Latvia vs Montenegro Odds Movement Analysis | UEFA Nations League | 168 Tips

UEFA Nations League
LatviaLatvia
VS
MontenegroMontenegro
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-02 18:14:39
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.01 +0.25 7.69
Over Under 7.69 3.5 0.01
Europe 4.96 | 3.65 | 1.70
Probability 18.9% | 25.8% | 55.3%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Conflicted
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Core directional signals are split between Handicap and European Odds, Implied Probability. Evidence Label: 4.25 → 4.96
Market State Agreement
Conflicting
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
🔴 Home price up ★★★★★🔴 Home win prob. down ★★☆☆☆🟢 Total up ★★★★★
Conflict Neutral Note
Conflicting Signals Title
Home price up4.25 → 4.962026-10-02 16:24:48★★★★★Home win prob. down21.99 → 18.952026-10-02 16:24:48★★☆☆☆
Independent Market Signals Title
Total up2/2.5 → 32026-10-02 16:24:48★★★★★
Strength Label ★★★★★ Signals are split across markets. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-02 18:14:39

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Key Movements Title

5
10-02 16:24Home price up★★★★★Key Movement Line10-02 13:06Home price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-02 09:58Home price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-02 06:55Home price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-02 16:24Away price down★★★☆☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleA small upward handicap change was recorded.
History Title
09-30 02:320.99 +0.5 0.89Opening
10-02 00:240.83 +0.75 1.05Down Line
10-02 16:240.84 +0.5 1.04Up Line
10-02 18:140.01 +0.25 7.69Up Line
0.013.857.691611Home WaterAway Water+0.25
Timeline Title
09-30 02:32 Opening
+0.5
10-02 00:24
+0.75
10-02 16:24
+0.5
10-02 18:14
+0.25
10-02 18:14 Latest
+0.25
11
Record Count
3
Change Count
2
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleA larger upward change in the total-goals line was recorded.
History Title
09-30 02:320.92 2/2.5 0.94Opening
10-02 09:580.80 2/2.5 1.08Over Water Down
10-02 16:241.07 3 0.80Up Line
10-02 18:147.69 3.5 0.01Up Line
0.013.857.691611OverUnder3.5
Timeline Title
09-30 02:32 Opening
2/2.5（0.92 / 0.94）
10-02 09:58
2/2.5（0.80 / 1.08）
10-02 16:24
3（1.07 / 0.80）
10-02 18:14
3.5（7.69 / 0.01）
10-02 18:14 Latest
3.5（7.69 / 0.01）
11
Record Count
3
Change Count
2
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleA large upward change in the home-win price was recorded.
History Title
09-30 02:324.25 / 3.40 / 1.85Opening
10-02 18:144.96 / 3.65 / 1.70No Change
1.703.334.961611HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
09-30 02:32 Opening
4.25 / 3.40 / 1.85
10-02 18:14 Latest
4.96 / 3.65 / 1.70
11
Record Count
0
Change Count
0
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
No Change

Probability

Of
Comment TitleHome implied probability moved down by a small amount.
History Title
09-30 02:3222.0% / 27.5% / 50.5%Opening
10-02 18:1418.9% / 25.8% / 55.3%No Change
18.937.155.31611Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
09-30 02:32 Opening
21.99%
10-02 18:14 Latest
18.95%
11
Record Count
0
Change Count
-3.04%
Home Prob Cumulative
±0.83%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
10-02 16:24
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 4.77 points to 55.29% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-02 16:24
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.04 points to 18.95% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-02 16:24
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.85 to 1.7 (-8.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-02 16:24
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 4.25 to 4.96 (+16.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-02 16:24
🟢Total up★★★★☆
O/U line surged from 2/2.5 to 3, up 0.75 goals from opening - goal expectation surging strongly.
10-02 13:06
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.99 points to 54.51% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-02 13:06
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.63 points to 19.36% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-02 13:06
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 4.25 to 4.87 (+14.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-02 13:06
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.85 to 1.73 (-6.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-02 13:06
🔴Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from -0.5 to -0.5/-1, down 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward away side.
10-02 09:58
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.87 points to 54.39% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-02 09:58
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.59 points to 19.4% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-02 09:58
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 4.25 to 4.85 (+14.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-02 06:55
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.03 points to 53.55% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-02 06:55
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.31 points to 19.68% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-02 06:55
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.85 to 1.76 (-4.9%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-02 06:55
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 4.25 to 4.79 (+12.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-02 03:51
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 4.25 to 4.59 (+8.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-02 00:24
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 4.25 to 4.55 (+7.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-02 00:24
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 4.25 to 4.55 (+7.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-02 00:24
🔴Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from -0.5 to -0.5/-1, down 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward away side.
10-01 15:34
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 4.25 to 4.42 (+4.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-01 03:11
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 4.25 to 4.38 (+3.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
09-30 02:32
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-02 00:24
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-02 09:58
Over Under Over Water DownOver Under
10-02 16:24
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-02 16:24
Over Under Up LineOver Under
10-02 18:14
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-02 18:14
Over Under Up LineOver Under

Overview Stats Title

3
Handicap Changes
3
Ou Changes
0
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
11
Total Records
3Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status　·　Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
09-30
10-01
10-02
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