HNK Hajduk Split vs AFC Ajax Análisis de movimiento de cuotas | UEFA Conference League | 168 Tips

UEFA Conference League 2026-10-16 00:45
HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split
VS
AFC AjaxAFC Ajax
Hora de registro de apertura Última actualización 2026-10-15 16:36:36
Antes del partido - alta frecuencia Hasta el inicio
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Instantánea

Última instantánea
Hándicap 0.89 +0.75 0.99
Más/Menos 0.93 3 0.93
Europa 4.37 | 4.11 | 1.69
Probabilidad 21.5% | 22.9% | 55.6%

Resumen de señales

Estado del mercado: Mercado en movimiento
Consenso de mercado
Mercado dominante
Los mercados principales están alineados hacia el lado local. Evidencia: 5.89 → 4.83
Acuerdo de mercado
Alineado
Cobertura de mercado
Hándicap · Más/Menos · Europa
Evidencia de mercado
4
Señales de mercado
🟢 Hándicap sube ★★☆☆☆🟢 Precio local baja ★★★★★🟢 Prob. victoria local sube ★★★☆☆🔴 Total baja ★★☆☆☆
Señales de apoyo
Hándicap sube+1.25 → +12026-10-15 14:57:12★★☆☆☆Precio local baja5.89 → 4.832026-10-15 14:57:12★★★★★Prob. victoria local sube15.72 → 19.432026-10-15 14:57:12★★★☆☆
Señales de mercado independientes
Total baja3/3.5 → 32026-10-15 09:41:57★★☆☆☆
Fuerza ★★★★★ Las señales de los mercados principales apuntan en la misma dirección. Monitoreo en vivo: Antes del partido - alta frecuencia Tiempo hasta el inicio: Hasta el inicio Último estado de mercado: 2026-10-15 16:36:36

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Movimientos clave

5
10-15 13:07Precio local baja★★★★★Línea de movimiento clave10-15 11:53Precio local baja★★★★★Línea de movimiento clave10-15 08:16Precio local baja★★★★★Línea de movimiento clave10-15 03:46Precio local baja★★★★★Línea de movimiento clave10-15 06:41Precio local baja★★★★★Línea de movimiento clave
Ver cronología

Hándicap

de
ComentarioEl hándicap subió dos niveles durante el período observado.
Historial
10-08 04:430.87 +1.25 0.99Apertura
10-08 14:501.14 +1 0.69Línea sube
10-14 19:510.84 +1 0.98home_water_down
10-15 05:320.64 +1.25 1.34Línea baja
10-15 08:161.08 +0.75 0.80Línea sube
10-15 11:530.82 +1 1.06Línea baja
10-15 16:360.89 +0.75 0.99Línea sube
0.640.991.3411733Home WaterAway Water+0.75
Cronología
10-08 04:43 Apertura
+1.25
10-08 14:50
+1
10-14 19:51
+1
10-15 05:32
+1.25
10-15 08:16
+0.75
10-15 11:53
+1
10-15 16:36
+0.75
10-15 16:36 Último
+0.75
33
Número de registros
6
Número de cambios
3
Número de ascensos
2
Número de descensos
Magnitud
★★★★★

Más/Menos

de
ComentarioSe registró un pequeño cambio descendente en la línea de goles totales.
Historial
10-08 04:431.18 3/3.5 0.73Apertura
10-08 14:500.86 3 0.94Línea baja
10-15 05:321.18 3/3.5 0.73Línea sube
10-15 08:160.83 3 1.03Línea baja
10-15 11:531.06 3/3.5 0.80Línea sube
10-15 16:360.93 3 0.93Línea baja
0.730.951.1811733OverUnder3
Cronología
10-08 04:43 Apertura
3/3.5（1.18 / 0.73）
10-08 14:50
3（0.86 / 0.94）
10-15 05:32
3/3.5（1.18 / 0.73）
10-15 08:16
3（0.83 / 1.03）
10-15 11:53
3/3.5（1.06 / 0.80）
10-15 16:36
3（0.93 / 0.93）
10-15 16:36 Último
3（0.93 / 0.93）
33
Número de registros
5
Número de cambios
2
Número de ascensos
3
Número de descensos
Magnitud
★★★★★

