Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg Odds Movement Analysis | Bundesliga | 168 Tips

Bundesliga 2026-10-18 21:30
Bayer 04 LeverkusenBayer 04 Leverkusen
VS
SC FreiburgSC Freiburg
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-18 13:11:40
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 1.02 -1 0.87
Over Under 0.88 3/3.5 1.01
Europe 1.62 | 4.40 | 4.71
Probability 58.4% | 21.5% | 20.1%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Handicap moved toward the home side, while the other core signals did not match it. Evidence Label: -0.75 → -1
Market State Agreement
Insufficient
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Europe
Market State Evidence
1
Market Signals Title
Strength Label ★☆☆☆☆ There is not enough cross-market movement for a directional summary. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-18 13:11:40

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Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap moved up one step from the previous observation.
History Title
10-12 05:080.90 -0.75 0.98Opening
10-15 06:021.43 -1.25 0.57Up Line
10-15 15:370.95 -0.75 0.93Down Line
10-18 05:001.02 -1 0.87Up Line
10-18 13:111.02 -1 0.87No Change
0.571.001.4311427Home WaterAway Water-1
Timeline Title
10-12 05:08 Opening
-0.75
10-15 06:02
-1.25
10-15 15:37
-0.75
10-18 05:00
-1
10-18 13:11 Latest
-1
27
Record Count
3
Change Count
2
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleNo significant total (over/under) movement recorded yet.
History Title
10-12 05:081.01 3/3.5 0.87Opening
10-18 13:110.88 3/3.5 1.01No Change
0.870.941.0111427OverUnder3/3.5
Timeline Title
10-12 05:08 Opening
3/3.5(1.01 / 0.87)
10-18 13:11 Latest
3/3.5(0.88 / 1.01)
27
Record Count
0
Change Count
0
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
No Change

Europe

Of
Comment TitleNo significant 1X2 price movement recorded yet.
History Title
10-12 05:081.68 / 4.23 / 4.26Opening
10-18 07:511.61 / 4.40 / 4.75Away Odds Up
10-18 13:111.62 / 4.40 / 4.71No Change
1.603.204.8011427HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
10-12 05:08 Opening
1.68 / 4.23 / 4.26
10-18 07:51
1.61 / 4.40 / 4.75
10-18 13:11 Latest
1.62 / 4.40 / 4.71
27
Record Count
1
Change Count
0
Home Odds Change
1
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleNo significant win-probability movement recorded yet.
History Title
10-12 05:0855.8% / 22.2% / 22.0%Opening
10-18 13:1158.4% / 21.5% / 20.1%No Change
19.639.359.011427Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
10-12 05:08 Opening
55.82%
10-18 13:11 Latest
58.41%
27
Record Count
0
Change Count
+2.59%
Home Prob Cumulative
±1.18%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
10-18 10:56
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.02 points to 19.99% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 10:56
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.79 points to 58.61% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 10:56
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 4.26 to 4.72 (+10.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-18 10:56
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.68 to 1.61 (-4.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-18 10:56
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 0.5/1 to 1, up 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward home side.
10-18 09:25
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.36 points to 19.65% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 09:25
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.14 points to 58.96% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 09:25
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 4.26 to 4.8 (+12.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-18 09:25
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.68 to 1.6 (-4.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-18 07:51
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.13 points to 19.88% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 07:51
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.84 points to 58.66% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 07:51
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 4.26 to 4.75 (+11.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-18 07:51
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.68 to 1.61 (-4.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-18 05:00
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 4.26 to 4.52 (+6.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-18 03:05
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 4.26 to 4.45 (+4.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-15 06:02
🟢Handicap up★★☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 0.5/1 to 1/1.5, up 2 steps (0.5 goals) from opening - market backing home side strongly.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
10-12 05:08
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-15 06:02
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-15 15:37
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-18 05:00
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-18 07:51
Europe Away Odds UpEurope

Overview Stats Title

3
Handicap Changes
0
Ou Changes
1
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
27
Total Records
7Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status · Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
10-12
10-13
10-14
10-15
10-16
10-17
10-18
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