Italy vs Turkey Odds Movement Analysis | UEFA Nations League | 168 Tips

UEFA Nations League
ItalyItaly
VS
TurkeyTurkey
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-05 18:50:51
Finished Kicked Off
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.98 -1 0.91
Over Under 1.06 2.5/3 0.82
Europe 1.49 | 4.53 | 6.18
Probability 63.7% | 20.9% | 15.4%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Only Handicap currently shows a away side direction.
Market State Agreement
Insufficient
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe · Probability
Market State Evidence
1
Market Signals Title
🔴 Total down ★★★☆☆
Independent Market Signals Title
Total down3/3.5 → 32026-10-05 17:53:11★★★☆☆
Strength Label ★☆☆☆☆ There is not enough cross-market movement for a directional summary. Live Monitoring Label: Finished Time To Kickoff Label: Kicked Off Market State Latest: 2026-10-05 18:50:51

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Key Movements Title

5
10-05 14:39Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line10-05 13:02Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line10-05 16:59Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line10-05 16:03Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line10-05 10:55Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap line moved downward by one tier from the prior observation.
History Title
10-03 00:511.04 -1.25 0.84Opening
10-05 13:021.06 -1.5 0.83Up Line
10-05 16:590.83 -1.25 1.06Down Line
10-05 17:531.04 -1.25 0.85Home Water Up
10-05 18:500.98 -1 0.91Down Line
0.830.951.0611222Home WaterAway Water-1
Timeline Title
10-03 00:51 Opening
-1.25
10-05 13:02
-1.5
10-05 16:59
-1.25
10-05 17:53
-1.25
10-05 18:50
-1
10-05 18:50 Latest
-1
22
Record Count
4
Change Count
1
Up Count
2
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe Over/Under line moved down materially from the opening position.
History Title
10-03 00:511.04 3/3.5 0.82Opening
10-04 21:270.85 3 1.03Down Line
10-05 18:501.06 2.5/3 0.82Down Line
0.820.941.0611222OverUnder2.5/3
Timeline Title
10-03 00:51 Opening
3/3.5（1.04 / 0.82）
10-04 21:27
3（0.85 / 1.03）
10-05 18:50
2.5/3（1.06 / 0.82）
10-05 18:50 Latest
2.5/3（1.06 / 0.82）
22
Record Count
2
Change Count
0
Up Count
2
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleNo significant 1X2 price movement recorded yet.
History Title
10-03 00:511.46 / 4.69 / 5.89Opening
10-05 17:531.42 / 4.86 / 6.92Away Odds Down
10-05 18:501.49 / 4.53 / 6.18Away Odds Down
1.394.417.4211222HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
10-03 00:51 Opening
1.46 / 4.69 / 5.89
10-05 17:53
1.42 / 4.86 / 6.92
10-05 18:50
1.49 / 4.53 / 6.18
10-05 18:50 Latest
1.49 / 4.53 / 6.18
22
Record Count
2
Change Count
0
Home Odds Change
2
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleNo significant win-probability movement recorded yet.
History Title
10-03 00:5164.1% / 20.0% / 15.9%Opening
10-05 18:5063.7% / 20.9% / 15.4%Home Prob Down
12.840.668.311222Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
10-03 00:51 Opening
64.14%
10-05 18:50
63.69%
10-05 18:50 Latest
63.69%
22
Record Count
1
Change Count
-0.45%
Home Prob Cumulative
±3.09%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
★★★★★

Title

Count Suffix
10-05 17:53
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.2 points to 13.7% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-05 17:53
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.64 points to 66.78% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-05 17:53
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 5.89 to 6.92 (+17.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-05 17:53
🔴Total down★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 3/3.5 to 3, down 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly lower.
10-05 16:59
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.05 points to 12.85% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-05 16:59
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.17 points to 68.31% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-05 16:59
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 5.89 to 7.39 (+25.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-05 16:59
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.46 to 1.39 (-4.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-05 16:03
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.97 points to 12.93% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-05 16:03
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.11 points to 68.25% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-05 16:03
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 5.89 to 7.34 (+24.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-05 16:03
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 1/1.5 to 1.5, up 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward home side.
10-05 14:39
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.1 points to 12.8% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-05 14:39
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 5.89 to 7.42 (+26.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-05 14:39
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.21 points to 68.35% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-05 13:02
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.06 points to 12.84% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-05 13:02
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 5.89 to 7.4 (+25.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-05 10:55
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.68 points to 13.22% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-05 10:55
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.66 points to 67.8% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-05 10:55
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 5.89 to 7.18 (+21.9%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-05 10:55
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.46 to 1.4 (-4.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-05 09:18
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.29 points to 13.61% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-05 09:18
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.15 points to 67.29% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-05 09:18
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 5.89 to 6.97 (+18.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-05 09:18
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.46 to 1.41 (-3.4%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-05 07:43
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.17 points to 13.73% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-05 07:43
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.04 points to 67.18% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-05 07:43
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 5.89 to 6.9 (+17.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-05 05:56
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.06 points to 13.84% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-05 05:56
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.01 points to 67.15% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-05 05:56
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 5.89 to 6.84 (+16.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-05 04:44
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.55 points to 66.69% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-05 04:44
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 5.89 to 6.68 (+13.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-05 02:45
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.53 points to 66.67% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-05 00:45
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 5.89 to 6.61 (+12.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-05 00:45
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.43 points to 66.57% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-04 22:58
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 5.89 to 6.63 (+12.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-04 21:27
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 5.89 to 6.43 (+9.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-04 19:50
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 5.89 to 6.19 (+5.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-04 18:33
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 5.89 to 6.21 (+5.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-04 15:14
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 5.89 to 6.19 (+5.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-04 11:36
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 5.89 to 6.2 (+5.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-04 01:20
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 5.89 to 6.16 (+4.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-03 13:06
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 5.89 to 6.1 (+3.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
10-03 00:51
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-04 21:27
Over Under Down LineOver Under
10-05 13:02
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-05 16:59
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-05 17:53
Handicap Home Water UpHandicap
10-05 17:53
Europe Away Odds DownEurope
10-05 18:50
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-05 18:50
Over Under Down LineOver Under
10-05 18:50
Europe Away Odds DownEurope
10-05 18:50
Prob Change PrefixHome Prob DownProbability

Overview Stats Title

4
Handicap Changes
2
Ou Changes
2
Odds Changes
1
Prob Changes
22
Total Records
3Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
Finished
Monitor Level
Finished
Current Status　·　Kicked Off
Market Heat Change
10-03
10-04
10-05
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