Europa

de
ComentarioEl precio de victoria local bajó materialmente.
Historial
10-08 04:435.89 / 4.54 / 1.45Apertura
10-11 17:065.53 / 4.46 / 1.49Cuota local baja
10-14 19:514.92 / 4.27 / 1.58Cuota local baja
10-15 16:364.37 / 4.11 / 1.69Cuota local baja
1.443.726.0111733HomeDrawAway
Cronología
10-08 04:43 Apertura
5.89 / 4.54 / 1.45
10-11 17:06
5.53 / 4.46 / 1.49
10-14 19:51
4.92 / 4.27 / 1.58
10-15 16:36
4.37 / 4.11 / 1.69
10-15 16:36 Último
4.37 / 4.11 / 1.69
33
Número de registros
3
Número de cambios
3
Cambio de cuota local
0
Cambio de cuota visitante
Magnitud
★★★★★

Probabilidad

de
ComentarioLa probabilidad implícita local aumentó ligeramente.
Historial
10-08 04:4315.7% / 20.4% / 63.9%Apertura
10-15 16:3621.5% / 22.9% / 55.6%Sin cambio
15.539.964.411733Home%Draw%Away%
Cronología
10-08 04:43 Apertura
15.72%
10-15 16:36 Último
21.51%
33
Número de registros
0
Número de cambios
+5.79%
Probabilidad local acumulada
±2.08%
Máx. movimiento único
Magnitud
Sin cambio

