FC Red Bull Salzburg vs AC Milan Odds Movement Analysis | UEFA Europa League | 168 Tips

UEFA Europa League 2026-10-16 00:45
FC Red Bull SalzburgFC Red Bull Salzburg
VS
AC MilanAC Milan
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-15 16:34:39
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.95 +0.5 0.94
Over Under 0.94 2.5/3 0.93
Europe 3.83 | 3.63 | 1.91
Probability 24.6% | 26.0% | 49.4%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Handicap moved toward the home side, while the other core signals did not match it. Evidence Label: +0.75 → +0.5
Market State Agreement
Insufficient
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe
Market State Evidence
1
Market Signals Title
Strength Label ★☆☆☆☆ There is not enough cross-market movement for a directional summary. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-15 16:34:39

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Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap moved up one step from the previous observation.
History Title
10-08 04:400.82 +0.75 1.07Opening
10-08 14:461.00 +0.5 0.82Up Line
10-14 18:291.03 +0.25 0.85Up Line
10-15 03:440.90 +0.5 0.98Down Line
10-15 05:300.68 +0.75 1.29Down Line
10-15 08:140.92 +0.5 0.97Up Line
10-15 16:340.95 +0.5 0.94No Change
0.680.991.2911937Home WaterAway Water+0.5
Timeline Title
10-08 04:40 Opening
+0.75
10-08 14:46
+0.5
10-14 18:29
+0.25
10-15 03:44
+0.5
10-15 05:30
+0.75
10-15 08:14
+0.5
10-15 16:34 Latest
+0.5
37
Record Count
5
Change Count
3
Up Count
2
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleNo significant total (over/under) movement recorded yet.
History Title
10-08 04:400.83 2.5/3 1.06Opening
10-12 19:010.97 3 0.83Up Line
10-15 05:300.82 2.5/3 1.08Down Line
10-15 08:140.99 3 0.88Up Line
10-15 16:340.94 2.5/3 0.93Down Line
0.780.931.0811937OverUnder2.5/3
Timeline Title
10-08 04:40 Opening
2.5/3(0.83 / 1.06)
10-12 19:01
3(0.97 / 0.83)
10-15 05:30
2.5/3(0.82 / 1.08)
10-15 08:14
3(0.99 / 0.88)
10-15 16:34
2.5/3(0.94 / 0.93)
10-15 16:34 Latest
2.5/3(0.94 / 0.93)
37
Record Count
4
Change Count
2
Up Count
2
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleNo significant 1X2 price movement recorded yet.
History Title
10-08 04:403.89 / 3.83 / 1.81Opening
10-14 11:543.64 / 3.76 / 1.91Home Odds Down
10-15 16:343.83 / 3.63 / 1.91No Change
1.792.883.9611937HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
10-08 04:40 Opening
3.89 / 3.83 / 1.81
10-14 11:54
3.64 / 3.76 / 1.91
10-15 16:34 Latest
3.83 / 3.63 / 1.91
37
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleNo significant win-probability movement recorded yet.
History Title
10-08 04:4024.0% / 24.4% / 51.6%Opening
10-15 16:3424.6% / 26.0% / 49.4%No Change
23.637.952.311937Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
10-08 04:40 Opening
24.01%
10-15 16:34 Latest
24.63%
37
Record Count
0
Change Count
+0.62%
Home Prob Cumulative
±1.69%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
10-15 14:54
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.81 to 1.89 (+4.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-15 14:54
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.89 to 3.74 (-3.9%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-15 14:54
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from -0.5/-1 to -0.5, up 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward home side.
10-15 14:54
🟢Total up★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 2.5/3 to 3, up 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly higher.
10-15 13:05
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.53 points to 49.07% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 13:05
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.81 to 1.92 (+6.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-15 13:05
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.89 to 3.65 (-6.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-15 11:52
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.96 points to 48.64% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 11:52
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.13 points to 26.14% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 11:52
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.81 to 1.94 (+7.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-15 11:52
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.89 to 3.61 (-7.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-15 11:06
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.23 points to 48.37% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 11:06
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.34 points to 26.35% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 11:06
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.81 to 1.95 (+7.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-15 11:06
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.89 to 3.58 (-8.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-15 09:40
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.8 points to 47.8% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 09:40
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.74 points to 26.75% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 09:40
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.89 to 3.52 (-9.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-15 09:40
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.81 to 1.97 (+8.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-15 08:14
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.73 points to 47.87% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 08:14
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.63 points to 26.64% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 08:14
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.89 to 3.54 (-9.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-15 06:40
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.76 points to 47.84% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 06:40
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.69 points to 26.7% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 06:40
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.89 to 3.53 (-9.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-15 05:30
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.96 points to 47.64% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 05:30
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.86 points to 26.87% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 05:30
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.81 to 1.98 (+9.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-15 05:30
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.89 to 3.51 (-9.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-15 03:44
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.61 points to 46.99% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 03:44
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.39 points to 27.4% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 03:44
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 1.81 to 2.0 (+10.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-15 03:44
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.89 to 3.43 (-11.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-15 02:39
🔴Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 5.0 points to 46.6% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 02:39
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.67 points to 27.68% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 02:39
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.89 to 3.4 (-12.6%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-15 02:39
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 1.81 to 2.02 (+11.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-15 02:39
🟢Handicap up★★☆☆☆
Handicap moved from -0.5/-1 to 0/0.5, up 2 steps (0.5 goals) from opening - market backing home side strongly.
10-14 23:57
🔴Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 5.04 points to 46.56% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 23:57
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.73 points to 27.74% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 23:57
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.89 to 3.39 (-12.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-14 22:54
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.77 points to 46.83% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 22:54
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.44 points to 27.45% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 22:54
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.89 to 3.43 (-11.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-14 22:54
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 1.81 to 2.01 (+11.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-14 20:59
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.74 points to 46.86% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 20:59
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.61 points to 27.62% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 20:59
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.89 to 3.41 (-12.3%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-14 16:53
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.68 points to 47.92% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 16:53
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.75 points to 26.76% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 16:53
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.89 to 3.51 (-9.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-14 16:53
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.81 to 1.96 (+8.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-14 16:53
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from -0.5/-1 to -0.5, up 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward home side.
10-14 15:22
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.64 points to 47.96% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 15:22
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.69 points to 26.7% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 15:22
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.89 to 3.52 (-9.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-14 11:54
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.4 points to 49.2% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 11:54
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.81 to 1.91 (+5.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-14 11:54
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.89 to 3.64 (-6.4%) - away side attracting more attention.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
10-08 04:40
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-08 14:46
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-12 19:01
Over Under Up LineOver Under
10-14 11:54
Europe Home Odds DownEurope
10-14 18:29
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-15 03:44
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-15 05:30
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-15 05:30
Over Under Down LineOver Under
10-15 08:14
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-15 08:14
Over Under Up LineOver Under
10-15 16:34
Over Under Down LineOver Under