win prob. down ★★★☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Handicap down+0.5 → +0.752026-10-28 18:14:33★★☆☆☆Home price up3.81 → 4.592026-10-28 18:14:33★★★★★Home win prob. down24.55 → 20.62026-10-28 18:14:33★★★☆☆
Strength Label ★★★★★ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-28 19:12:10

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Key Movements Title

5
10-28 18:14Home price up★★★★★Key Movement Line10-28 16:47Home price up★★★★★Key Movement Line10-28 14:22Home price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-28 10:37Home price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-25 05:15Home price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap moved down two steps across the observed period.
History Title
10-23 10:100.97 +0.5 0.91Opening
10-25 05:150.89 +0.75 0.99Down Line
10-28 19:120.90 +1 0.99Down Line
0.860.941.0211427Home WaterAway Water+1
Timeline Title
10-23 10:10 Opening
+0.5
10-25 05:15
+0.75
10-28 19:12
+1
10-28 19:12 Latest
+1
27
Record Count
2
Change Count
0
Up Count
2
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe Over/Under line moved up slightly from the previous observation.
History Title
10-23 10:100.95 2.5/3 0.93Opening
10-28 19:121.05 3 0.84Up Line
0.810.951.0811427OverUnder3
Timeline Title
10-23 10:10 Opening
2.5/3（0.95 / 0.93）
10-28 19:12
3（1.05 / 0.84）
10-28 19:12 Latest
3（1.05 / 0.84）
27
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleA large upward change in the home-win price was recorded.
History Title
10-23 10:103.81 / 3.64 / 1.88Opening
10-25 05:154.32 / 3.86 / 1.74Home Odds Up
10-28 19:124.98 / 4.08 / 1.65Home Odds Up
1.653.324.9811427HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
10-23 10:10 Opening
3.81 / 3.64 / 1.88
10-25 05:15
4.32 / 3.86 / 1.74
10-28 19:12
4.98 / 4.08 / 1.65
10-28 19:12 Latest
4.98 / 4.08 / 1.65
27
Record Count
2
Change Count
2
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleThe home implied probability decreased slightly from the opening observation.
History Title
10-23 10:1024.6% / 25.7% / 49.8%Opening
10-28 19:1219.1% / 23.3% / 57.6%No Change
19.138.457.611427Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
10-23 10:10 Opening
24.55%
10-28 19:12 Latest
19.09%
27
Record Count
0
Change Count
-5.46%
Home Prob Cumulative
±2.45%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
10-28 18:14
🟢Away win prob. up★★★☆☆
Away win probability increased by 5.54 points to 55.29% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 18:14
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.95 points to 20.6% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 18:14
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.88 to 1.71 (-9.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-28 18:14
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 3.81 to 4.59 (+20.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-28 18:14
🔴Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from -0.5 to -0.5/-1, down 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward away side.
10-28 16:47
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 4.61 points to 54.36% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 16:47
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.34 points to 21.21% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 16:47
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.88 to 1.74 (-7.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-28 16:47
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 3.81 to 4.46 (+17.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-28 14:22
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 4.01 points to 53.76% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 14:22
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.7 points to 21.85% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 14:22
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.88 to 1.76 (-6.4%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-28 14:22
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 3.81 to 4.33 (+13.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-28 10:37
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.78 points to 53.53% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 10:37
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.88 to 1.77 (-5.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-28 10:37
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 3.81 to 4.32 (+13.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-28 10:37
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.62 points to 21.93% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 04:57
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 4.14 points to 53.89% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 04:57
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 3.81 to 4.3 (+12.9%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-28 04:57
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.88 to 1.75 (-6.9%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-28 02:36
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 4.08 points to 53.83% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 02:36
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.54 points to 22.01% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 02:36
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 3.81 to 4.28 (+12.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-28 00:49
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 4.06 points to 53.81% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 00:49
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.5 points to 22.05% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 00:49
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 3.81 to 4.27 (+12.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-27 23:21
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 4.02 points to 53.77% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 23:21
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.51 points to 22.04% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 21:55
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.88 points to 53.63% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 21:55
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.44 points to 22.11% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 21:55
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.88 to 1.76 (-6.4%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-27 20:16
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.82 points to 53.57% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 20:16
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.36 points to 22.19% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 20:16
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 3.81 to 4.25 (+11.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-27 18:42
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.79 points to 53.54% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 18:42
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.38 points to 22.17% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 15:07
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.85 points to 53.6% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 15:07
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.46 points to 22.09% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 15:07
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 3.81 to 4.27 (+12.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-27 11:24
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.87 points to 53.62% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 11:24
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.5 points to 22.05% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 11:24
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 3.81 to 4.28 (+12.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-27 07:35
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.99 points to 53.74% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 07:35
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.53 points to 22.02% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 07:35
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.88 to 1.75 (-6.9%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-27 07:35
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 3.81 to 4.27 (+12.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-26 23:24
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.82 points to 53.57% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-26 23:24
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.42 points to 22.13% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-26 23:24
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.88 to 1.76 (-6.4%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-26 23:24
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 3.81 to 4.26 (+11.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-26 20:20
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.53 points to 53.28% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-26 20:20
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.2 points to 22.35% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-26 20:20
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 3.81 to 4.22 (+10.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-26 20:20
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.88 to 1.77 (-5.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-26 16:08
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.44 points to 53.19% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-26 16:08
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.13 points to 22.42% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-26 16:08
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 3.81 to 4.2 (+10.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-26 08:00
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.27 points to 53.02% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-26 08:00
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 3.81 to 4.15 (+8.9%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-25 23:08
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.1 points to 52.85% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-25 23:08
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.88 to 1.78 (-5.3%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-25 23:08
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 3.81 to 4.14 (+8.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-25 14:57
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 4.25 points to 54.0% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-25 14:57
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.65 points to 21.9% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-25 14:57
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 3.81 to 4.29 (+12.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-25 14:57
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.88 to 1.74 (-7.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-25 05:15
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 4.2 points to 53.95% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-25 05:15
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.82 points to 21.73% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-25 05:15
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 3.81 to 4.32 (+13.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
10-23 10:10
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-25 05:15
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-25 05:15
Europe Home Odds UpEurope
10-28 19:12
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-28 19:12
Over Under Up LineOver Under
10-28 19:12
Europe Home Odds UpEurope

Overview Stats Title

2
Handicap Changes
1
Ou Changes
2
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
27
Total Records
6Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status　·　Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
10-23
10-24
10-25
10-26
10-27
10-28
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