SL Benfica vs Celtic FC Odds Movement Analysis | UEFA Europa League | 168 Tips

UEFA Europa League 2026-10-16 03:00
SL BenficaSL Benfica
VS
Celtic FCCeltic FC
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-15 18:39:53
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.99 -2.25 0.90
Over Under 1.05 4 0.82
Europe 1.18 | 7.61 | 12.71
Probability 80.1% | 12.4% | 7.4%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Handicap, 1X2 price, and implied probability all indicate movement toward the home side. Evidence Label: 1.25 → 1.19
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe
Market State Evidence
4
Market Signals Title
Strength Label ★★★☆☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-15 18:39:53

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Handicap

Of
Comment TitleTwo upward handicap changes were recorded over the observed period.
History Title
10-08 04:530.97 -1.75 0.91Opening
10-15 08:200.96 -2 0.93Up Line
10-15 15:031.08 -2.25 0.81Up Line
10-15 18:390.99 -2.25 0.90No Change
0.810.951.0811834Home WaterAway Water-2.25
Timeline Title
10-08 04:53 Opening
-1.75
10-15 08:20
-2
10-15 15:03
-2.25
10-15 18:39 Latest
-2.25
34
Record Count
2
Change Count
2
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe observed total line moved notably higher.
History Title
10-08 04:531.03 3/3.5 0.86Opening
10-15 06:470.97 3.5 0.91Up Line
10-15 11:131.00 3.5/4 0.87Up Line
10-15 18:391.05 4 0.82Up Line
0.820.941.0511834OverUnder4
Timeline Title
10-08 04:53 Opening
3/3.5(1.03 / 0.86)
10-15 06:47
3.5(0.97 / 0.91)
10-15 11:13
3.5/4(1.00 / 0.87)
10-15 18:39
4(1.05 / 0.82)
10-15 18:39 Latest
4(1.05 / 0.82)
34
Record Count
3
Change Count
3
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleA small downward change in the home-win price was recorded.
History Title
10-08 04:531.25 / 5.93 / 9.81Opening
10-15 18:391.18 / 7.61 / 12.71Away Odds Up
1.186.9512.711834HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
10-08 04:53 Opening
1.25 / 5.93 / 9.81
10-15 18:39
1.18 / 7.61 / 12.71
10-15 18:39 Latest
1.18 / 7.61 / 12.71
34
Record Count
1
Change Count
0
Home Odds Change
1
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleA small upward change in home implied probability was recorded.
History Title
10-08 04:5374.7% / 15.8% / 9.5%Opening
10-15 18:3980.1% / 12.4% / 7.4%No Change
7.4443.880.111834Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
10-08 04:53 Opening
74.73%
10-15 18:39 Latest
80.13%
34
Record Count
0
Change Count
+5.40%
Home Prob Cumulative
±0.86%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
10-15 17:42
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.54 points to 79.27% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 17:42
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 9.81 to 11.95 (+21.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-15 17:42
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.25 to 1.19 (-4.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-15 17:42
🟢Handicap up★★☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 1.5/2 to 2/2.5, up 2 steps (0.5 goals) from opening - market backing home side strongly.
10-15 17:42
🟢Total up★★★☆☆
O/U line moved from 3/3.5 to 3.5/4, up 0.5 goals from opening - goal expectation rising notably.
10-15 16:41
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.45 points to 79.18% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 16:41
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 9.81 to 11.94 (+21.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-15 15:03
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.03 points to 78.76% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 15:03
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 9.81 to 11.67 (+19.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-15 15:03
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.25 to 1.2 (-4.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-15 13:13
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.74 points to 78.47% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 13:13
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 9.81 to 11.58 (+18.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-15 13:13
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 1.5/2 to 2, up 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward home side.
10-15 11:13
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.22 points to 77.95% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 11:13
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 9.81 to 11.3 (+15.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-15 11:13
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.25 to 1.21 (-3.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-15 09:45
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.04 points to 77.77% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 09:45
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 9.81 to 11.21 (+14.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-15 09:45
🟢Total up★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 3/3.5 to 3.5, up 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly higher.
10-15 08:20
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.31 points to 77.04% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 08:20
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 9.81 to 10.76 (+9.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-15 06:47
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 9.81 to 10.8 (+10.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-15 05:37
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 9.81 to 10.84 (+10.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-15 02:44
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 9.81 to 10.42 (+6.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-15 00:55
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 9.81 to 10.37 (+5.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-14 22:59
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 9.81 to 10.55 (+7.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-14 21:05
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 9.81 to 10.28 (+4.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-14 19:56
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 9.81 to 10.26 (+4.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-14 15:26
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 9.81 to 10.22 (+4.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-14 11:58
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 9.81 to 10.21 (+4.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-14 08:02
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 9.81 to 10.2 (+4.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-14 04:49
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 9.81 to 10.19 (+3.9%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-13 22:45
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 9.81 to 10.18 (+3.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-13 19:12
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 9.81 to 10.15 (+3.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
10-08 04:53
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-15 06:47
Over Under Up LineOver Under
10-15 08:20
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-15 11:13
Over Under Up LineOver Under
10-15 15:03
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-15 18:39
Over Under Up LineOver Under
10-15 18:39
Europe Away Odds UpEurope