麒麟杯

Japan vs Ecuador Odds Movement Analysis | 麒麟杯 | 168 Tips

JapanJapan
VS
EcuadorEcuador
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-01 12:21:29
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 7.69 -0.25 0.01
Over Under 7.14 0.5 0.02
Europe 1.52 | 4.19 | 5.58
Probability 61.2% | 22.2% | 16.7%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Conflicted
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Core directional signals are split between European Odds, Implied Probability and Handicap. Evidence Label: 1.69 → 1.52
Market State Agreement
Conflicting
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe
Market State Evidence
4
Market Signals Title
🔴 Handicap down ★★☆☆☆🟢 Home price down ★★★★☆🟢 Home win prob. up ★★★☆☆🔴 Total down ★★★★★
Conflict Neutral Note
Conflicting Signals Title
Handicap down-0.75 → -0.52026-10-01 10:37:02★★☆☆☆Home price down1.69 → 1.522026-10-01 10:37:02★★★★☆Home win prob. up54.81 → 61.162026-10-01 10:37:02★★★☆☆
Independent Market Signals Title
Total down2/2.5 → 22026-10-01 10:37:02★★★★★
Strength Label ★★★★☆ Signals are split across markets. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-01 12:21:29

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Key Movements Title

5
10-01 07:30Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line10-01 10:37Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line10-01 04:16Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line10-01 00:55Away price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-01 10:37Home price down★★★★☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleTwo downward handicap changes were recorded over the observed period.
History Title
09-30 12:100.88 -0.75 0.94Opening
10-01 04:161.43 -1.25 0.50Up Line
10-01 07:301.22 -1.25 0.59home_water_down
10-01 10:360.90 -0.5 0.98Down Line
10-01 12:217.69 -0.25 0.01Down Line
0.013.857.691610Home WaterAway Water-0.25
Timeline Title
09-30 12:10 Opening
-0.75
10-01 04:16
-1.25
10-01 07:30
-1.25
10-01 10:36
-0.5
10-01 12:21
-0.25
10-01 12:21 Latest
-0.25
10
Record Count
4
Change Count
1
Up Count
2
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe Over/Under line moved down materially from the opening position.
History Title
09-30 12:100.82 2/2.5 0.98Opening
10-01 10:360.88 2 0.99Down Line
10-01 12:217.14 0.5 0.02Down Line
0.023.587.141610OverUnder0.5
Timeline Title
09-30 12:10 Opening
2/2.5（0.82 / 0.98）
10-01 10:36
2（0.88 / 0.99）
10-01 12:21
0.5（7.14 / 0.02）
10-01 12:21 Latest
0.5（7.14 / 0.02）
10
Record Count
2
Change Count
0
Up Count
2
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home-win price moved down noticeably from the opening observation.
History Title
09-30 12:101.69 / 3.69 / 4.61Opening
10-01 00:551.63 / 3.75 / 5.13Away Odds Up
10-01 04:161.58 / 3.86 / 5.46Away Odds Up
10-01 07:301.53 / 4.00 / 5.91Away Odds Up
10-01 10:361.52 / 4.19 / 5.58Away Odds Down
10-01 12:211.52 / 4.19 / 5.58No Change
1.523.715.911610HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
09-30 12:10 Opening
1.69 / 3.69 / 4.61
10-01 00:55
1.63 / 3.75 / 5.13
10-01 04:16
1.58 / 3.86 / 5.46
10-01 07:30
1.53 / 4.00 / 5.91
10-01 10:36
1.52 / 4.19 / 5.58
10-01 12:21 Latest
1.52 / 4.19 / 5.58
10
Record Count
4
Change Count
0
Home Odds Change
4
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleThe home implied probability increased noticeably from the opening observation.
History Title
09-30 12:1054.8% / 25.1% / 20.1%Opening
10-01 12:2161.2% / 22.2% / 16.7%No Change
15.838.561.21610Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
09-30 12:10 Opening
54.81%
10-01 12:21 Latest
61.16%
10
Record Count
0
Change Count
+6.35%
Home Prob Cumulative
±2.05%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
10-01 10:37
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.43 points to 16.66% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-01 10:37
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 6.35 points to 61.16% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-01 10:37
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 4.61 to 5.58 (+21.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-01 10:37
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.69 to 1.52 (-10.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-01 10:37
🔴Total down★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 2/2.5 to 2, down 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly lower.
10-01 10:37
⚠️Handicap volatile★★★☆☆
Handicap oscillated 3 steps today (low 2 to high 5) - market divergence notable
10-01 10:37
🔴Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 0.5/1 to 0.5, down 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward away side.
10-01 07:30
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.32 points to 15.77% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-01 07:30
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 6.11 points to 60.92% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-01 07:30
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 4.61 to 5.91 (+28.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-01 07:30
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.69 to 1.53 (-9.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-01 07:30
🟢Handicap up★★☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 0.5/1 to 1/1.5, up 2 steps (0.5 goals) from opening - market backing home side strongly.
10-01 04:16
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.05 points to 17.04% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-01 04:16
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.06 points to 58.87% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-01 04:16
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 4.61 to 5.46 (+18.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-01 04:16
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.69 to 1.58 (-6.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-01 00:55
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.25 points to 57.06% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-01 00:55
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 4.61 to 5.13 (+11.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-01 00:55
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.69 to 1.63 (-3.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-30 21:37
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 4.61 to 4.77 (+3.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-30 18:28
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 4.61 to 4.82 (+4.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
09-30 12:10
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-01 00:55
Europe Away Odds UpEurope
10-01 04:16
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-01 04:16
Europe Away Odds UpEurope
10-01 07:30
Handicap home_water_downHandicap
10-01 07:30
Europe Away Odds UpEurope
10-01 10:36
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-01 10:36
Over Under Down LineOver Under
10-01 10:36
Europe Away Odds DownEurope
10-01 12:21
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-01 12:21
Over Under Down LineOver Under

Overview Stats Title

4
Handicap Changes
2
Ou Changes
4
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
10
Total Records
2Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status　·　Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
09-30
10-01
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