RC Celta de Vigo vs Deportivo Alavés Odds Movement Analysis | La Liga | 168 Tips

La Liga 2026-10-18 22:15
RC Celta de VigoRC Celta de Vigo
VS
Deportivo AlavésDeportivo Alavés
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-18 13:14:04
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.98 -0.25 0.91
Over Under 0.90 2 0.98
Europe 2.26 | 3.11 | 3.41
Probability 41.9% | 30.4% | 27.7%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Handicap, 1X2 price, and implied probability all indicate movement toward the away side. Evidence Label: 1.99 → 2.24
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe
Market State Evidence
4
Market Signals Title
🔴 Handicap down ★☆☆☆☆🔴 Home price up ★★★★☆🔴 Home win prob. down ★★★☆☆🔴 Total down ★★☆☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Handicap down-0.5 → -0.252026-10-18 11:00:56★☆☆☆☆Home price up1.99 → 2.242026-10-18 11:00:56★★★★☆Home win prob. down47.03 → 42.222026-10-18 11:00:56★★★☆☆
Independent Market Signals Title
Total down2/2.5 → 22026-10-18 11:00:56★★☆☆☆
Strength Label ★★★★☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-18 13:14:04

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Key Movements Title

5
10-18 11:00Home price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-18 09:26Home price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-18 05:02Home price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-18 03:07Home price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line10-17 17:40Home price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap moved down one step from the previous observation.
History Title
10-12 05:121.01 -0.5 0.87Opening
10-13 16:350.81 -0.25 1.07Down Line
10-18 13:140.98 -0.25 0.91No Change
0.810.961.1011427Home WaterAway Water-0.25
Timeline Title
10-12 05:12 Opening
-0.5
10-13 16:35
-0.25
10-18 13:14 Latest
-0.25
27
Record Count
1
Change Count
0
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe observed total line moved to a lower level.
History Title
10-12 05:120.87 2/2.5 1.01Opening
10-18 07:530.89 2 0.99Down Line
10-18 13:140.90 2 0.98No Change
0.820.941.0611427OverUnder2
Timeline Title
10-12 05:12 Opening
2/2.5（0.87 / 1.01）
10-18 07:53
2（0.89 / 0.99）
10-18 13:14 Latest
2（0.90 / 0.98）
27
Record Count
1
Change Count
0
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home-win price moved up noticeably from the opening observation.
History Title
10-12 05:121.99 / 3.35 / 3.74Opening
10-13 16:352.09 / 3.24 / 3.59Home Odds Up
10-18 13:142.26 / 3.11 / 3.41No Change
1.992.873.7411427HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
10-12 05:12 Opening
1.99 / 3.35 / 3.74
10-13 16:35
2.09 / 3.24 / 3.59
10-18 13:14 Latest
2.26 / 3.11 / 3.41
27
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleHome implied probability moved down by a small amount.
History Title
10-12 05:1247.0% / 27.9% / 25.0%Opening
10-18 13:1441.9% / 30.4% / 27.7%No Change
25.036.047.111427Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
10-12 05:12 Opening
47.03%
10-18 13:14 Latest
41.85%
27
Record Count
0
Change Count
-5.18%
Home Prob Cumulative
±2.10%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
10-18 11:00
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.54 points to 27.57% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 11:00
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 4.81 points to 42.22% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 11:00
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.74 to 3.43 (-8.3%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-18 11:00
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 1.99 to 2.24 (+12.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-18 11:00
🔴Total down★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 2/2.5 to 2, down 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly lower.
10-18 11:00
🔴Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 0.5 to 0/0.5, down 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward away side.
10-18 09:26
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.46 points to 27.49% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 09:26
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 4.63 points to 42.4% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 09:26
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.74 to 3.44 (-8.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-18 09:26
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 1.99 to 2.23 (+12.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-18 07:53
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.48 points to 27.51% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 07:53
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 4.59 points to 42.44% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 05:02
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.56 points to 27.59% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 05:02
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.82 points to 43.21% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 05:02
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.74 to 3.43 (-8.3%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-18 05:02
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 1.99 to 2.19 (+10.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-18 03:07
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.44 points to 27.47% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 03:07
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.68 points to 43.35% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 03:07
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.74 to 3.44 (-8.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-18 03:07
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.99 to 2.18 (+9.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-18 01:50
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.53 points to 27.56% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 01:50
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.67 points to 43.36% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 01:50
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.74 to 3.43 (-8.3%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-17 17:40
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.47 points to 27.5% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 17:40
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.56 points to 43.47% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 17:40
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.99 to 2.17 (+9.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-17 15:21
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.45 points to 27.48% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 15:21
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.6 points to 43.43% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 12:33
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.53 points to 27.56% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 12:33
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.59 points to 43.44% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 12:33
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.74 to 3.42 (-8.6%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-17 08:13
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.34 points to 27.37% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 08:13
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.64 points to 43.39% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 08:13
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.74 to 3.44 (-8.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-16 21:44
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.23 points to 27.26% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-16 21:44
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.49 points to 43.54% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-16 21:44
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.74 to 3.45 (-7.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-16 21:44
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.99 to 2.16 (+8.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-16 16:15
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.08 points to 27.11% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-16 16:15
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.27 points to 43.76% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-16 16:15
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.74 to 3.47 (-7.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-16 16:15
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.99 to 2.15 (+8.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-16 09:17
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.46 points to 44.57% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-16 09:17
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.74 to 3.55 (-5.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-16 09:17
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.99 to 2.11 (+6.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-16 00:29
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.5 points to 44.53% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 15:39
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.31 points to 44.72% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 15:39
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.74 to 3.57 (-4.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-15 15:39
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.99 to 2.1 (+5.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-15 06:04
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.35 points to 44.68% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 06:04
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.74 to 3.56 (-4.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-14 11:19
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.31 points to 44.72% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 11:19
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.74 to 3.57 (-4.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-14 01:18
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.28 points to 44.75% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 01:18
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.74 to 3.58 (-4.3%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-13 16:35
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.13 points to 44.9% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-13 16:35
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.74 to 3.59 (-4.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-13 16:35
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.99 to 2.09 (+5.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
10-12 05:12
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-13 16:35
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-13 16:35
Europe Home Odds UpEurope
10-18 07:53
Over Under Down LineOver Under

Overview Stats Title

1
Handicap Changes
1
Ou Changes
1
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
27
Total Records
7Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status　·　Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
10-12
10-13
10-14
10-15
10-16
10-17
10-18
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