Ukraine vs Northern Ireland Odds Movement Analysis | UEFA Nations League | 168 Tips

UEFA Nations League
UkraineUkraine
VS
Northern IrelandNorthern Ireland
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-02 20:49:21
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 7.69 -0.25 0.01
Over Under 7.69 3.5 0.01
Europe 2.13 | 3.06 | 3.86
Probability 44.5% | 31.0% | 24.6%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
The core directional markets are aligned toward the away side. Evidence Label: 1.88 → 2.13
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
🔴 Home price up ★★★★☆🔴 Home win prob. down ★★★☆☆🟢 Total up ★★★★★
Supporting Signals Title
Home price up1.88 → 2.132026-10-02 19:37:13★★★★☆Home win prob. down50.01 → 44.492026-10-02 19:37:13★★★☆☆
Independent Market Signals Title
Total up2/2.5 → 3/3.52026-10-02 19:37:13★★★★★
Strength Label ★★★★☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-02 20:49:21

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Key Movements Title

5
10-02 19:37Home price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-02 19:37Away price down★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-02 16:29Home price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line10-02 13:10Home price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line10-02 19:37Home win prob. down★★★☆☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleA small downward handicap change was recorded.
History Title
10-01 02:390.91 -0.5 0.97Opening
10-02 20:497.69 -0.25 0.01Down Line
0.013.857.69159Home WaterAway Water-0.25
Timeline Title
10-01 02:39 Opening
-0.5
10-02 20:49
-0.25
10-02 20:49 Latest
-0.25
9
Record Count
1
Change Count
0
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe observed total line moved notably higher.
History Title
10-01 02:391.07 2/2.5 0.80Opening
10-01 14:570.85 2 1.02Down Line
10-02 10:001.05 2 0.83Over Water Up
10-02 19:371.01 3/3.5 0.86Up Line
10-02 20:497.69 3.5 0.01Up Line
0.013.857.69159OverUnder3.5
Timeline Title
10-01 02:39 Opening
2/2.5（1.07 / 0.80）
10-01 14:57
2（0.85 / 1.02）
10-02 10:00
2（1.05 / 0.83）
10-02 19:37
3/3.5（1.01 / 0.86）
10-02 20:49
3.5（7.69 / 0.01）
10-02 20:49 Latest
3.5（7.69 / 0.01）
9
Record Count
4
Change Count
2
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home 1X2 price increased by a moderate amount.
History Title
10-01 02:391.88 / 3.33 / 4.32Opening
10-02 19:372.13 / 3.06 / 3.86Home Odds Up
10-02 20:492.13 / 3.06 / 3.86No Change
1.883.104.32159HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
10-01 02:39 Opening
1.88 / 3.33 / 4.32
10-02 19:37
2.13 / 3.06 / 3.86
10-02 20:49 Latest
2.13 / 3.06 / 3.86
9
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleHome implied probability moved down by a small amount.
History Title
10-01 02:3950.0% / 28.2% / 21.8%Opening
10-02 20:4944.5% / 31.0% / 24.6%No Change
21.835.950.0159Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
10-01 02:39 Opening
50.01%
10-02 20:49 Latest
44.49%
9
Record Count
0
Change Count
-5.52%
Home Prob Cumulative
±2.36%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
10-02 19:37
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.79 points to 24.55% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-02 19:37
🔴Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 5.52 points to 44.49% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-02 19:37
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 4.32 to 3.86 (-10.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-02 19:37
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 1.88 to 2.13 (+13.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-02 19:37
🟢Total up★★★★★
O/U line surged from 2/2.5 to 3/3.5, up 1.0 goals from opening - goal expectation surging strongly.
10-02 16:29
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.16 points to 46.85% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-02 16:29
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.88 to 2.02 (+7.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-02 16:29
🔴Total down★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 2/2.5 to 2, down 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly lower.
10-02 13:10
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.48 points to 47.53% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-02 13:10
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.88 to 1.99 (+5.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-02 10:00
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.32 points to 47.69% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-02 10:00
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.88 to 1.98 (+5.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-02 06:36
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.09 points to 47.92% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-02 06:36
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 4.32 to 4.13 (-4.4%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-02 06:36
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.88 to 1.97 (+4.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-01 14:57
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 4.32 to 4.19 (-3.0%) - away side attracting more attention.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
10-01 02:39
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-01 14:57
Over Under Down LineOver Under
10-02 10:00
Over Under Over Water UpOver Under
10-02 19:37
Over Under Up LineOver Under
10-02 19:37
Europe Home Odds UpEurope
10-02 20:49
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-02 20:49
Over Under Up LineOver Under

Overview Stats Title

1
Handicap Changes
4
Ou Changes
1
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
9
Total Records
2Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status　·　Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
10-01
10-02
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