Liverpool FC vs Chelsea FC Odds Movement Analysis | EFL Cup | 168.Tips

EFL Cup 2026-10-29 04:00
Liverpool FCLiverpool FC
VS
Chelsea FCChelsea FC
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-28 19:15:42
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.94 0 0.95
Over Under 0.90 2.5/3 0.97
Europe 2.57 | 3.56 | 2.55
Probability 36.6% | 26.4% | 36.9%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Handicap, European Odds are aligned toward the home side. Evidence Label: 2.72 → 2.27
Market State Agreement
Mixed
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe · Probability
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
Strength Label ★★★☆☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-28 19:15:42

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Handicap

Of
Comment TitleA small upward handicap change was recorded.
History Title
10-23 10:140.83 +0.25 1.05Opening
10-25 13:480.97 0 0.91Up Line
10-26 15:211.07 -0.25 0.81Up Line
10-28 19:150.94 0 0.95Down Line
0.810.941.0711325Home WaterAway Water0
Timeline Title
10-23 10:14 Opening
+0.25
10-25 13:48
0
10-26 15:21
-0.25
10-28 19:15
0
10-28 19:15 Latest
0
25
Record Count
3
Change Count
2
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe observed total line moved notably lower.
History Title
10-23 10:141.05 3/3.5 0.82Opening
10-28 14:290.84 3 1.03Down Line
10-28 19:150.90 2.5/3 0.97Down Line
0.820.941.0511325OverUnder2.5/3
Timeline Title
10-23 10:14 Opening
3/3.5(1.05 / 0.82)
10-28 14:29
3(0.84 / 1.03)
10-28 19:15
2.5/3(0.90 / 0.97)
10-28 19:15 Latest
2.5/3(0.90 / 0.97)
25
Record Count
2
Change Count
0
Up Count
2
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleA small downward change in the home-win price was recorded.
History Title
10-23 10:142.72 / 3.65 / 2.29Opening
10-25 04:062.52 / 3.67 / 2.45Home Odds Down
10-26 15:212.32 / 3.73 / 2.66Home Odds Down
10-28 19:152.57 / 3.56 / 2.55Home Odds Up
2.152.993.8311325HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
10-23 10:14 Opening
2.72 / 3.65 / 2.29
10-25 04:06
2.52 / 3.67 / 2.45
10-26 15:21
2.32 / 3.73 / 2.66
10-28 19:15
2.57 / 3.56 / 2.55
10-28 19:15 Latest
2.57 / 3.56 / 2.55
25
Record Count
3
Change Count
3
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleNo significant win-probability movement recorded yet.
History Title
10-23 10:1434.1% / 25.4% / 40.5%Opening
10-28 19:1536.6% / 26.4% / 36.9%Home Prob Down
24.534.043.611325Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
10-23 10:14 Opening
34.10%
10-28 19:15
36.63%
10-28 19:15 Latest
36.63%
25
Record Count
1
Change Count
+2.53%
Home Prob Cumulative
±4.82%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
★★★★★

