Borussia Monchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim Odds Movement Analysis | Bundesliga | 168 Tips

Bundesliga 2026-10-18 23:30
Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia Monchengladbach
VS
TSG HoffenheimTSG Hoffenheim
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-18 14:44:22
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.96 +0.25 0.93
Over Under 1.01 3.5/4 0.88
Europe 2.97 | 4.00 | 2.12
Probability 31.8% | 23.6% | 44.6%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Handicap, 1X2 price, and implied probability all indicate movement toward the home side. Evidence Label: 3.26 → 3.02
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
🟢 Handicap up ★☆☆☆☆🟢 Home price down ★★★☆☆🟢 Home win prob. up ★★☆☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Handicap up+0.5 → +0.252026-10-18 13:21:39★☆☆☆☆Home price down3.26 → 3.022026-10-18 13:21:39★★★☆☆Home win prob. up28.78 → 31.262026-10-18 13:21:39★★☆☆☆
Strength Label ★★★☆☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-18 14:44:22

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Key Movements Title

5
10-18 13:21Away price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line10-18 13:21Home price down★★★☆☆Key Movement Line10-18 11:08Away price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line10-18 09:31Away price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line10-18 11:08Home price down★★★☆☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap moved up one step from the previous observation.
History Title
10-12 05:200.91 +0.5 0.97Opening
10-16 03:541.01 +0.25 0.87Up Line
10-18 14:440.96 +0.25 0.93No Change
0.800.941.0811325Home WaterAway Water+0.25
Timeline Title
10-12 05:20 Opening
+0.5
10-16 03:54
+0.25
10-18 14:44 Latest
+0.25
25
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe Over/Under line moved up slightly from the previous observation.
History Title
10-12 05:201.01 3.5 0.87Opening
10-18 14:441.01 3.5/4 0.88Up Line
0.870.941.0111325OverUnder3.5/4
Timeline Title
10-12 05:20 Opening
3.5（1.01 / 0.87）
10-18 14:44
3.5/4（1.01 / 0.88）
10-18 14:44 Latest
3.5/4（1.01 / 0.88）
25
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home 1X2 price decreased by a small amount.
History Title
10-12 05:203.26 / 4.06 / 1.95Opening
10-18 14:442.97 / 4.00 / 2.12No Change
1.953.004.0611325HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
10-12 05:20 Opening
3.26 / 4.06 / 1.95
10-18 14:44 Latest
2.97 / 4.00 / 2.12
25
Record Count
0
Change Count
0
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
No Change

Probability

Of
Comment TitleA small upward change in home implied probability was recorded.
History Title
10-12 05:2028.8% / 23.1% / 48.1%Opening
10-18 14:4431.8% / 23.6% / 44.6%No Change
23.135.648.111325Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
10-12 05:20 Opening
28.78%
10-18 14:44 Latest
31.81%
25
Record Count
0
Change Count
+3.03%
Home Prob Cumulative
±0.94%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
10-18 13:21
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.15 points to 44.96% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 13:21
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.48 points to 31.26% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 13:21
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.95 to 2.1 (+7.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-18 13:21
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.26 to 3.02 (-7.4%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-18 13:21
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from -0.5 to 0/0.5, up 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward home side.
10-18 11:08
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.87 points to 45.24% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 11:08
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.22 points to 31.0% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 11:08
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.95 to 2.09 (+7.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-18 11:08
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.26 to 3.05 (-6.4%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-18 09:31
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.75 points to 45.36% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 09:31
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.15 points to 30.93% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 09:31
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.95 to 2.08 (+6.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-18 07:58
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.3 points to 45.81% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 07:58
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.26 to 3.09 (-5.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-18 07:58
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.95 to 2.06 (+5.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-18 05:07
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.32 points to 45.79% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 05:07
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.26 to 3.08 (-5.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-18 03:12
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.36 points to 45.75% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 03:12
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.26 to 3.07 (-5.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-18 00:40
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.41 points to 45.7% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 00:40
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.26 to 3.06 (-6.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-17 22:15
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.38 points to 45.73% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 22:15
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.0 points to 30.78% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 19:05
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.41 points to 45.7% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 10:18
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.48 points to 45.63% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 10:18
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.04 points to 30.82% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 10:18
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.26 to 3.05 (-6.4%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-16 23:48
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.41 points to 45.7% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-16 23:48
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.26 to 3.06 (-6.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-16 13:47
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.29 points to 45.82% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-16 13:47
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.95 to 2.05 (+5.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-16 03:54
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.05 points to 46.06% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-16 03:54
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.95 to 2.04 (+4.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-16 03:54
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.26 to 3.08 (-5.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-15 09:51
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.08 points to 46.03% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 01:11
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.32 points to 45.79% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 01:11
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.95 to 2.05 (+5.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-15 01:11
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.26 to 3.06 (-6.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-14 16:11
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.46 points to 45.65% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 16:11
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.95 to 2.06 (+5.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-14 06:42
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.32 points to 45.79% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 06:42
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.95 to 2.05 (+5.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-13 21:14
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.34 points to 45.77% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-13 12:26
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.26 to 3.13 (-4.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-13 12:26
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.95 to 2.01 (+3.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-13 03:21
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.26 to 3.14 (-3.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-12 17:54
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.26 to 3.15 (-3.4%) - away side attracting more attention.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
10-12 05:20
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-16 03:54
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-18 14:44
Over Under Up LineOver Under

Overview Stats Title

1
Handicap Changes
1
Ou Changes
0
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
25
Total Records
7Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status　·　Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
10-12
10-13
10-14
10-15
10-16
10-17
10-18
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