11
Record Count
Montenegro vs Armenia Odds Movement Analysis | UEFA Nations League | 168 Tips
UEFA Nations LeagueMontenegro
VS
Armenia
Finished
Kicked Off
Snapshot Title
Snapshot Latest
Handicap
0.75 -0.75 1.14
Over Under
0.99 2 0.88
Europe
1.43 | 4.65 | 6.79
Probability
65.9% | 20.3% | 13.9%
Signal Summary Title
Market State Title: Market State ConflictedMarket Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
European Odds, Implied Probability indicate movement toward the home side, while Handicap indicate movement toward the away side. Evidence Label: 1.52 → 1.43
Market State Agreement
Conflicting
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe
Market State Evidence
2
Market Signals Title
Conflict Neutral Note
Strength Label ★★★☆☆
Signals are split across markets.
Live Monitoring Label: Finished
Time To Kickoff Label: Kicked Off
Market State Latest: 2026-10-05 19:08:30
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Key Movements Title
5Handicap
OfComment TitleThe handicap line moved downward by one tier from the prior observation.
History Title
10-05 03:380.87 -1 0.95Opening
10-05 13:311.04 -1.25 0.85Up Line
10-05 19:080.75 -0.75 1.14Down Line
Timeline Title
10-05 03:38 Opening
-1
10-05 13:31
-1.25
10-05 19:08
-0.75
10-05 19:08 Latest
-0.75
2
Change Count
1
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★Over Under
OfComment TitleA larger downward change in the total-goals line was recorded.
History Title
10-05 03:380.91 2.5/3 0.89Opening
10-05 17:231.04 3 0.84Up Line
10-05 18:210.89 2.5/3 0.99Down Line
10-05 19:080.99 2 0.88Down Line
Timeline Title
10-05 03:38 Opening
2.5/3（0.91 / 0.89）
10-05 17:23
3（1.04 / 0.84）
10-05 18:21
2.5/3（0.89 / 0.99）
10-05 19:08
2（0.99 / 0.88）
10-05 19:08 Latest
2（0.99 / 0.88）
11
Record Count
3
Change Count
1
Up Count
2
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★Europe
OfComment TitleThe home-win price moved down slightly from the opening observation.
History Title
10-05 03:381.52 / 4.26 / 5.71Opening
10-05 15:181.44 / 4.59 / 6.65Away Odds Up
10-05 19:081.43 / 4.65 / 6.79No Change
Timeline Title
10-05 03:38 Opening
1.52 / 4.26 / 5.71
10-05 15:18
1.44 / 4.59 / 6.65
10-05 19:08 Latest
1.43 / 4.65 / 6.79
11
Record Count
1
Change Count
0
Home Odds Change
1
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★Probability
OfComment TitleHome implied probability moved up by a small amount.
History Title
10-05 03:3861.6% / 22.0% / 16.4%Opening
10-05 19:0865.9% / 20.3% / 13.9%No Change
Timeline Title
10-05 03:38 Opening
61.61%
10-05 19:08 Latest
65.87%
11
Record Count
0
Change Count
+4.26%
Home Prob Cumulative
±1.32%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No ChangeTitle
Count Suffix10-05 18:21
Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.57 points to 13.83% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-05 18:21
Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.16 points to 65.77% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-05 18:21
Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 5.71 to 6.8 (+19.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-05 18:21
Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.52 to 1.43 (-5.9%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-05 18:21
Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 1 to 1/1.5, up 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward home side.
10-05 17:23
Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.81 points to 13.59% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-05 17:23
Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.09 points to 66.7% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-05 17:23
Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 5.71 to 6.92 (+21.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-05 17:23
Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.52 to 1.41 (-7.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-05 17:23
Total up★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 2.5/3 to 3, up 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly higher.
10-05 16:26
Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.57 points to 13.83% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-05 16:26
Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.5 points to 66.11% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-05 16:26
Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 5.71 to 6.79 (+18.9%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-05 16:26
Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.52 to 1.42 (-6.6%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-05 15:18
Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.25 points to 14.15% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-05 15:18
Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.74 points to 65.35% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-05 15:18
Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 5.71 to 6.65 (+16.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-05 15:18
Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.52 to 1.44 (-5.3%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-05 13:31
Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.42 points to 64.03% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-05 13:31
Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 5.71 to 6.31 (+10.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-05 13:31
Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.52 to 1.47 (-3.3%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-05 11:12
Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 5.71 to 6.03 (+5.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
Overview Title
Overview All Modules10-05 03:38
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-05 13:31
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-05 15:18
Europe Away Odds UpEurope
10-05 17:23
Over Under Up LineOver Under
10-05 18:21
Over Under Down LineOver Under
10-05 19:08
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-05 19:08
Over Under Down LineOver Under
Overview Stats Title
2
Handicap Changes
3
Ou Changes
1
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
11
Total Records
1Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
Finished
Monitor Level
Finished
Current Status · Kicked Off
Market Heat Change
10-05
Partners
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