SL Benfica vs Vitória SC Odds Movement Analysis | Primeira Liga | 168 Tips

Primeira Liga 2026-10-12 01:00
SL BenficaSL Benfica
VS
Vitória SCVitória SC
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-11 16:35:20
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.83 -1.75 1.06
Over Under 0.88 3/3.5 0.98
Europe 1.22 | 6.28 | 10.68
Probability 76.4% | 14.8% | 8.7%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Handicap, Implied Probability are aligned toward the home side. Evidence Label: 73.04 → 76.63
Market State Agreement
Mixed
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
🟢 Handicap up ★☆☆☆☆🟢 Home win prob. up ★★☆☆☆🟢 Total up ★★☆☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Handicap up-1.5 → -1.752026-10-11 14:44:39★☆☆☆☆Home win prob. up73.04 → 76.632026-10-11 14:44:39★★☆☆☆
Independent Market Signals Title
Total up3 → 3/3.52026-10-11 14:44:39★★☆☆☆
Strength Label ★★☆☆☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-11 16:35:20

💡 168 Tips Insight

PREMIUM
🔒
Premium Preview
In-depth market analysis & final prediction — coming soon.

Key Movements Title

5
10-11 00:42Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line10-11 02:35Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line10-11 05:20Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line10-11 07:30Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line10-11 09:53Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap moved up one step from the previous observation.
History Title
10-04 08:510.81 -1.5 1.01Opening
10-05 21:360.92 -1.75 0.90Up Line
10-10 18:291.03 -2 0.85Up Line
10-11 09:530.85 -1.75 1.04Down Line
10-11 16:350.83 -1.75 1.06No Change
0.810.941.0611528Home WaterAway Water-1.75
Timeline Title
10-04 08:51 Opening
-1.5
10-05 21:36
-1.75
10-10 18:29
-2
10-11 09:53
-1.75
10-11 16:35 Latest
-1.75
28
Record Count
3
Change Count
2
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleA small upward change in the total-goals line was recorded.
History Title
10-04 08:510.82 3 0.98Opening
10-05 21:361.01 3/3.5 0.79Up Line
10-11 16:350.88 3/3.5 0.98No Change
0.790.901.0111528OverUnder3/3.5
Timeline Title
10-04 08:51 Opening
3（0.82 / 0.98）
10-05 21:36
3/3.5（1.01 / 0.79）
10-11 16:35 Latest
3/3.5（0.88 / 0.98）
28
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleNo significant 1X2 price movement recorded yet.
History Title
10-04 08:511.27 / 5.40 / 9.48Opening
10-11 12:231.23 / 6.16 / 10.86Away Odds Down
10-11 16:351.22 / 6.28 / 10.68No Change
1.196.8412.511528HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
10-04 08:51 Opening
1.27 / 5.40 / 9.48
10-11 12:23
1.23 / 6.16 / 10.86
10-11 16:35 Latest
1.22 / 6.28 / 10.68
28
Record Count
1
Change Count
0
Home Odds Change
1
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleThe home implied probability increased slightly from the opening observation.
History Title
10-04 08:5173.0% / 17.2% / 9.8%Opening
10-11 16:3576.4% / 14.8% / 8.7%No Change
7.4742.978.411528Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
10-04 08:51 Opening
73.04%
10-11 16:35 Latest
76.42%
28
Record Count
0
Change Count
+3.38%
Home Prob Cumulative
±1.93%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
10-11 14:44
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.59 points to 76.63% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-11 14:44
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 9.48 to 11.18 (+17.9%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-11 14:44
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.27 to 1.22 (-3.9%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-11 14:44
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 1.5 to 1.5/2, up 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward home side.
10-11 14:44
🟢Total up★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 3 to 3/3.5, up 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly higher.
10-11 12:23
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.13 points to 76.17% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-11 12:23
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 9.48 to 10.86 (+14.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-11 12:23
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.27 to 1.23 (-3.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-11 09:53
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.16 points to 7.62% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-11 09:53
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.06 points to 78.1% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-11 09:53
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 9.48 to 12.3 (+29.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-11 09:53
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.27 to 1.2 (-5.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-11 07:30
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.18 points to 7.6% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-11 07:30
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.13 points to 78.17% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-11 07:30
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 9.48 to 12.35 (+30.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-11 07:30
🟢Handicap up★★☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 1.5 to 2, up 2 steps (0.5 goals) from opening - market backing home side strongly.
10-11 05:20
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.29 points to 7.49% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-11 05:20
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.28 points to 78.32% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-11 05:20
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 9.48 to 12.44 (+31.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-11 05:20
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.27 to 1.19 (-6.3%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-11 02:35
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.3 points to 7.48% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-11 02:35
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.31 points to 78.35% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-11 02:35
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 9.48 to 12.47 (+31.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-11 00:42
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.32 points to 78.36% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-11 00:42
