HNK Hajduk Split vs AFC Ajax Odds Movement Analysis | UEFA Conference League | 168 Tips

UEFA Conference League 2026-10-16 00:45
HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split
VS
AFC AjaxAFC Ajax
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-15 16:36:36
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.89 +0.75 0.99
Over Under 0.93 3 0.93
Europe 4.37 | 4.11 | 1.69
Probability 21.5% | 22.9% | 55.6%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Handicap, 1X2 price, and implied probability all indicate movement toward the home side. Evidence Label: 5.89 → 4.83
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe
Market State Evidence
4
Market Signals Title
🟢 Handicap up ★★☆☆☆🟢 Home price down ★★★★★🟢 Home win prob. up ★★★☆☆🔴 Total down ★★☆☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Handicap up+1.25 → +12026-10-15 14:57:12★★☆☆☆Home price down5.89 → 4.832026-10-15 14:57:12★★★★★Home win prob. up15.72 → 19.432026-10-15 14:57:12★★★☆☆
Independent Market Signals Title
Total down3/3.5 → 32026-10-15 09:41:57★★☆☆☆
Strength Label ★★★★★ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-15 16:36:36

💡 168 Tips Insight

PREMIUM
🔒
Premium Preview
In-depth market analysis & final prediction — coming soon.

Key Movements Title

5
10-15 13:07Home price down★★★★★Key Movement Line10-15 11:53Home price down★★★★★Key Movement Line10-15 08:16Home price down★★★★★Key Movement Line10-15 03:46Home price down★★★★★Key Movement Line10-15 06:41Home price down★★★★★Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleTwo upward handicap changes were recorded over the observed period.
History Title
10-08 04:430.87 +1.25 0.99Opening
10-08 14:501.14 +1 0.69Up Line
10-14 19:510.84 +1 0.98home_water_down
10-15 05:320.64 +1.25 1.34Down Line
10-15 08:161.08 +0.75 0.80Up Line
10-15 11:530.82 +1 1.06Down Line
10-15 16:360.89 +0.75 0.99Up Line
0.640.991.3411733Home WaterAway Water+0.75
Timeline Title
10-08 04:43 Opening
+1.25
10-08 14:50
+1
10-14 19:51
+1
10-15 05:32
+1.25
10-15 08:16
+0.75
10-15 11:53
+1
10-15 16:36
+0.75
10-15 16:36 Latest
+0.75
33
Record Count
6
Change Count
3
Up Count
2
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe Over/Under line moved down slightly from the previous observation.
History Title
10-08 04:431.18 3/3.5 0.73Opening
10-08 14:500.86 3 0.94Down Line
10-15 05:321.18 3/3.5 0.73Up Line
10-15 08:160.83 3 1.03Down Line
10-15 11:531.06 3/3.5 0.80Up Line
10-15 16:360.93 3 0.93Down Line
0.730.951.1811733OverUnder3
Timeline Title
10-08 04:43 Opening
3/3.5（1.18 / 0.73）
10-08 14:50
3（0.86 / 0.94）
10-15 05:32
3/3.5（1.18 / 0.73）
10-15 08:16
3（0.83 / 1.03）
10-15 11:53
3/3.5（1.06 / 0.80）
10-15 16:36
3（0.93 / 0.93）
10-15 16:36 Latest
3（0.93 / 0.93）
33
Record Count
5
Change Count
2
Up Count
3
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleA large downward change in the home-win price was recorded.
History Title
10-08 04:435.89 / 4.54 / 1.45Opening
10-11 17:065.53 / 4.46 / 1.49Home Odds Down
10-14 19:514.92 / 4.27 / 1.58Home Odds Down
10-15 16:364.37 / 4.11 / 1.69Home Odds Down
1.443.726.0111733HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
10-08 04:43 Opening
5.89 / 4.54 / 1.45
10-11 17:06
5.53 / 4.46 / 1.49
10-14 19:51
4.92 / 4.27 / 1.58
10-15 16:36
4.37 / 4.11 / 1.69
10-15 16:36 Latest
4.37 / 4.11 / 1.69
33
Record Count
3
Change Count
3
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleThe home implied probability increased slightly from the opening observation.
History Title
10-08 04:4315.7% / 20.4% / 63.9%Opening
10-15 16:3621.5% / 22.9% / 55.6%No Change
15.539.964.411733Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
10-08 04:43 Opening
15.72%
10-15 16:36 Latest
21.51%
33
Record Count
0
Change Count
+5.79%
Home Prob Cumulative
±2.08%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
10-15 14:57
🔴Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 5.22 points to 58.65% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 14:57
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.71 points to 19.43% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 14:57
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 1.45 to 1.6 (+10.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-15 14:57
🟢Home price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 5.89 to 4.83 (-18.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-15 14:57
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from -1/-1.5 to -1, up 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward home side.
10-15 13:07
🔴Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 5.91 points to 57.96% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 13:07
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.13 points to 19.85% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 13:07
🟢Home price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 5.89 to 4.73 (-19.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-15 13:07
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 1.45 to 1.62 (+11.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-15 11:53
🔴Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 5.95 points to 57.92% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 11:53
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.07 points to 19.79% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 11:53
🟢Home price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 5.89 to 4.74 (-19.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-15 09:41
🟢Handicap up★★☆☆☆
Handicap moved from -1/-1.5 to -0.5/-1, up 2 steps (0.5 goals) from opening - market backing home side strongly.
10-15 09:41
🔴Total down★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 3/3.5 to 3, down 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly lower.
10-15 08:16
🔴Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 5.9 points to 57.97% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 08:16
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.01 points to 19.73% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 08:16
🟢Home price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 5.89 to 4.76 (-19.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-15 06:41
🔴Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 5.58 points to 58.29% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 06:41
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.75 points to 19.47% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 06:41
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 1.45 to 1.61 (+11.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-15 06:41
🟢Home price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 5.89 to 4.82 (-18.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-15 05:32
