AFC Bournemouth vs Aston Villa FC Odds Movement Analysis | EFL Cup | 168.Tips

EFL Cup 2026-10-29 03:45
AFC BournemouthAFC Bournemouth
VS
Aston Villa FCAston Villa FC
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-28 19:13:03
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.96 -0.5 0.93
Over Under 1.04 3 0.83
Europe 1.99 | 3.72 | 3.44
Probability 47.3% | 25.3% | 27.4%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Three core directional markets show the same home-side direction.
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe · Probability
Market State Evidence
1
Market Signals Title
Strength Label ★★★☆☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-28 19:13:03

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Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap moved up one step from the previous observation.
History Title
10-23 10:110.90 -0.25 0.98Opening
10-28 19:130.96 -0.5 0.93Up Line
0.820.951.0711324Home WaterAway Water-0.5
Timeline Title
10-23 10:11 Opening
-0.25
10-28 19:13
-0.5
10-28 19:13 Latest
-0.5
24
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleA small upward change in the total-goals line was recorded.
History Title
10-23 10:110.92 2.5/3 0.95Opening
10-28 14:241.02 3 0.85Up Line
10-28 19:131.04 3 0.83No Change
0.830.941.0411324OverUnder3
Timeline Title
10-23 10:11 Opening
2.5/3(0.92 / 0.95)
10-28 14:24
3(1.02 / 0.85)
10-28 19:13 Latest
3(1.04 / 0.83)
24
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home-win price moved down slightly from the opening observation.
History Title
10-23 10:112.18 / 3.47 / 3.03Opening
10-28 19:131.99 / 3.72 / 3.44Home Odds Down
1.992.853.7211324HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
10-23 10:11 Opening
2.18 / 3.47 / 3.03
10-28 19:13
1.99 / 3.72 / 3.44
10-28 19:13 Latest
1.99 / 3.72 / 3.44
24
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleHome implied probability moved up by a small amount.
History Title
10-23 10:1142.6% / 26.8% / 30.6%Opening
10-28 19:1347.3% / 25.3% / 27.4%Home Prob Up
25.336.347.311324Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
10-23 10:11 Opening
42.59%
10-28 19:13
47.32%
10-28 19:13 Latest
47.32%
24
Record Count
1
Change Count
+4.73%
Home Prob Cumulative
±6.36%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
★★★★★

Title

Count Suffix
10-28 18:16
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.26 points to 32.91% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 18:16
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.03 to 2.85 (-5.9%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-28 18:16
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.18 to 2.29 (+5.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-28 18:16
🟢Total up★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 2.5/3 to 3, up 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly higher.
10-28 16:48
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.1 points to 32.75% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 16:48
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.03 to 2.86 (-5.6%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-28 16:48
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.18 to 2.28 (+4.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-28 14:24
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.03 to 2.89 (-4.6%) - away side attracting more attention.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
10-23 10:11
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-28 14:24
Over Under Up LineOver Under
10-28 19:13
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-28 19:13
Europe Home Odds DownEurope
10-28 19:13
Prob Change PrefixHome Prob UpProbability

Overview Stats Title

1
Handicap Changes
1
Ou Changes
1
Odds Changes
1
Prob Changes
24
Total Records
6Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status · Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
10-23
10-24
10-25
10-26
10-27
10-28
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