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.31 points to 7.47% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-11 00:42
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 9.48 to 12.49 (+31.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-10 22:50
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.34 points to 78.38% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-10 20:36
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.14 points to 7.64% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-10 20:36
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.98 points to 78.02% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-10 20:36
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 9.48 to 12.25 (+29.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-10 20:36
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.27 to 1.2 (-5.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-10 18:29
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.13 points to 7.65% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-10 18:29
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.97 points to 78.01% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-10 18:29
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 9.48 to 12.23 (+29.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-10 14:23
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.47 points to 77.51% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-10 14:23
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 9.48 to 11.76 (+24.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-10 14:23
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 1.5 to 1.5/2, up 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward home side.
10-10 08:11
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.43 points to 77.47% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-10 08:11
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 9.48 to 11.74 (+23.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-09 22:29
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.37 points to 77.41% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-09 22:29
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 9.48 to 11.66 (+23.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-09 14:21
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.96 points to 77.0% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-09 14:21
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 9.48 to 11.48 (+21.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-09 14:21
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.27 to 1.21 (-4.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-09 04:14
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.98 points to 77.02% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-09 04:14
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 9.48 to 11.45 (+20.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-08 17:07
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.71 points to 76.75% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-08 17:07
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 9.48 to 11.23 (+18.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-08 07:02
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.21 points to 76.25% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-08 07:02
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 9.48 to 11.01 (+16.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-08 07:02
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.27 to 1.22 (-3.9%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-07 22:08
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.88 points to 75.92% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-07 22:08
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 9.48 to 11.03 (+16.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-07 22:08
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.27 to 1.23 (-3.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-07 13:05
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.15 points to 75.19% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-07 13:05
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 9.48 to 10.61 (+11.9%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-07 03:39
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.23 points to 75.27% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-07 03:39
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 9.48 to 10.64 (+12.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-06 17:27
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 9.48 to 10.48 (+10.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-06 07:37
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 9.48 to 10.29 (+8.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-05 21:36
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 9.48 to 10.03 (+5.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-05 12:18
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 9.48 to 9.96 (+5.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-05 03:29
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 9.48 to 9.83 (+3.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
10-04 08:51
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-05 21:36
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-05 21:36
Over Under Up LineOver Under
10-10 18:29
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-11 09:53
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-11 12:23
Europe Away Odds DownEurope

Overview Stats Title

3
Handicap Changes
1
Ou Changes
1
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
28
Total Records
8Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status　·　Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
10-05
10-06
10-07
10-08
10-09
10-10
10-11
Partners
Stake 🔥 Bet on this match at Stake — fast payouts, crypto accepted → BetWinner ⚡ Great odds on BetWinner — register now and claim your bonus → 1xBet 🎯 1xBet — widest market coverage, bet now →
Share This Match
𝕏 X / Twitter ✈ Telegram
Related Title
Rio Ave FC VS CD NacionalPrimeira Liga FC Arouca VS Estrela da AmadoraPrimeira Liga FC Famalicão VS Al-Wakrah SCPrimeira Liga Southampton FC VS Portsmouth FCEFL Championship Motherwell FC VS Celtic FCScottish Premiership

Upcoming Primeira Liga Matches