Africa Cup of Nations

Guinea vs Kenya Odds Movement Analysis | Africa Cup of Nations | 168 Tips

GuineaGuinea
VS
KenyaKenya
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-01 18:14:27
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 5.55 -0.25 0.06
Over Under 5.55 1.5 0.04
Europe 1.49 | 3.65 | 7.11
Probability 61.8% | 25.2% | 12.9%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Conflicted
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
European Odds, Implied Probability indicate movement toward the home side, while Handicap indicate movement toward the away side. Evidence Label: 1.69 → 1.49
Market State Agreement
Conflicting
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
🟢 Home price down ★★★★☆🟢 Home win prob. up ★★★☆☆🔴 Total down ★★☆☆☆
Conflict Neutral Note
Conflicting Signals Title
Home price down1.69 → 1.492026-10-01 16:26:52★★★★☆Home win prob. up54.14 → 61.812026-10-01 16:26:52★★★☆☆
Independent Market Signals Title
Total down1.5/2 → 1.52026-10-01 16:26:52★★☆☆☆
Strength Label ★★★★☆ Signals are split across markets. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-01 18:14:27

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Key Movements Title

5
10-01 16:26Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line10-01 13:18Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line10-01 09:54Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line10-01 16:26Home price down★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-01 13:18Home price down★★★☆☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap moved down two steps across the observed period.
History Title
09-30 18:100.95 -0.75 0.75Opening
10-01 00:160.78 -0.75 0.92home_water_down
10-01 06:471.57 -1.25 0.45Up Line
10-01 09:540.70 -0.75 1.13Down Line
10-01 18:145.55 -0.25 0.06Down Line
0.062.805.551610Home WaterAway Water-0.25
Timeline Title
09-30 18:10 Opening
-0.75
10-01 00:16
-0.75
10-01 06:47
-1.25
10-01 09:54
-0.75
10-01 18:14
-0.25
10-01 18:14 Latest
-0.25
10
Record Count
4
Change Count
1
Up Count
2
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe Over/Under line moved down slightly from the previous observation.
History Title
09-30 18:100.75 1.5/2 0.95Opening
10-01 09:540.76 2 1.04Up Line
10-01 13:170.89 1.5/2 0.91Down Line
10-01 16:260.83 1.5 1.03Down Line
10-01 18:145.55 1.5 0.04Over Water Up
0.042.795.551610OverUnder1.5
Timeline Title
09-30 18:10 Opening
1.5/2（0.75 / 0.95）
10-01 09:54
2（0.76 / 1.04）
10-01 13:17
1.5/2（0.89 / 0.91）
10-01 16:26
1.5（0.83 / 1.03）
10-01 18:14
1.5（5.55 / 0.04）
10-01 18:14 Latest
1.5（5.55 / 0.04）
10
Record Count
4
Change Count
1
Up Count
2
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home-win price moved down noticeably from the opening observation.
History Title
09-30 18:101.69 / 3.13 / 5.50Opening
10-01 00:161.63 / 3.25 / 5.88Away Odds Up
10-01 09:541.55 / 3.49 / 6.44Away Odds Up
10-01 16:261.49 / 3.65 / 7.11Away Odds Up
10-01 18:141.49 / 3.65 / 7.11No Change
1.494.307.111610HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
09-30 18:10 Opening
1.69 / 3.13 / 5.50
10-01 00:16
1.63 / 3.25 / 5.88
10-01 09:54
1.55 / 3.49 / 6.44
10-01 16:26
1.49 / 3.65 / 7.11
10-01 18:14 Latest
1.49 / 3.65 / 7.11
10
Record Count
3
Change Count
0
Home Odds Change
3
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleHome implied probability moved up by a moderate amount.
History Title
09-30 18:1054.1% / 29.2% / 16.6%Opening
10-01 18:1461.8% / 25.2% / 12.9%No Change
12.937.461.81610Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
09-30 18:10 Opening
54.14%
10-01 18:14 Latest
61.81%
10
Record Count
0
Change Count
+7.67%
Home Prob Cumulative
±2.66%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
10-01 16:26
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.68 points to 12.95% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-01 16:26
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 7.67 points to 61.81% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-01 16:26
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 5.5 to 7.11 (+29.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-01 16:26
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.69 to 1.49 (-11.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-01 16:26
🔴Total down★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 1.5/2 to 1.5, down 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly lower.
10-01 13:18
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.6 points to 14.03% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-01 13:18
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.07 points to 59.21% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-01 13:18
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 5.5 to 6.54 (+18.9%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-01 13:18
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.69 to 1.55 (-8.3%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-01 09:54
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.34 points to 14.29% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-01 09:54
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.21 points to 59.35% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-01 09:54
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 5.5 to 6.44 (+17.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-01 09:54
🟢Total up★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 1.5/2 to 2, up 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly higher.
10-01 06:47
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.55 points to 56.69% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-01 06:47
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 5.5 to 5.9 (+7.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-01 06:47
🟢Handicap up★★☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 0.5/1 to 1/1.5, up 2 steps (0.5 goals) from opening - market backing home side strongly.
10-01 06:47
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.69 to 1.62 (-4.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-01 03:33
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.28 points to 56.42% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-01 03:33
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 5.5 to 5.88 (+6.9%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-01 00:16
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.08 points to 56.22% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-01 00:16
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.69 to 1.63 (-3.5%) - away side attracting more attention.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
09-30 18:10
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-01 00:16
Handicap home_water_downHandicap
10-01 00:16
Europe Away Odds UpEurope
10-01 06:47
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-01 09:54
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-01 09:54
Over Under Up LineOver Under
10-01 09:54
Europe Away Odds UpEurope
10-01 13:17
Over Under Down LineOver Under
10-01 16:26
Over Under Down LineOver Under
10-01 16:26
Europe Away Odds UpEurope
10-01 18:14
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-01 18:14
Over Under Over Water UpOver Under

Overview Stats Title

4
Handicap Changes
4
Ou Changes
3
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
10
Total Records
2Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status　·　Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
09-30
10-01
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