Eventos

evento
10-15 14:57
🔴Prob. victoria visitante baja★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 5.22 points to 58.65% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 14:57
🟢Prob. victoria local sube★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.71 points to 19.43% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 14:57
🔴Precio visitante sube★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 1.45 to 1.6 (+10.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-15 14:57
🟢Precio local baja★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 5.89 to 4.83 (-18.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-15 14:57
🟢Hándicap sube★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from -1/-1.5 to -1, up 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward home side.
10-15 13:07
🔴Prob. victoria visitante baja★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 5.91 points to 57.96% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 13:07
🟢Prob. victoria local sube★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.13 points to 19.85% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 13:07
🟢Precio local baja★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 5.89 to 4.73 (-19.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-15 13:07
🔴Precio visitante sube★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 1.45 to 1.62 (+11.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-15 11:53
🔴Prob. victoria visitante baja★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 5.95 points to 57.92% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 11:53
🟢Prob. victoria local sube★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.07 points to 19.79% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 11:53
🟢Precio local baja★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 5.89 to 4.74 (-19.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-15 09:41
🟢Hándicap sube★★☆☆☆
Handicap moved from -1/-1.5 to -0.5/-1, up 2 steps (0.5 goals) from opening - market backing home side strongly.
10-15 09:41
🔴Total baja★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 3/3.5 to 3, down 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly lower.
10-15 08:16
🔴Prob. victoria visitante baja★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 5.9 points to 57.97% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 08:16
🟢Prob. victoria local sube★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.01 points to 19.73% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 08:16
🟢Precio local baja★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 5.89 to 4.76 (-19.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-15 06:41
🔴Prob. victoria visitante baja★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 5.58 points to 58.29% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 06:41
🟢Prob. victoria local sube★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.75 points to 19.47% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 06:41
🔴Precio visitante sube★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 1.45 to 1.61 (+11.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-15 06:41
🟢Precio local baja★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 5.89 to 4.82 (-18.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-15 05:32
🔴Prob. victoria visitante baja★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 5.22 points to 58.65% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 05:32
🟢Prob. victoria local sube★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.55 points to 19.27% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 05:32
🟢Precio local baja★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 5.89 to 4.87 (-17.3%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-15 05:32
🔴Precio visitante sube★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 1.45 to 1.6 (+10.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-15 03:46
🔴Prob. victoria visitante baja★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 5.48 points to 58.39% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 03:46
🟢Prob. victoria local sube★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.7 points to 19.42% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 03:46
🟢Precio local baja★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 5.89 to 4.81 (-18.3%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-15 03:46
🟢Hándicap sube★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from -1/-1.5 to -1, up 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward home side.
10-15 00:50
🔴Prob. victoria visitante baja★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 5.31 points to 58.56% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 00:50
🟢Prob. victoria local sube★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.68 points to 19.4% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 00:50
🟢Precio local baja★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 5.89 to 4.83 (-18.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-14 22:55
🔴Prob. victoria visitante baja★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.96 points to 58.91% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 22:55
🟢Prob. victoria local sube★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.43 points to 19.15% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 22:55
🟢Precio local baja★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 5.89 to 4.89 (-17.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-14 22:55
🔴Precio visitante sube★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.45 to 1.59 (+9.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-14 21:00
🔴Prob. victoria visitante baja★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.94 points to 58.93% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 21:00
🟢Prob. victoria local sube★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.4 points to 19.12% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 21:00
🟢Precio local baja★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 5.89 to 4.9 (-16.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-14 19:51
🔴Prob. victoria visitante baja★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.74 points to 59.13% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 19:51
🟢Prob. victoria local sube★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.27 points to 18.99% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 19:51
🔴Precio visitante sube★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.45 to 1.58 (+9.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-14 19:51
🟢Precio local baja★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 5.89 to 4.92 (-16.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-14 18:31
🔴Prob. victoria visitante baja★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.27 points to 61.6% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 18:31
🟢Precio local baja★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.89 to 5.41 (-8.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-14 18:31
🔴Precio visitante sube★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.45 to 1.52 (+4.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-14 16:55
🔴Prob. victoria visitante baja★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.31 points to 61.56% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 16:55
🟢Precio local baja★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.89 to 5.39 (-8.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-14 13:04
🔴Prob. victoria visitante baja★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.15 points to 61.72% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 13:04
🔴Precio visitante sube★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.45 to 1.51 (+4.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-14 09:07
🟢Precio local baja★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.89 to 5.55 (-5.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-14 09:07
🔴Precio visitante sube★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.45 to 1.5 (+3.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-14 04:46
🟢Precio local baja★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.89 to 5.56 (-5.6%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-14 00:32
🟢Precio local baja★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.89 to 5.57 (-5.4%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-13 21:05
🟢Precio local baja★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.89 to 5.53 (-6.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-13 17:50
🟢Precio local baja★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.89 to 5.49 (-6.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-13 10:10
🟢Precio local baja★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.89 to 5.5 (-6.6%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-13 01:28
🟢Precio local baja★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.89 to 5.51 (-6.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-12 01:30
🟢Precio local baja★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.89 to 5.49 (-6.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-11 17:06
🟢Precio local baja★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.89 to 5.53 (-6.1%) - away side attracting more attention.

Resumen

Todos los módulos
10-08 04:43
Registro de aperturaApertura
10-08 14:50
Hándicap Línea subeHándicap
10-08 14:50
Más/Menos Línea bajaMás/Menos
10-11 17:06
Europa Cuota local bajaEuropa
10-14 19:51
Hándicap home_water_downHándicap
10-14 19:51
Europa Cuota local bajaEuropa
10-15 05:32
Hándicap Línea bajaHándicap
10-15 05:32
Más/Menos Línea subeMás/Menos
10-15 08:16
Hándicap Línea subeHándicap
10-15 08:16
Más/Menos Línea bajaMás/Menos
10-15 11:53
Hándicap Línea bajaHándicap
10-15 11:53
Más/Menos Línea subeMás/Menos
10-15 16:36
Hándicap Línea subeHándicap
10-15 16:36
Más/Menos Línea bajaMás/Menos
10-15 16:36
Europa Cuota local bajaEuropa

Estadísticas generales

6
Cambios de hándicap
5
Cambios de Más/Menos
3
Cambios de cuotas
0
Cambios de probabilidad
33
Total de registros
8día
Días de monitoreo
★★★★★
Actividad de mercado
Alta frecuencia
Nivel de monitoreo
Antes del partido - alta frecuencia
Estado actual　·　Hasta el inicio
Cambio de calor del mercado
10-09
10-10
10-11
10-12
10-13
10-14
10-15
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