🔴Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 5.22 points to 58.65% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 05:32
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.55 points to 19.27% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 05:32
🟢Home price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 5.89 to 4.87 (-17.3%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-15 05:32
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 1.45 to 1.6 (+10.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-15 03:46
🔴Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 5.48 points to 58.39% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 03:46
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.7 points to 19.42% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 03:46
🟢Home price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 5.89 to 4.81 (-18.3%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-15 03:46
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from -1/-1.5 to -1, up 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward home side.
10-15 00:50
🔴Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 5.31 points to 58.56% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 00:50
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.68 points to 19.4% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 00:50
🟢Home price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 5.89 to 4.83 (-18.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-14 22:55
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.96 points to 58.91% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 22:55
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.43 points to 19.15% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 22:55
🟢Home price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 5.89 to 4.89 (-17.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-14 22:55
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.45 to 1.59 (+9.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-14 21:00
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.94 points to 58.93% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 21:00
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.4 points to 19.12% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 21:00
🟢Home price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 5.89 to 4.9 (-16.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-14 19:51
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.74 points to 59.13% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 19:51
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.27 points to 18.99% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 19:51
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.45 to 1.58 (+9.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-14 19:51
🟢Home price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 5.89 to 4.92 (-16.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-14 18:31
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.27 points to 61.6% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 18:31
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.89 to 5.41 (-8.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-14 18:31
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.45 to 1.52 (+4.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-14 16:55
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.31 points to 61.56% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 16:55
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.89 to 5.39 (-8.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-14 13:04
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.15 points to 61.72% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 13:04
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.45 to 1.51 (+4.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-14 09:07
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.89 to 5.55 (-5.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-14 09:07
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.45 to 1.5 (+3.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-14 04:46
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.89 to 5.56 (-5.6%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-14 00:32
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.89 to 5.57 (-5.4%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-13 21:05
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.89 to 5.53 (-6.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-13 17:50
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.89 to 5.49 (-6.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-13 10:10
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.89 to 5.5 (-6.6%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-13 01:28
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.89 to 5.51 (-6.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-12 01:30
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.89 to 5.49 (-6.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-11 17:06
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.89 to 5.53 (-6.1%) - away side attracting more attention.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
10-08 04:43
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-08 14:50
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-08 14:50
Over Under Down LineOver Under
10-11 17:06
Europe Home Odds DownEurope
10-14 19:51
Handicap home_water_downHandicap
10-14 19:51
Europe Home Odds DownEurope
10-15 05:32
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-15 05:32
Over Under Up LineOver Under
10-15 08:16
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-15 08:16
Over Under Down LineOver Under
10-15 11:53
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-15 11:53
Over Under Up LineOver Under
10-15 16:36
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-15 16:36
Over Under Down LineOver Under
10-15 16:36
Europe Home Odds DownEurope

Overview Stats Title

6
Handicap Changes
5
Ou Changes
3
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
33
Total Records
8Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status　·　Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
10-09
10-10
10-11
10-12
10-13
10-14
10-15
Partners
Stake 🔥 Bet on this match at Stake — fast payouts, crypto accepted → BetWinner ⚡ Great odds on BetWinner — register now and claim your bonus → 1xBet 🎯 1xBet — widest market coverage, bet now →
Share This Match
𝕏 X / Twitter ✈ Telegram
Related Title
CSKA Sofia VS AS Monaco FCUEFA Conference League FC Lugano VS Crvena ZvezdaUEFA Conference League KAA Gent VS AGF AarhusUEFA Conference League Panathinaikos FC VS FK Borac Banja LukaUEFA Conference League CS Universitatea Craiova VS Getafe CFUEFA Conference League