Sevilla FC vs Deportivo Alavés Odds Movement Analysis | La Liga | 168.Tips

La Liga 2026-11-07 04:00
Sevilla FCSevilla FC
VS
Deportivo AlavésDeportivo Alavés
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-11-06 17:40:28
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.94 -0.5 0.95
Over Under 1.06 2/2.5 0.82
Europe 1.89 | 3.34 | 4.38
Probability 50.1% | 28.3% | 21.6%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Three core directional markets show the same home-side direction. Evidence Label: 2.06 → 1.85
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Europe
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
🟢 Handicap up ★☆☆☆☆🟢 Home price down ★★★☆☆🟢 Home win prob. up ★★☆☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Handicap up-0.25 → -0.52026-11-06 15:53:32★☆☆☆☆Home price down2.06 → 1.852026-11-06 15:53:32★★★☆☆Home win prob. up45.55 → 51.112026-11-06 15:53:32★★☆☆☆
Strength Label ★★★☆☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-11-06 17:40:28

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Key Movements Title

5
11-06 15:53Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line11-06 13:16Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line11-06 11:24Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line11-06 10:04Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line11-06 08:26Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap moved up one step from the previous observation.
History Title
10-30 07:320.81 -0.25 1.07Opening
11-05 11:220.94 -0.5 0.94Up Line
11-06 17:400.94 -0.5 0.95No Change
0.810.941.071611Home WaterAway Water-0.5
Timeline Title
10-30 07:32 Opening
-0.25
11-05 11:22
-0.5
11-06 17:40 Latest
-0.5
11
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleNo significant total (over/under) movement recorded yet.
History Title
10-30 07:320.98 2/2.5 0.90Opening
11-06 17:401.06 2/2.5 0.82No Change
0.820.941.061611OverUnder2/2.5
Timeline Title
10-30 07:32 Opening
2/2.5（0.98 / 0.90）
11-06 17:40 Latest
2/2.5（1.06 / 0.82）
11
Record Count
0
Change Count
0
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
No Change

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home 1X2 price decreased by a small amount.
History Title
10-30 07:322.06 / 3.25 / 3.67Opening
11-05 11:221.93 / 3.37 / 4.04Home Odds Down
11-06 17:401.89 / 3.34 / 4.38No Change
1.853.164.471611HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
10-30 07:32 Opening
2.06 / 3.25 / 3.67
11-05 11:22
1.93 / 3.37 / 4.04
11-06 17:40 Latest
1.89 / 3.34 / 4.38
11
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleA small upward change in home implied probability was recorded.
History Title
10-30 07:3245.5% / 28.9% / 25.6%Opening
11-06 17:4050.1% / 28.3% / 21.6%No Change
21.136.151.11611Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
10-30 07:32 Opening
45.55%
11-06 17:40 Latest
50.07%
11
Record Count
0
Change Count
+4.52%
Home Prob Cumulative
±2.73%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
11-06 15:53
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.42 points to 21.15% - market probability distribution shifted.
11-06 15:53
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.56 points to 51.11% - market probability distribution shifted.
11-06 15:53
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 3.67 to 4.47 (+21.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
11-06 15:53
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.06 to 1.85 (-10.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
11-06 15:53
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 0/0.5 to 0.5, up 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward home side.
11-06 13:16
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.29 points to 21.28% - market probability distribution shifted.
11-06 13:16
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.53 points to 51.08% - market probability distribution shifted.
11-06 13:16
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 3.67 to 4.44 (+21.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
11-06 11:24
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.8 points to 21.77% - market probability distribution shifted.
11-06 11:24
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.82 points to 50.37% - market probability distribution shifted.
11-06 11:24
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 3.67 to 4.35 (+18.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
11-06 11:24
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.06 to 1.88 (-8.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
11-06 10:04
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.66 points to 21.91% - market probability distribution shifted.
11-06 10:04
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.79 points to 50.34% - market probability distribution shifted.
11-06 10:04
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 3.67 to 4.32 (+17.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
11-06 08:26
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.47 points to 22.1% - market probability distribution shifted.
11-06 08:26
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.77 points to 50.32% - market probability distribution shifted.
11-06 08:26
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 3.67 to 4.28 (+16.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
11-06 03:23
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.85 points to 22.72% - market probability distribution shifted.
11-06 03:23
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.93 points to 49.48% - market probability distribution shifted.
11-06 03:23
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 3.67 to 4.16 (+13.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
11-06 03:23
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.06 to 1.91 (-7.3%) - away side attracting more attention.
11-05 11:22
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.27 points to 23.3% - market probability distribution shifted.
11-05 11:22
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.22 points to 48.77% - market probability distribution shifted.
11-05 11:22
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 3.67 to 4.04 (+10.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
11-05 11:22
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.06 to 1.93 (-6.3%) - away side attracting more attention.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
10-30 07:32
Opening RecordOpening Short
11-05 11:22
Handicap Up LineHandicap
11-05 11:22
Europe Home Odds DownEurope

Overview Stats Title

1
Handicap Changes
0
Ou Changes
1
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
11
Total Records
8Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status　·　Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
10-30
10-31
11-05
11-06
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