Manchester City FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC Odds Movement Analysis | EFL Cup | 168.Tips

EFL Cup 2026-10-29 03:30
Manchester City FCManchester City FC
VS
Brighton & Hove Albion FCBrighton & Hove Albion FC
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-28 19:11:17
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.97 -0.5 0.92
Over Under 0.81 3 1.06
Europe 1.83 | 3.97 | 3.81
Probability 51.5% | 23.8% | 24.7%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Handicap, 1X2 price, and implied probability all indicate movement toward the away side. Evidence Label: 1.64 → 1.76
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe · Probability
Market State Evidence
2
Market Signals Title
Strength Label ★★★★☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-28 19:11:17

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Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap moved down one step from the previous observation.
History Title
10-23 10:090.85 -0.75 1.03Opening
10-27 11:231.05 -1 0.83Up Line
10-27 15:050.82 -0.75 1.06Down Line
10-28 14:211.04 -0.75 0.85Home Water Up
10-28 16:460.96 -1 0.93Up Line
10-28 18:130.82 -0.75 1.07Down Line
10-28 19:110.97 -0.5 0.92Down Line
0.820.951.0711324Home WaterAway Water-0.5
Timeline Title
10-23 10:09 Opening
-0.75
10-27 11:23
-1
10-27 15:05
-0.75
10-28 14:21
-0.75
10-28 16:46
-1
10-28 18:13
-0.75
10-28 19:11
-0.5
10-28 19:11 Latest
-0.5
24
Record Count
6
Change Count
2
Up Count
3
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe Over/Under line moved down slightly from the previous observation.
History Title
10-23 10:091.04 3/3.5 0.83Opening
10-28 19:110.81 3 1.06Down Line
0.810.941.0611324OverUnder3
Timeline Title
10-23 10:09 Opening
3/3.5(1.04 / 0.83)
10-28 19:11
3(0.81 / 1.06)
10-28 19:11 Latest
3(0.81 / 1.06)
24
Record Count
1
Change Count
0
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home 1X2 price increased by a moderate amount.
History Title
10-23 10:091.64 / 4.13 / 4.42Opening
10-28 14:211.76 / 4.09 / 3.99Home Odds Up
10-28 16:461.61 / 4.33 / 4.69Home Odds Down
10-28 19:111.83 / 3.97 / 3.81Home Odds Up
1.593.194.7911324HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
10-23 10:09 Opening
1.64 / 4.13 / 4.42
10-28 14:21
1.76 / 4.09 / 3.99
10-28 16:46
1.61 / 4.33 / 4.69
10-28 19:11
1.83 / 3.97 / 3.81
10-28 19:11 Latest
1.83 / 3.97 / 3.81
24
Record Count
3
Change Count
3
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleThe home implied probability decreased slightly from the opening observation.
History Title
10-23 10:0956.6% / 22.5% / 21.0%Opening
10-28 14:2153.4% / 23.0% / 23.6%Home Prob Down
10-28 16:4658.3% / 21.7% / 20.0%Home Prob Up
10-28 19:1151.5% / 23.8% / 24.7%Home Prob Down
19.639.359.011324Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
10-23 10:09 Opening
56.56%
10-28 14:21
53.44%
10-28 16:46
58.31%
10-28 19:11
51.51%
10-28 19:11 Latest
51.51%
24
Record Count
3
Change Count
-5.05%
Home Prob Cumulative
±7.52%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
★★★★★

Title

Count Suffix
10-28 18:13
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.47 points to 59.03% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 18:13
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 4.42 to 4.79 (+8.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-28 18:13
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.64 to 1.59 (-3.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-28 16:46
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 4.42 to 4.69 (+6.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-28 16:46
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 0.5/1 to 1, up 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward home side.
10-28 14:21
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.59 points to 23.57% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 14:21
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.12 points to 53.44% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 14:21
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 4.42 to 3.99 (-9.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-28 14:21
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.64 to 1.76 (+7.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
10-23 10:09
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-27 11:23
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-27 15:05
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-28 14:21
Handicap Home Water UpHandicap
10-28 14:21
Europe Home Odds UpEurope
10-28 14:21
Prob Change PrefixHome Prob DownProbability
10-28 16:46
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-28 16:46
Europe Home Odds DownEurope
10-28 16:46
Prob Change PrefixHome Prob UpProbability
10-28 18:13
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-28 19:11
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-28 19:11
Over Under Down LineOver Under
10-28 19:11
Europe Home Odds UpEurope
10-28 19:11
Prob Change PrefixHome Prob DownProbability

Overview Stats Title

6
Handicap Changes
1
Ou Changes
3
Odds Changes
3
Prob Changes
24
Total Records
6Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status · Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
10-23
10-24
10-25
10-26
10-27
10-28
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