UEFA Nations League

Spain vs Croatia Análisis de movimiento de cuotas | UEFA Nations League | 168 Tips

SpainSpain
VS
CroatiaCroatia
Hora de registro de apertura Última actualización 2026-09-29 20:53:16
Antes del partido - alta frecuencia Hasta el inicio

Instantánea

Última instantánea
Hándicap 7.69 -0.25 0.02
Más/Menos 7.69 5.5 0.02
Europa 1.22 | 6.89 | 11.73
Probabilidad 78.1% | 13.8% | 8.1%

Resumen de señales

Estado del mercado: Conflicto de mercado
Consenso de mercado
Mercado dominante
Las señales principales están divididas entre Cuotas Europeas,Probabilidad Implícita y Hándicap. Evidencia: 1.29 → 1.21
Acuerdo de mercado
Contradictorio
Cobertura de mercado
Hándicap · Más/Menos · Europa · Probabilidad
Evidencia de mercado
3
Señales de mercado
Fuerza ★★★☆☆ Las señales están divididas entre mercados. Monitoreo en vivo: Antes del partido - alta frecuencia Tiempo hasta el inicio: Hasta el inicio Último estado de mercado: 2026-09-29 20:53:16

💡 168 Tips Insight

PREMIUM
🔒
Premium Preview
In-depth market analysis & final prediction — coming soon.

Hándicap

de
ComentarioSe registró un gran cambio descendente en el hándicap.
Historial
09-24 21:500.83 -1.5 0.99Apertura
09-26 13:470.91 -1.75 0.91Línea sube
09-28 14:460.95 -2 0.93Línea sube
09-29 18:350.90 -1.75 0.99Línea baja
09-29 20:537.69 -0.25 0.02Línea baja
0.023.857.691713Home WaterAway Water-0.25
Cronología
09-24 21:50 Apertura
-1.5
09-26 13:47
-1.75
09-28 14:46
-2
09-29 18:35
-1.75
09-29 20:53
-0.25
09-29 20:53 Último
-0.25
13
Número de registros
4
Número de cambios
2
Número de ascensos
2
Número de descensos
Magnitud
★★★★★

Más/Menos

de
ComentarioLa línea de totales subió notablemente.
Historial
09-24 21:500.81 2.5/3 0.99Apertura
09-26 13:470.92 3 0.88Línea sube
09-28 14:461.01 3/3.5 0.87Línea sube
09-29 20:537.69 5.5 0.02Línea sube
0.023.857.691713OverUnder5.5
Cronología
09-24 21:50 Apertura
2.5/3(0.81 / 0.99)
09-26 13:47
3(0.92 / 0.88)
09-28 14:46
3/3.5(1.01 / 0.87)
09-29 20:53
5.5(7.69 / 0.02)
09-29 20:53 Último
5.5(7.69 / 0.02)
13
Número de registros
3
Número de cambios
3
Número de ascensos
0
Número de descensos
Magnitud
★★★★★

Europa

de
ComentarioSe registró un pequeño cambio descendente en el precio de victoria local.
Historial
09-24 21:501.29 / 5.35 / 9.58Apertura
09-26 13:471.25 / 5.96 / 10.32Cuota visitante sube
09-27 01:551.20 / 6.68 / 12.53Cuota visitante sube
09-29 08:181.21 / 6.86 / 11.98Cuota visitante baja
09-29 20:531.22 / 6.89 / 11.73Sin cambio
1.197.1313.11713HomeDrawAway
Cronología
09-24 21:50 Apertura
1.29 / 5.35 / 9.58
09-26 13:47
1.25 / 5.96 / 10.32
09-27 01:55
1.20 / 6.68 / 12.53
09-29 08:18
1.21 / 6.86 / 11.98
09-29 20:53 Último
1.22 / 6.89 / 11.73
13
Número de registros
3
Número de cambios
0
Cambio de cuota local
3
Cambio de cuota visitante
Magnitud
★★★★★

Probabilidad

de
ComentarioLa probabilidad implícita local subió en una pequeña cantidad.
Historial
09-24 21:5072.7% / 17.5% / 9.8%Apertura
09-27 01:5578.4% / 14.1% / 7.5%Prob. local sube
09-29 20:5378.1% / 13.8% / 8.1%Sin cambio
7.2343.379.41713Home%Draw%Away%
Cronología
09-24 21:50 Apertura
72.69%
09-27 01:55
78.41%
09-29 20:53 Último
78.06%
13
Número de registros
1
Número de cambios
+5.37%
Probabilidad local acumulada
±3.27%
Máx. movimiento único
Magnitud
★★★★★

