SL Benfica vs Vitória SC Análisis de movimiento de cuotas | Primeira Liga | 168 Tips

Primeira Liga 2026-10-12 01:00
SL BenficaSL Benfica
VS
Vitória SCVitória SC
Hora de registro de apertura Última actualización 2026-10-11 16:35:20
Antes del partido - alta frecuencia Hasta el inicio

Instantánea

Última instantánea
Hándicap 0.83 -1.75 1.06
Más/Menos 0.88 3/3.5 0.98
Europa 1.22 | 6.28 | 10.68
Probabilidad 76.4% | 14.8% | 8.7%

Resumen de señales

Estado del mercado: Mercado en movimiento
Consenso de mercado
Mercado dominante
Hándicap,Probabilidad Implícita ambos indican movimiento hacia equipo local. Evidencia: 73.04 → 76.63
Acuerdo de mercado
Mixto
Cobertura de mercado
Hándicap · Más/Menos · Europa
Evidencia de mercado
3
Señales de mercado
Fuerza ★★☆☆☆ Las señales de los mercados principales apuntan en la misma dirección. Monitoreo en vivo: Antes del partido - alta frecuencia Tiempo hasta el inicio: Hasta el inicio Último estado de mercado: 2026-10-11 16:35:20

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Hándicap

de
ComentarioEl hándicap subió un nivel respecto a la observación anterior.
Historial
10-04 08:510.81 -1.5 1.01Apertura
10-05 21:360.92 -1.75 0.90Línea sube
10-10 18:291.03 -2 0.85Línea sube
10-11 09:530.85 -1.75 1.04Línea baja
10-11 16:350.83 -1.75 1.06Sin cambio
0.810.941.0611528Home WaterAway Water-1.75
Cronología
10-04 08:51 Apertura
-1.5
10-05 21:36
-1.75
10-10 18:29
-2
10-11 09:53
-1.75
10-11 16:35 Último
-1.75
28
Número de registros
3
Número de cambios
2
Número de ascensos
1
Número de descensos
Magnitud
★★★★★

Más/Menos

de
ComentarioSe registró un pequeño cambio ascendente en la línea de goles totales.
Historial
10-04 08:510.82 3 0.98Apertura
10-05 21:361.01 3/3.5 0.79Línea sube
10-11 16:350.88 3/3.5 0.98Sin cambio
0.790.901.0111528OverUnder3/3.5
Cronología
10-04 08:51 Apertura
3(0.82 / 0.98)
10-05 21:36
3/3.5(1.01 / 0.79)
10-11 16:35 Último
3/3.5(0.88 / 0.98)
28
Número de registros
1
Número de cambios
1
Número de ascensos
0
Número de descensos
Magnitud
★★★★★

Europa

de
ComentarioAún no se ha registrado movimiento significativo de precio 1X2.
Historial
10-04 08:511.27 / 5.40 / 9.48Apertura
10-11 12:231.23 / 6.16 / 10.86Cuota visitante baja
10-11 16:351.22 / 6.28 / 10.68Sin cambio
1.196.8412.511528HomeDrawAway
Cronología
10-04 08:51 Apertura
1.27 / 5.40 / 9.48
10-11 12:23
1.23 / 6.16 / 10.86
10-11 16:35 Último
1.22 / 6.28 / 10.68
28
Número de registros
1
Número de cambios
0
Cambio de cuota local
1
Cambio de cuota visitante
Magnitud
★★★★★

Probabilidad

de
ComentarioSe registró un pequeño cambio ascendente en la probabilidad implícita local.
Historial
10-04 08:5173.0% / 17.2% / 9.8%Apertura
10-11 16:3576.4% / 14.8% / 8.7%Sin cambio
7.4742.978.411528Home%Draw%Away%
Cronología
10-04 08:51 Apertura
73.04%
10-11 16:35 Último
76.42%
28
Número de registros
0
Número de cambios
+3.38%
Probabilidad local acumulada
±1.93%
Máx. movimiento único
Magnitud
Sin cambio