Title

Count Suffix
10-28 18:19
🔴Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 7.37 points to 33.13% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 18:19
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 7.35 points to 41.45% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 18:19
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 2.29 to 2.84 (+24.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-28 18:19
🟢Home price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 2.72 to 2.27 (-16.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-28 18:19
🔴Total down★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 3/3.5 to 3, down 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly lower.
10-28 18:19
🟢Handicap up★★☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 0/0.5 to 0/0.5, up 2 steps (0.5 goals) from opening - market backing home side strongly.
10-28 16:53
🔴Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 7.86 points to 32.64% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 16:53
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 8.06 points to 42.16% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 16:53
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 2.29 to 2.88 (+25.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-28 16:53
🟢Home price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 2.72 to 2.23 (-18.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-28 14:29
🔴Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 8.16 points to 32.34% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 14:29
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 8.67 points to 42.77% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 14:29
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 2.29 to 2.91 (+27.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-28 14:29
🟢Home price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 2.72 to 2.2 (-19.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-28 10:41
🔴Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 8.73 points to 31.77% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 10:41
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 9.44 points to 43.54% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 10:41
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 2.29 to 2.96 (+29.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-28 10:41
🟢Home price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 2.72 to 2.16 (-20.6%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-28 05:01
🔴Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 8.43 points to 32.07% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 05:01
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 9.25 points to 43.35% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 05:01
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 2.29 to 2.92 (+27.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-28 01:41
🔴Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 8.41 points to 32.09% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 01:41
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 9.28 points to 43.38% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 23:24
🔴Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 8.53 points to 31.97% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 23:24
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 9.47 points to 43.57% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 23:24
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 2.29 to 2.93 (+27.9%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-27 23:24
🟢Home price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 2.72 to 2.15 (-21.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-27 20:19
🔴Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 8.47 points to 32.03% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 20:19
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 9.39 points to 43.49% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 20:19
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 2.29 to 2.92 (+27.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-27 18:46
🔴Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 7.95 points to 32.55% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 18:46
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 8.76 points to 42.86% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 18:46
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 2.29 to 2.87 (+25.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-27 18:46
🟢Home price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 2.72 to 2.18 (-19.9%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-27 15:12
🔴Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 7.15 points to 33.35% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 15:12
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 7.78 points to 41.88% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 15:12
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 2.29 to 2.8 (+22.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-27 15:12
🟢Home price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 2.72 to 2.23 (-18.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-27 11:26
🔴Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 6.83 points to 33.67% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 11:26
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 7.35 points to 41.45% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 11:26
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 2.29 to 2.77 (+21.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-27 11:26
🟢Home price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 2.72 to 2.25 (-17.3%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-27 07:39
🔴Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 6.23 points to 34.27% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 07:39
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 6.78 points to 40.88% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 07:39
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 2.29 to 2.72 (+18.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-27 07:39
🟢Home price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 2.72 to 2.28 (-16.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-27 00:54
🔴Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 5.74 points to 34.76% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 00:54
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 6.23 points to 40.33% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 00:54
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 2.29 to 2.68 (+17.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-27 00:54
🟢Home price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 2.72 to 2.31 (-15.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-26 20:24
🔴Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 5.59 points to 34.91% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-26 20:24
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 6.07 points to 40.17% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-26 20:24
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 2.29 to 2.67 (+16.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-26 20:24
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.72 to 2.32 (-14.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-26 15:21
🔴Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 5.53 points to 34.97% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-26 15:21
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.99 points to 40.09% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-26 15:21
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 2.29 to 2.66 (+16.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-26 06:22
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.53 points to 36.97% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-26 06:22
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.78 points to 37.88% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-26 06:22
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.29 to 2.51 (+9.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-26 06:22
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.72 to 2.45 (-9.9%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-26 06:22
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 0/0.5 to 0, up 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward home side.
10-25 22:07
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.25 points to 37.25% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-25 22:07
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.45 points to 37.55% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-25 22:07
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.29 to 2.49 (+8.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-25 22:07
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.72 to 2.47 (-9.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-25 13:48
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.89 points to 37.61% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-25 13:48
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.05 points to 37.15% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-25 13:48
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.29 to 2.47 (+7.9%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-25 13:48
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.72 to 2.5 (-8.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-25 04:06
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.62 points to 37.88% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-25 04:06
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.73 points to 36.83% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-25 04:06
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.29 to 2.45 (+7.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-25 04:06
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.72 to 2.52 (-7.3%) - away side attracting more attention.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
10-23 10:14
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-25 04:06
Europe Home Odds DownEurope
10-25 13:48
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-26 15:21
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-26 15:21
Europe Home Odds DownEurope
10-28 14:29
Over Under Down LineOver Under
10-28 19:15
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-28 19:15
Over Under Down LineOver Under
10-28 19:15
Europe Home Odds UpEurope
10-28 19:15
Prob Change PrefixHome Prob DownProbability

Overview Stats Title

3
Handicap Changes
2
Ou Changes
3
Odds Changes
1
Prob Changes
25
Total Records
6Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status · Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
10-23
10-24
10-25
10-26
10-27
10-28
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