RC Celta de Vigo vs Deportivo Alavés Análisis de movimiento de cuotas | La Liga | 168 Tips

La Liga 2026-10-18 22:15
RC Celta de VigoRC Celta de Vigo
VS
Deportivo AlavésDeportivo Alavés
Hora de registro de apertura Última actualización 2026-10-18 13:14:04
Antes del partido - alta frecuencia Hasta el inicio
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Instantánea

Última instantánea
Hándicap 0.98 -0.25 0.91
Más/Menos 0.90 2 0.98
Europa 2.26 | 3.11 | 3.41
Probabilidad 41.9% | 30.4% | 27.7%

Resumen de señales

Estado del mercado: Mercado en movimiento
Consenso de mercado
Mercado dominante
Los mercados principales están alineados hacia el lado visitante. Evidencia: 1.99 → 2.24
Acuerdo de mercado
Alineado
Cobertura de mercado
Hándicap · Más/Menos · Europa
Evidencia de mercado
4
Señales de mercado
🔴 Hándicap baja ★☆☆☆☆🔴 Precio local sube ★★★★☆🔴 Prob. victoria local baja ★★★☆☆🔴 Total baja ★★☆☆☆
Señales de apoyo
Hándicap baja-0.5 → -0.252026-10-18 11:00:56★☆☆☆☆Precio local sube1.99 → 2.242026-10-18 11:00:56★★★★☆Prob. victoria local baja47.03 → 42.222026-10-18 11:00:56★★★☆☆
Señales de mercado independientes
Total baja2/2.5 → 22026-10-18 11:00:56★★☆☆☆
Fuerza ★★★★☆ Las señales de los mercados principales apuntan en la misma dirección. Monitoreo en vivo: Antes del partido - alta frecuencia Tiempo hasta el inicio: Hasta el inicio Último estado de mercado: 2026-10-18 13:14:04

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Movimientos clave

5
10-18 11:00Precio local sube★★★★☆Línea de movimiento clave10-18 09:26Precio local sube★★★★☆Línea de movimiento clave10-18 05:02Precio local sube★★★★☆Línea de movimiento clave10-18 03:07Precio local sube★★★☆☆Línea de movimiento clave10-17 17:40Precio local sube★★★☆☆Línea de movimiento clave
Ver cronología

Hándicap

de
ComentarioLa línea de hándicap se movió un nivel hacia abajo.
Historial
10-12 05:121.01 -0.5 0.87Apertura
10-13 16:350.81 -0.25 1.07Línea baja
10-18 13:140.98 -0.25 0.91Sin cambio
0.810.961.1011427Home WaterAway Water-0.25
Cronología
10-12 05:12 Apertura
-0.5
10-13 16:35
-0.25
10-18 13:14 Último
-0.25
27
Número de registros
1
Número de cambios
0
Número de ascensos
1
Número de descensos
Magnitud
★★★★★

Más/Menos

de
ComentarioLa línea más/menos bajó ligeramente.
Historial
10-12 05:120.87 2/2.5 1.01Apertura
10-18 07:530.89 2 0.99Línea baja
10-18 13:140.90 2 0.98Sin cambio
0.820.941.0611427OverUnder2
Cronología
10-12 05:12 Apertura
2/2.5（0.87 / 1.01）
10-18 07:53
2（0.89 / 0.99）
10-18 13:14 Último
2（0.90 / 0.98）
27
Número de registros
1
Número de cambios
0
Número de ascensos
1
Número de descensos
Magnitud
★★★★★

Europa

de
ComentarioEl precio 1X2 local aumentó en una cantidad moderada.
Historial
10-12 05:121.99 / 3.35 / 3.74Apertura
10-13 16:352.09 / 3.24 / 3.59Cuota local sube
10-18 13:142.26 / 3.11 / 3.41Sin cambio
1.992.873.7411427HomeDrawAway
Cronología
10-12 05:12 Apertura
1.99 / 3.35 / 3.74
10-13 16:35
2.09 / 3.24 / 3.59
10-18 13:14 Último
2.26 / 3.11 / 3.41
27
Número de registros
1
Número de cambios
1
Cambio de cuota local
0
Cambio de cuota visitante
Magnitud
★★★★★

Probabilidad

de
ComentarioSe registró un pequeño cambio descendente en la probabilidad implícita local.
Historial
10-12 05:1247.0% / 27.9% / 25.0%Apertura
10-18 13:1441.9% / 30.4% / 27.7%Sin cambio
25.036.047.111427Home%Draw%Away%
Cronología
10-12 05:12 Apertura
47.03%
10-18 13:14 Último
41.85%
27
Número de registros
0
Número de cambios
-5.18%
Probabilidad local acumulada
±2.10%
Máx. movimiento único
Magnitud
Sin cambio