Eventos

evento
09-29 18:35
🟢Prob. victoria local sube★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.8 points to 78.49% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-29 18:35
🔴Precio visitante sube★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 9.58 to 12.01 (+25.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-29 18:35
🟢Hándicap sube★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 1.5 to 1.5/2, up 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward home side.
09-29 18:35
🟢Precio local baja★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.29 to 1.21 (-6.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-29 18:35
🟢Total sube★★★☆☆
O/U line moved from 2.5/3 to 3/3.5, up 0.5 goals from opening - goal expectation rising notably.
09-29 15:10
🔴Prob. victoria visitante baja★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.09 points to 7.7% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-29 15:10
🟢Prob. victoria local sube★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.97 points to 78.66% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-29 15:10
🔴Precio visitante sube★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 9.58 to 12.36 (+29.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-29 15:10
🟢Hándicap sube★★☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 1.5 to 2, up 2 steps (0.5 goals) from opening - market backing home side strongly.
09-29 11:42
🟢Prob. victoria local sube★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.63 points to 78.32% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-29 11:42
🔴Precio visitante sube★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 9.58 to 12.04 (+25.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-29 08:18
🟢Prob. victoria local sube★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.59 points to 78.28% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-29 08:18
🔴Precio visitante sube★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 9.58 to 11.98 (+25.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-29 02:56
🔴Prob. victoria visitante baja★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.56 points to 7.23% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-29 02:56
🟢Prob. victoria local sube★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 6.75 points to 79.44% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-29 02:56
🔴Precio visitante sube★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 9.58 to 13.07 (+36.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-29 02:56
🟢Precio local baja★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.29 to 1.19 (-7.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-28 14:46
🔴Prob. victoria visitante baja★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.49 points to 7.3% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-28 14:46
🟢Prob. victoria local sube★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 6.48 points to 79.17% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-28 14:46
🔴Precio visitante sube★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 9.58 to 12.91 (+34.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-28 02:39
🔴Prob. victoria visitante baja★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.33 points to 7.46% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-28 02:39
🟢Prob. victoria local sube★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 6.09 points to 78.78% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-28 02:39
🔴Precio visitante sube★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 9.58 to 12.68 (+32.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-28 02:39
🟢Precio local baja★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.29 to 1.2 (-7.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-28 02:39
🟢Total sube★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 2.5/3 to 3, up 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly higher.
09-28 02:39
🟢Hándicap sube★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 1.5 to 1.5/2, up 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward home side.
09-27 14:07
🔴Prob. victoria visitante baja★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.24 points to 7.55% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-27 14:07
🟢Prob. victoria local sube★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.86 points to 78.55% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-27 14:07
🔴Precio visitante sube★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 9.58 to 12.48 (+30.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-27 01:55
🔴Prob. victoria visitante baja★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.28 points to 7.51% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-27 01:55
🟢Prob. victoria local sube★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.72 points to 78.41% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-27 01:55
🔴Precio visitante sube★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 9.58 to 12.53 (+30.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-26 13:47
🟢Prob. victoria local sube★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.45 points to 75.14% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-26 13:47
🔴Precio visitante sube★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 9.58 to 10.32 (+7.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-26 13:47
🟢Precio local baja★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.29 to 1.25 (-3.1%) - away side attracting more attention.

Resumen

Todos los módulos
09-24 21:50
Registro de aperturaApertura
09-26 13:47
Hándicap Línea subeHándicap
09-26 13:47
Más/Menos Línea subeMás/Menos
09-26 13:47
Europa Cuota visitante subeEuropa
09-27 01:55
Europa Cuota visitante subeEuropa
09-27 01:55
Cambio de probabilidadProb. local subeProbabilidad
09-28 14:46
Hándicap Línea subeHándicap
09-28 14:46
Más/Menos Línea subeMás/Menos
09-29 08:18
Europa Cuota visitante bajaEuropa
09-29 18:35
Hándicap Línea bajaHándicap
09-29 20:53
Hándicap Línea bajaHándicap
09-29 20:53
Más/Menos Línea subeMás/Menos

Estadísticas generales

4
Cambios de hándicap
3
Cambios de Más/Menos
3
Cambios de cuotas
1
Cambios de probabilidad
13
Total de registros
6día
Días de monitoreo
★★★★★
Actividad de mercado
Alta frecuencia
Nivel de monitoreo
Antes del partido - alta frecuencia
Estado actual · Hasta el inicio
Cambio de calor del mercado
09-24
09-25
09-26
09-27
09-28
09-29