Union Saint-Gilloise vs Real Sociedad Odds Movement Analysis | UEFA Europa League | 168 Tips

UEFA Europa League 2026-10-16 00:45
Union Saint-GilloiseUnion Saint-Gilloise
VS
Real SociedadReal Sociedad
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-15 16:36:02
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.94 0 0.95
Over Under 0.85 2.5/3 1.02
Europe 2.50 | 3.62 | 2.60
Probability 37.7% | 26.0% | 36.3%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Handicap, 1X2 price, and implied probability all indicate movement toward the away side. Evidence Label: 2.27 → 2.49
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
🔴 Handicap down ★☆☆☆☆🔴 Home price up ★★★★☆🔴 Home win prob. down ★★☆☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Handicap down-0.25 → 02026-10-15 14:56:47★☆☆☆☆Home price up2.27 → 2.492026-10-15 14:56:47★★★★☆Home win prob. down41.1 → 37.832026-10-15 14:56:47★★☆☆☆
Strength Label ★★★★☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-15 16:36:02

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Key Movements Title

5
10-15 14:56Away price down★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-15 14:56Home price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line10-15 11:08Home price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line10-15 13:07Away price down★★★☆☆Key Movement Line10-15 11:08Away price down★★★☆☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap moved down one step from the previous observation.
History Title
10-08 04:431.04 -0.25 0.85Opening
10-14 21:540.88 0 1.00Down Line
10-15 16:360.94 0 0.95No Change
0.780.931.0711631Home WaterAway Water0
Timeline Title
10-08 04:43 Opening
-0.25
10-14 21:54
0
10-15 16:36 Latest
0
31
Record Count
1
Change Count
0
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleNo significant total (over/under) movement recorded yet.
History Title
10-08 04:430.94 2.5/3 0.94Opening
10-15 08:150.87 3 0.97Up Line
10-15 14:561.01 3/3.5 0.86Up Line
10-15 16:360.85 2.5/3 1.02Down Line
0.830.941.0411631OverUnder2.5/3
Timeline Title
10-08 04:43 Opening
2.5/3（0.94 / 0.94）
10-15 08:15
3（0.87 / 0.97）
10-15 14:56
3/3.5（1.01 / 0.86）
10-15 16:36
2.5/3（0.85 / 1.02）
10-15 16:36 Latest
2.5/3（0.85 / 1.02）
31
Record Count
3
Change Count
2
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home-win price moved up noticeably from the opening observation.
History Title
10-08 04:432.27 / 3.52 / 2.88Opening
10-15 16:362.50 / 3.62 / 2.60No Change
2.272.963.6511631HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
10-08 04:43 Opening
2.27 / 3.52 / 2.88
10-15 16:36 Latest
2.50 / 3.62 / 2.60
31
Record Count
0
Change Count
0
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
No Change

Probability

Of
Comment TitleThe home implied probability decreased slightly from the opening observation.
History Title
10-08 04:4341.1% / 26.5% / 32.4%Opening
10-15 16:3637.7% / 26.0% / 36.3%No Change
25.833.541.111631Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
10-08 04:43 Opening
41.10%
10-15 16:36 Latest
37.71%
31
Record Count
0
Change Count
-3.39%
Home Prob Cumulative
±0.73%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
10-15 14:56
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.98 points to 36.37% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 14:56
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.27 points to 37.83% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 14:56
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.88 to 2.59 (-10.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-15 14:56
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.27 to 2.49 (+9.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-15 14:56
🟢Total up★★★☆☆
O/U line moved from 2.5/3 to 3/3.5, up 0.5 goals from opening - goal expectation rising notably.
10-15 14:56
🔴Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 0/0.5 to 0, down 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward away side.
10-15 13:07
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.5 points to 35.89% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 13:07
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.03 points to 38.07% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 13:07
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.88 to 2.62 (-9.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-15 13:07
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.27 to 2.47 (+8.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-15 13:07
🟢Total up★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 2.5/3 to 3, up 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly higher.
10-15 11:53
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.41 points to 35.8% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 11:53
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.98 points to 38.12% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 11:53
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.88 to 2.63 (-8.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-15 11:08
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.56 points to 35.95% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 11:08
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.88 to 2.62 (-9.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-15 11:08
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.28 points to 37.82% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 11:08
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.27 to 2.49 (+9.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-15 08:15
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.41 points to 35.8% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 08:15
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.88 to 2.63 (-8.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-15 06:41
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.11 points to 35.5% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 06:41
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.02 points to 38.08% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 06:41
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.88 to 2.65 (-8.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-15 06:41
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.27 to 2.47 (+8.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-15 05:32
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.13 points to 35.52% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 05:32
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.99 points to 38.11% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 03:45
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.8 points to 35.19% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 03:45
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.75 points to 38.35% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 03:45
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.88 to 2.67 (-7.3%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-15 03:45
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.27 to 2.45 (+7.9%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-15 02:39
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.82 points to 35.21% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 02:39
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.72 points to 38.38% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 23:58
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.68 points to 35.07% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 23:58
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.58 points to 38.52% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 23:58
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.88 to 2.68 (-6.9%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-14 23:58
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.27 to 2.44 (+7.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-14 21:54
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.59 points to 34.98% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 21:54
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.37 points to 38.73% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 21:54
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.88 to 2.69 (-6.6%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-14 21:54
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.27 to 2.43 (+7.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-14 18:30
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.17 points to 34.56% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 18:30
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.27 to 2.39 (+5.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-14 18:30
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.88 to 2.72 (-5.6%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-14 16:55
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.09 points to 34.48% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 16:55
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.27 to 2.38 (+4.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-14 15:23
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.17 points to 34.56% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 15:23
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.88 to 2.71 (-5.9%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-14 11:55
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.09 points to 34.48% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 11:55
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.88 to 2.72 (-5.6%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-14 07:59
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.17 points to 34.56% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 07:59
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.88 to 2.71 (-5.9%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-14 04:46
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.09 points to 34.48% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 04:46
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.88 to 2.72 (-5.6%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-13 13:18
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.03 points to 34.42% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-13 13:18
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.27 to 2.37 (+4.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-13 04:02
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.88 to 2.74 (-4.9%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-13 04:02
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.27 to 2.35 (+3.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-12 19:03
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.88 to 2.75 (-4.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-12 19:03
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.27 to 2.34 (+3.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-12 10:31
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.88 to 2.76 (-4.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-11 17:05
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.88 to 2.78 (-3.5%) - away side attracting more attention.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
10-08 04:43
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-14 21:54
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-15 08:15
Over Under Up LineOver Under
10-15 14:56
Over Under Up LineOver Under
10-15 16:36
Over Under Down LineOver Under

Overview Stats Title

1
Handicap Changes
3
Ou Changes
0
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
31
Total Records
8Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status　·　Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
10-09
10-10
10-11
10-12
10-13
10-14
10-15
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