Kazakhstan vs Moldova Odds Movement Analysis | UEFA Nations League | 168 Tips

UEFA Nations League
KazakhstanKazakhstan
VS
MoldovaMoldova
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-02 16:28:24
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 5.88 -0.25 0.05
Over Under 5.88 3.5 0.05
Europe 1.89 | 3.19 | 4.54
Probability 49.8% | 29.5% | 20.7%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
The core directional markets are aligned toward the away side. Evidence Label: 1.71 → 1.89
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
🔴 Handicap down ★★☆☆☆🔴 Home price up ★★★★☆🔴 Home win prob. down ★★☆☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Handicap down-0.75 → -0.252026-10-02 14:21:57★★☆☆☆Home price up1.71 → 1.892026-10-02 14:21:57★★★★☆Home win prob. down54.7 → 49.782026-10-02 14:21:57★★☆☆☆
Strength Label ★★★★☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-02 16:28:24

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Key Movements Title

5
10-02 14:21Home price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-02 01:35Away price down★★★☆☆Key Movement Line10-02 04:58Away price down★★★☆☆Key Movement Line10-02 11:12Home price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line10-01 22:24Away price down★★★☆☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap line declined two tiers from the opening position.
History Title
10-01 02:380.96 -0.75 0.86Opening
10-01 22:240.84 -0.5 1.04Down Line
10-02 14:210.85 -0.25 1.03Down Line
10-02 16:285.88 -0.25 0.05Home Water Up
0.052.965.881611Home WaterAway Water-0.25
Timeline Title
10-01 02:38 Opening
-0.75
10-01 22:24
-0.5
10-02 14:21
-0.25
10-02 16:28
-0.25
10-02 16:28 Latest
-0.25
11
Record Count
3
Change Count
0
Up Count
2
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe Over/Under line moved up materially from the opening position.
History Title
10-01 02:380.80 2/2.5 1.00Opening
10-02 08:090.86 2 1.02Down Line
10-02 14:210.90 1.5/2 0.97Down Line
10-02 16:285.88 3.5 0.05Up Line
0.052.965.881611OverUnder3.5
Timeline Title
10-01 02:38 Opening
2/2.5（0.80 / 1.00）
10-02 08:09
2（0.86 / 1.02）
10-02 14:21
1.5/2（0.90 / 0.97）
10-02 16:28
3.5（5.88 / 0.05）
10-02 16:28 Latest
3.5（5.88 / 0.05）
11
Record Count
3
Change Count
1
Up Count
2
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home 1X2 price increased by a moderate amount.
History Title
10-01 02:381.71 / 3.58 / 4.88Opening
10-01 14:551.78 / 3.50 / 4.59Away Odds Down
10-02 16:281.89 / 3.19 / 4.54No Change
1.713.294.881611HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
10-01 02:38 Opening
1.71 / 3.58 / 4.88
10-01 14:55
1.78 / 3.50 / 4.59
10-02 16:28 Latest
1.89 / 3.19 / 4.54
11
Record Count
1
Change Count
0
Home Odds Change
1
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleA small downward change in home implied probability was recorded.
History Title
10-01 02:3854.7% / 26.1% / 19.2%Opening
10-02 16:2849.8% / 29.5% / 20.7%No Change
19.236.954.71611Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
10-01 02:38 Opening
54.70%
10-02 16:28 Latest
49.78%
11
Record Count
0
Change Count
-4.92%
Home Prob Cumulative
±1.97%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
10-02 14:21
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 4.92 points to 49.78% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-02 14:21
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 4.88 to 4.54 (-7.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-02 14:21
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 1.71 to 1.89 (+10.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-02 14:21
🔴Total down★★★☆☆
O/U line moved from 2/2.5 to 1.5/2, down 0.5 goals from opening - goal expectation contracting.
10-02 14:21
🔴Handicap down★★☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 0.5/1 to 0/0.5, down 2 steps (0.5 goals) from opening - market momentum fading.
10-02 11:12
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 4.13 points to 50.57% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-02 11:12
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 4.88 to 4.57 (-6.3%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-02 11:12
🔴Total down★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 2/2.5 to 2, down 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly lower.
10-02 11:12
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.71 to 1.86 (+8.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-02 11:12
🔴Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 0.5/1 to 0.5, down 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward away side.
10-02 08:09
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 4.12 points to 50.58% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-02 08:09
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 4.88 to 4.5 (-7.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-02 04:58
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 4.11 points to 50.59% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-02 04:58
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 4.88 to 4.45 (-8.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-02 01:35
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.91 points to 50.79% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-02 01:35
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 4.88 to 4.44 (-9.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-02 01:35
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.71 to 1.85 (+8.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-01 22:24
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.11 points to 51.59% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-01 22:24
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 4.88 to 4.48 (-8.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-01 22:24
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.71 to 1.82 (+6.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-01 14:56
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.03 points to 52.67% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-01 14:56
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 4.88 to 4.58 (-6.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-01 14:56
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.71 to 1.78 (+4.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
10-01 02:38
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-01 14:55
Europe Away Odds DownEurope
10-01 22:24
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-02 08:09
Over Under Down LineOver Under
10-02 14:21
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-02 14:21
Over Under Down LineOver Under
10-02 16:28
Handicap Home Water UpHandicap
10-02 16:28
Over Under Up LineOver Under

Overview Stats Title

3
Handicap Changes
3
Ou Changes
1
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
11
Total Records
2Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status　·　Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
10-01
10-02
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