Eventos

evento
10-11 14:44
🟢Prob. victoria local sube★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.59 points to 76.63% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-11 14:44
🔴Precio visitante sube★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 9.48 to 11.18 (+17.9%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-11 14:44
🟢Precio local baja★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.27 to 1.22 (-3.9%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-11 14:44
🟢Hándicap sube★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 1.5 to 1.5/2, up 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward home side.
10-11 14:44
🟢Total sube★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 3 to 3/3.5, up 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly higher.
10-11 12:23
🟢Prob. victoria local sube★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.13 points to 76.17% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-11 12:23
🔴Precio visitante sube★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 9.48 to 10.86 (+14.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-11 12:23
🟢Precio local baja★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.27 to 1.23 (-3.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-11 09:53
🔴Prob. victoria visitante baja★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.16 points to 7.62% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-11 09:53
🟢Prob. victoria local sube★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.06 points to 78.1% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-11 09:53
🔴Precio visitante sube★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 9.48 to 12.3 (+29.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-11 09:53
🟢Precio local baja★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.27 to 1.2 (-5.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-11 07:30
🔴Prob. victoria visitante baja★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.18 points to 7.6% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-11 07:30
🟢Prob. victoria local sube★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.13 points to 78.17% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-11 07:30
🔴Precio visitante sube★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 9.48 to 12.35 (+30.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-11 07:30
🟢Hándicap sube★★☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 1.5 to 2, up 2 steps (0.5 goals) from opening - market backing home side strongly.
10-11 05:20
🔴Prob. victoria visitante baja★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.29 points to 7.49% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-11 05:20
🟢Prob. victoria local sube★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.28 points to 78.32% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-11 05:20
🔴Precio visitante sube★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 9.48 to 12.44 (+31.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-11 05:20
🟢Precio local baja★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.27 to 1.19 (-6.3%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-11 02:35
🔴Prob. victoria visitante baja★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.3 points to 7.48% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-11 02:35
🟢Prob. victoria local sube★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.31 points to 78.35% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-11 02:35
🔴Precio visitante sube★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 9.48 to 12.47 (+31.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-11 00:42
🟢Prob. victoria local sube★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.32 points to 78.36% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-11 00:42
🔴Prob. victoria visitante baja★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.31 points to 7.47% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-11 00:42
🔴Precio visitante sube★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 9.48 to 12.49 (+31.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-10 22:50
🟢Prob. victoria local sube★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.34 points to 78.38% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-10 20:36
🔴Prob. victoria visitante baja★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.14 points to 7.64% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-10 20:36
🟢Prob. victoria local sube★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.98 points to 78.02% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-10 20:36
🔴Precio visitante sube★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 9.48 to 12.25 (+29.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-10 20:36
🟢Precio local baja★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.27 to 1.2 (-5.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-10 18:29
🔴Prob. victoria visitante baja★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.13 points to 7.65% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-10 18:29
🟢Prob. victoria local sube★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.97 points to 78.01% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-10 18:29
🔴Precio visitante sube★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 9.48 to 12.23 (+29.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-10 14:23
🟢Prob. victoria local sube★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.47 points to 77.51% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-10 14:23
🔴Precio visitante sube★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 9.48 to 11.76 (+24.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-10 14:23
🟢Hándicap sube★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 1.5 to 1.5/2, up 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward home side.
10-10 08:11
🟢Prob. victoria local sube★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.43 points to 77.47% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-10 08:11
🔴Precio visitante sube★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 9.48 to 11.74 (+23.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-09 22:29
🟢Prob. victoria local sube★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.37 points to 77.41% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-09 22:29
🔴Precio visitante sube★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 9.48 to 11.66 (+23.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-09 14:21
🟢Prob. victoria local sube★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.96 points to 77.0% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-09 14:21
🔴Precio visitante sube★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 9.48 to 11.48 (+21.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-09 14:21
🟢Precio local baja★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.27 to 1.21 (-4.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-09 04:14
🟢Prob. victoria local sube★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.98 points to 77.02% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-09 04:14
🔴Precio visitante sube★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 9.48 to 11.45 (+20.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-08 17:07
🟢Prob. victoria local sube★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.71 points to 76.75% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-08 17:07
🔴Precio visitante sube★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 9.48 to 11.23 (+18.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-08 07:02
🟢Prob. victoria local sube★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.21 points to 76.25% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-08 07:02
🔴Precio visitante sube★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 9.48 to 11.01 (+16.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-08 07:02
🟢Precio local baja★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.27 to 1.22 (-3.9%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-07 22:08
🟢Prob. victoria local sube★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.88 points to 75.92% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-07 22:08
🔴Precio visitante sube★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 9.48 to 11.03 (+16.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-07 22:08
🟢Precio local baja★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.27 to 1.23 (-3.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-07 13:05
🟢Prob. victoria local sube★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.15 points to 75.19% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-07 13:05
🔴Precio visitante sube★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 9.48 to 10.61 (+11.9%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-07 03:39
🟢Prob. victoria local sube★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.23 points to 75.27% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-07 03:39
🔴Precio visitante sube★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 9.48 to 10.64 (+12.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-06 17:27
🔴Precio visitante sube★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 9.48 to 10.48 (+10.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-06 07:37
🔴Precio visitante sube★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 9.48 to 10.29 (+8.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-05 21:36
🔴Precio visitante sube★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 9.48 to 10.03 (+5.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-05 12:18
🔴Precio visitante sube★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 9.48 to 9.96 (+5.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-05 03:29
🔴Precio visitante sube★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 9.48 to 9.83 (+3.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.

Resumen

Todos los módulos
10-04 08:51
Registro de aperturaApertura
10-05 21:36
Hándicap Línea subeHándicap
10-05 21:36
Más/Menos Línea subeMás/Menos
10-10 18:29
Hándicap Línea subeHándicap
10-11 09:53
Hándicap Línea bajaHándicap
10-11 12:23
Europa Cuota visitante bajaEuropa

Estadísticas generales

3
Cambios de hándicap
1
Cambios de Más/Menos
1
Cambios de cuotas
0
Cambios de probabilidad
28
Total de registros
8día
Días de monitoreo
★★★★★
Actividad de mercado
Alta frecuencia
Nivel de monitoreo
Antes del partido - alta frecuencia
Estado actual · Hasta el inicio
Cambio de calor del mercado
10-05
10-06
10-07
10-08
10-09
10-10
10-11
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