Eventos

evento
10-18 11:00
🟢Prob. victoria visitante sube★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.54 points to 27.57% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 11:00
🔴Prob. victoria local baja★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 4.81 points to 42.22% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 11:00
🟢Precio visitante baja★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.74 to 3.43 (-8.3%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-18 11:00
🔴Precio local sube★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 1.99 to 2.24 (+12.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-18 11:00
🔴Total baja★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 2/2.5 to 2, down 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly lower.
10-18 11:00
🔴Hándicap baja★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 0.5 to 0/0.5, down 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward away side.
10-18 09:26
🟢Prob. victoria visitante sube★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.46 points to 27.49% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 09:26
🔴Prob. victoria local baja★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 4.63 points to 42.4% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 09:26
🟢Precio visitante baja★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.74 to 3.44 (-8.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-18 09:26
🔴Precio local sube★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 1.99 to 2.23 (+12.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-18 07:53
🟢Prob. victoria visitante sube★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.48 points to 27.51% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 07:53
🔴Prob. victoria local baja★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 4.59 points to 42.44% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 05:02
🟢Prob. victoria visitante sube★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.56 points to 27.59% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 05:02
🔴Prob. victoria local baja★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.82 points to 43.21% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 05:02
🟢Precio visitante baja★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.74 to 3.43 (-8.3%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-18 05:02
🔴Precio local sube★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 1.99 to 2.19 (+10.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-18 03:07
🟢Prob. victoria visitante sube★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.44 points to 27.47% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 03:07
🔴Prob. victoria local baja★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.68 points to 43.35% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 03:07
🟢Precio visitante baja★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.74 to 3.44 (-8.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-18 03:07
🔴Precio local sube★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.99 to 2.18 (+9.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-18 01:50
🟢Prob. victoria visitante sube★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.53 points to 27.56% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 01:50
🔴Prob. victoria local baja★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.67 points to 43.36% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 01:50
🟢Precio visitante baja★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.74 to 3.43 (-8.3%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-17 17:40
🟢Prob. victoria visitante sube★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.47 points to 27.5% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 17:40
🔴Prob. victoria local baja★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.56 points to 43.47% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 17:40
🔴Precio local sube★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.99 to 2.17 (+9.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-17 15:21
🟢Prob. victoria visitante sube★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.45 points to 27.48% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 15:21
🔴Prob. victoria local baja★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.6 points to 43.43% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 12:33
🟢Prob. victoria visitante sube★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.53 points to 27.56% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 12:33
🔴Prob. victoria local baja★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.59 points to 43.44% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 12:33
🟢Precio visitante baja★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.74 to 3.42 (-8.6%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-17 08:13
🟢Prob. victoria visitante sube★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.34 points to 27.37% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 08:13
🔴Prob. victoria local baja★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.64 points to 43.39% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 08:13
🟢Precio visitante baja★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.74 to 3.44 (-8.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-16 21:44
🟢Prob. victoria visitante sube★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.23 points to 27.26% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-16 21:44
🔴Prob. victoria local baja★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.49 points to 43.54% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-16 21:44
🟢Precio visitante baja★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.74 to 3.45 (-7.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-16 21:44
🔴Precio local sube★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.99 to 2.16 (+8.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-16 16:15
🟢Prob. victoria visitante sube★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.08 points to 27.11% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-16 16:15
🔴Prob. victoria local baja★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.27 points to 43.76% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-16 16:15
🟢Precio visitante baja★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.74 to 3.47 (-7.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-16 16:15
🔴Precio local sube★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.99 to 2.15 (+8.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-16 09:17
🔴Prob. victoria local baja★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.46 points to 44.57% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-16 09:17
🟢Precio visitante baja★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.74 to 3.55 (-5.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-16 09:17
🔴Precio local sube★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.99 to 2.11 (+6.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-16 00:29
🔴Prob. victoria local baja★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.5 points to 44.53% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 15:39
🔴Prob. victoria local baja★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.31 points to 44.72% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 15:39
🟢Precio visitante baja★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.74 to 3.57 (-4.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-15 15:39
🔴Precio local sube★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.99 to 2.1 (+5.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-15 06:04
🔴Prob. victoria local baja★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.35 points to 44.68% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 06:04
🟢Precio visitante baja★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.74 to 3.56 (-4.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-14 11:19
🔴Prob. victoria local baja★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.31 points to 44.72% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 11:19
🟢Precio visitante baja★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.74 to 3.57 (-4.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-14 01:18
🔴Prob. victoria local baja★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.28 points to 44.75% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 01:18
🟢Precio visitante baja★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.74 to 3.58 (-4.3%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-13 16:35
🔴Prob. victoria local baja★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.13 points to 44.9% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-13 16:35
🟢Precio visitante baja★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.74 to 3.59 (-4.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-13 16:35
🔴Precio local sube★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.99 to 2.09 (+5.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.

Resumen

Todos los módulos
10-12 05:12
Registro de aperturaApertura
10-13 16:35
Hándicap Línea bajaHándicap
10-13 16:35
Europa Cuota local subeEuropa
10-18 07:53
Más/Menos Línea bajaMás/Menos

Estadísticas generales

1
Cambios de hándicap
1
Cambios de Más/Menos
1
Cambios de cuotas
0
Cambios de probabilidad
27
Total de registros
7día
Días de monitoreo
★★★★★
Actividad de mercado
Alta frecuencia
Nivel de monitoreo
Antes del partido - alta frecuencia
Estado actual　·　Hasta el inicio
Cambio de calor del mercado
10-12
10-13
10-14
10-15
10-16
10-17
10-18
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