Villarreal CF vs RCD Espanyol Odds Movement Analysis | La Liga | 168.Tips

La Liga 2026-10-31 04:00
Villarreal CFVillarreal CF
VS
RCD EspanyolRCD Espanyol
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-30 19:27:15
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 1.03 -1.5 0.86
Over Under 0.91 3/3.5 0.98
Europe 1.39 | 5.21 | 7.03
Probability 68.3% | 18.2% | 13.5%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Three core directional markets show the same home-side direction. Evidence Label: 1.49 → 1.39
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe
Market State Evidence
4
Market Signals Title
🟢 Handicap up ★★☆☆☆🟢 Home price down ★★★☆☆🟢 Home win prob. up ★★★☆☆🟢 Total up ★★☆☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Handicap up-1 → -1.252026-10-30 17:20:25★★☆☆☆Home price down1.49 → 1.392026-10-30 17:20:25★★★☆☆Home win prob. up63.0 → 67.962026-10-30 17:20:25★★★☆☆
Independent Market Signals Title
Total up3 → 3/3.52026-10-30 17:20:25★★☆☆☆
Strength Label ★★★☆☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-30 19:27:15

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Key Movements Title

5
10-30 17:20Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line10-30 14:40Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line10-30 11:55Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line10-30 08:04Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line10-30 05:55Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleTwo upward handicap changes were recorded over the observed period.
History Title
10-26 03:020.83 -1 1.05Opening
10-26 20:440.99 -1.25 0.89Up Line
10-29 08:361.27 -1.5 0.74Up Line
10-29 12:210.91 -1.25 0.97Down Line
10-30 19:271.03 -1.5 0.86Up Line
0.741.001.2711426Home WaterAway Water-1.5
Timeline Title
10-26 03:02 Opening
-1
10-26 20:44
-1.25
10-29 08:36
-1.5
10-29 12:21
-1.25
10-30 19:27
-1.5
10-30 19:27 Latest
-1.5
26
Record Count
4
Change Count
3
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe Over/Under line moved up slightly from the previous observation.
History Title
10-26 03:020.90 3 0.98Opening
10-29 08:361.13 3/3.5 0.84Up Line
10-30 19:270.91 3/3.5 0.98No Change
0.800.961.1311426OverUnder3/3.5
Timeline Title
10-26 03:02 Opening
3（0.90 / 0.98）
10-29 08:36
3/3.5（1.13 / 0.84）
10-30 19:27 Latest
3/3.5（0.91 / 0.98）
26
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home-win price moved down slightly from the opening observation.
History Title
10-26 03:021.49 / 4.56 / 5.72Opening
10-26 20:441.45 / 4.72 / 6.13Away Odds Up
10-30 19:271.39 / 5.21 / 7.03No Change
1.394.217.0311426HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
10-26 03:02 Opening
1.49 / 4.56 / 5.72
10-26 20:44
1.45 / 4.72 / 6.13
10-30 19:27 Latest
1.39 / 5.21 / 7.03
26
Record Count
1
Change Count
0
Home Odds Change
1
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleA small upward change in home implied probability was recorded.
History Title
10-26 03:0263.0% / 20.6% / 16.4%Opening
10-30 19:2768.3% / 18.2% / 13.5%No Change
13.540.968.311426Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
10-26 03:02 Opening
63.00%
10-30 19:27 Latest
68.28%
26
Record Count
0
Change Count
+5.28%
Home Prob Cumulative
±1.74%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
10-30 17:20
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.68 points to 13.73% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-30 17:20
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.96 points to 67.96% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-30 17:20
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 5.72 to 6.88 (+20.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-30 17:20
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.49 to 1.39 (-6.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-30 17:20
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 1 to 1/1.5, up 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward home side.
10-30 17:20
🟢Total up★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 3 to 3/3.5, up 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly higher.
10-30 14:40
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.46 points to 13.95% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-30 14:40
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.63 points to 67.63% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-30 14:40
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 5.72 to 6.79 (+18.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-30 14:40
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.49 to 1.4 (-6.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-30 11:55
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.26 points to 14.15% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-30 11:55
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.23 points to 67.23% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-30 11:55
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 5.72 to 6.7 (+17.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-30 11:55
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.49 to 1.41 (-5.4%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-30 10:00
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.28 points to 14.13% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-30 10:00
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.15 points to 67.15% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-30 08:04
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.29 points to 14.12% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-30 08:04
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.99 points to 66.99% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-30 08:04
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 5.72 to 6.69 (+17.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-30 05:55
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.26 points to 14.15% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-30 05:55
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.94 points to 66.94% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-30 05:55
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 5.72 to 6.67 (+16.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-30 04:47
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.88 points to 66.88% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-30 04:47
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.23 points to 14.18% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-30 04:47
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 5.72 to 6.65 (+16.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-30 02:46
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.86 points to 66.86% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-30 01:10
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.2 points to 14.21% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-30 01:10
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.83 points to 66.83% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-30 01:10
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 5.72 to 6.63 (+15.9%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-29 23:49
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.18 points to 14.23% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-29 23:49
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.81 points to 66.81% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-29 23:49
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 5.72 to 6.62 (+15.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-29 22:27
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.17 points to 14.24% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-29 22:27
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.77 points to 66.77% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-29 22:27
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 5.72 to 6.61 (+15.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-29 20:47
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.13 points to 14.28% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-29 20:47
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.75 points to 66.75% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-29 20:47
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 5.72 to 6.59 (+15.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-29 16:53
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.2 points to 66.2% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-29 16:53
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 5.72 to 6.45 (+12.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-29 16:53
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.49 to 1.42 (-4.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-29 12:21
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.01 points to 66.01% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-29 12:21
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 5.72 to 6.48 (+13.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-29 12:21
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.49 to 1.43 (-4.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-29 08:36
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.97 points to 65.97% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-29 08:36
🟢Handicap up★★☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 1 to 1.5, up 2 steps (0.5 goals) from opening - market backing home side strongly.
10-29 08:36
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 5.72 to 6.45 (+12.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-29 02:31
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.99 points to 65.99% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-29 02:31
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 1 to 1/1.5, up 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward home side.
10-28 22:47
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.97 points to 65.97% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 19:25
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.94 points to 65.94% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-28 19:25
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 5.72 to 6.43 (+12.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-28 11:01
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.91 points to 65.91% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 22:48
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.77 points to 65.77% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 22:48
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 5.72 to 6.37 (+11.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-27 13:53
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.17 points to 65.17% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 13:53
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 5.72 to 6.21 (+8.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-27 13:53
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.49 to 1.44 (-3.4%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-27 05:07
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 5.72 to 6.18 (+8.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-26 20:44
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 5.72 to 6.13 (+7.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
10-26 03:02
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-26 20:44
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-26 20:44
Europe Away Odds UpEurope
10-29 08:36
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-29 08:36
Over Under Up LineOver Under
10-29 12:21
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-30 19:27
Handicap Up LineHandicap

Overview Stats Title

4
Handicap Changes
1
Ou Changes
1
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
26
Total Records
5Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status　·　Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
10-26
10-27
10-28
10-29
10-30
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