Ukraine vs Hungary Odds Movement Analysis | UEFA Nations League | 168 Tips

UEFA Nations League
UkraineUkraine
VS
HungaryHungary
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-05 19:06:28
Finished Kicked Off
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.65 0 1.29
Over Under 0.81 1.5/2 1.06
Europe 2.74 | 3.07 | 2.73
Probability 34.5% | 30.8% | 34.6%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
European Odds, Implied Probability both indicate movement toward the away side. Evidence Label: 2.47 → 2.73
Market State Agreement
Mixed
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
🔴 Home price up ★★★★☆🔴 Home win prob. down ★★☆☆☆🔴 Total down ★★★☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Home price up2.47 → 2.732026-10-05 18:19:08★★★★☆Home win prob. down38.13 → 34.692026-10-05 18:19:08★★☆☆☆
Independent Market Signals Title
Total down2/2.5 → 22026-10-05 16:24:37★★★☆☆
Strength Label ★★★★☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Finished Time To Kickoff Label: Kicked Off Market State Latest: 2026-10-05 19:06:28

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Key Movements Title

5
10-05 18:19Home price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-05 18:19Away price down★★★☆☆Key Movement Line10-05 17:21Home price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line10-05 15:16Home price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line10-05 13:29Home price up★★☆☆☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap tier stayed the same and the home-side water shifted.
History Title
10-05 03:360.80 0 1.08Opening
10-05 18:191.04 0 0.85Home Water Up
10-05 19:060.65 0 1.29home_water_down
0.650.971.291611Home WaterAway Water0
Timeline Title
10-05 03:36 Opening
0
10-05 18:19
0
10-05 19:06
0
10-05 19:06 Latest
0
11
Record Count
2
Change Count
0
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleA larger downward change in the total-goals line was recorded.
History Title
10-05 03:361.02 2/2.5 0.85Opening
10-05 09:440.82 2 1.06Down Line
10-05 17:211.06 2/2.5 0.82Up Line
10-05 19:060.81 1.5/2 1.06Down Line
0.780.951.111611OverUnder1.5/2
Timeline Title
10-05 03:36 Opening
2/2.5（1.02 / 0.85）
10-05 09:44
2（0.82 / 1.06）
10-05 17:21
2/2.5（1.06 / 0.82）
10-05 19:06
1.5/2（0.81 / 1.06）
10-05 19:06 Latest
1.5/2（0.81 / 1.06）
11
Record Count
3
Change Count
1
Up Count
2
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home 1X2 price increased by a moderate amount.
History Title
10-05 03:362.47 / 3.18 / 2.92Opening
10-05 19:062.74 / 3.07 / 2.73No Change
2.472.833.181611HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
10-05 03:36 Opening
2.47 / 3.18 / 2.92
10-05 19:06 Latest
2.74 / 3.07 / 2.73
11
Record Count
0
Change Count
0
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
No Change

Probability

Of
Comment TitleA small downward change in home implied probability was recorded.
History Title
10-05 03:3638.1% / 29.6% / 32.2%Opening
10-05 19:0634.5% / 30.8% / 34.6%No Change
29.633.938.11611Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
10-05 03:36 Opening
38.13%
10-05 19:06 Latest
34.53%
11
Record Count
0
Change Count
-3.60%
Home Prob Cumulative
±1.38%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
10-05 18:19
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.31 points to 34.56% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-05 18:19
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.44 points to 34.69% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-05 18:19
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.92 to 2.74 (-6.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-05 18:19
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 2.47 to 2.73 (+10.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-05 17:21
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.06 points to 36.07% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-05 17:21
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.47 to 2.62 (+6.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-05 16:24
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.12 points to 36.01% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-05 16:24
🔴Total down★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 2/2.5 to 2, down 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly lower.
10-05 15:16
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.47 to 2.6 (+5.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-05 13:29
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.47 to 2.58 (+4.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-05 11:10
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.47 to 2.56 (+3.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
10-05 03:36
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-05 09:44
Over Under Down LineOver Under
10-05 17:21
Over Under Up LineOver Under
10-05 18:19
Handicap Home Water UpHandicap
10-05 19:06
Handicap home_water_downHandicap
10-05 19:06
Over Under Down LineOver Under

Overview Stats Title

2
Handicap Changes
3
Ou Changes
0
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
11
Total Records
1Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
Finished
Monitor Level
Finished
Current Status　·　Kicked Off
Market Heat Change
10-05
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