VfL Bochum vs FSV Mainz 05 Odds Movement Analysis | DFB-Pokal | 168.Tips

DFB-Pokal 2026-10-28 01:00
VfL BochumVfL Bochum
VS
FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-27 16:22:25
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.83 +0.75 0.99
Over Under 0.80 3 1.00
Europe 4.55 | 4.00 | 1.66
Probability 20.5% | 23.3% | 56.2%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Only European Odds indicates movement toward the away side; the other core signals show no matching direction. Evidence Label: 4.0 → 4.89
Market State Agreement
Insufficient
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Europe
Market State Evidence
1
Market Signals Title
Strength Label ★★★★☆ There is not enough cross-market movement for a directional summary. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-27 16:22:25

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Handicap

Of
Comment TitleNo significant handicap movement recorded yet.
History Title
10-24 04:370.70 +0.75 1.13Opening
10-25 01:310.94 +0.75 0.88Home Water Up
10-27 07:390.88 +1 0.94Down Line
10-27 16:220.83 +0.75 0.99Up Line
0.700.911.1311223Home WaterAway Water+0.75
Timeline Title
10-24 04:37 Opening
+0.75
10-25 01:31
+0.75
10-27 07:39
+1
10-27 16:22
+0.75
10-27 16:22 Latest
+0.75
23
Record Count
3
Change Count
1
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe main total line was stable, with a change in the Over-side water.
History Title
10-24 04:370.98 3 0.82Opening
10-27 16:220.80 3 1.00No Change
0.800.901.0011223OverUnder3
Timeline Title
10-24 04:37 Opening
3(0.98 / 0.82)
10-27 16:22 Latest
3(0.80 / 1.00)
23
Record Count
0
Change Count
0
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
No Change

Europe

Of
Comment TitleA noticeable upward change in the home-win price was recorded.
History Title
10-24 04:374.00 / 3.75 / 1.76Opening
10-25 01:314.27 / 3.86 / 1.70Home Odds Up
10-27 07:394.78 / 4.07 / 1.61Home Odds Up
10-27 16:224.55 / 4.00 / 1.66Home Odds Down
1.583.305.0211223HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
10-24 04:37 Opening
4.00 / 3.75 / 1.76
10-25 01:31
4.27 / 3.86 / 1.70
10-27 07:39
4.78 / 4.07 / 1.61
10-27 16:22
4.55 / 4.00 / 1.66
10-27 16:22 Latest
4.55 / 4.00 / 1.66
23
Record Count
3
Change Count
3
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleNo significant win-probability movement recorded yet.
History Title
10-24 04:3723.0% / 24.6% / 52.4%Opening
10-27 16:2220.5% / 23.3% / 56.2%No Change
18.638.859.011223Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
10-24 04:37 Opening
23.04%
10-27 16:22 Latest
20.50%
23
Record Count
0
Change Count
-2.54%
Home Prob Cumulative
±1.45%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
10-27 15:13
🟢Away win prob. up★★★☆☆
Away win probability increased by 5.86 points to 58.23% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 15:13
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.99 points to 19.05% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 15:13
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 4.0 to 4.89 (+22.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-27 15:13
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.76 to 1.6 (-9.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-27 15:13
🔴Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from -0.5/-1 to -1, down 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward away side.
10-27 13:37
🟢Away win prob. up★★★☆☆
Away win probability increased by 5.76 points to 58.13% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 13:37
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.9 points to 19.14% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 13:37
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 4.0 to 4.86 (+21.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-27 12:26
🟢Away win prob. up★★★☆☆
Away win probability increased by 5.79 points to 58.16% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 12:26
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.89 points to 19.15% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 11:27
🟢Away win prob. up★★★☆☆
Away win probability increased by 6.58 points to 58.95% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 11:27
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 4.49 points to 18.55% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 11:27
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 4.0 to 5.02 (+25.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-27 11:27
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.76 to 1.58 (-10.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-27 10:29
🟢Away win prob. up★★★☆☆
Away win probability increased by 6.48 points to 58.85% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 10:29
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 4.41 points to 18.63% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 10:29
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 4.0 to 4.99 (+24.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-27 07:39
🟢Away win prob. up★★★☆☆
Away win probability increased by 5.35 points to 57.72% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 07:39
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.6 points to 19.44% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 07:39
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.76 to 1.61 (-8.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-27 07:39
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 4.0 to 4.78 (+19.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-27 04:00
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.89 points to 56.26% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 04:00
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.5 points to 20.54% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 04:00
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.76 to 1.65 (-6.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-27 04:00
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 4.0 to 4.52 (+13.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-27 00:55
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.65 points to 56.02% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 00:55
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.42 points to 20.62% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 00:55
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 4.0 to 4.51 (+12.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-27 00:55
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.76 to 1.66 (-5.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-26 23:25
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.61 points to 55.98% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-26 23:25
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.43 points to 20.61% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-26 22:09
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.56 points to 55.93% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-26 22:09
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.41 points to 20.63% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-26 22:09
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 4.0 to 4.5 (+12.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-26 18:58
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.3 points to 55.67% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-26 18:58
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.24 points to 20.8% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-26 18:58
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 4.0 to 4.47 (+11.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-26 18:58
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.76 to 1.67 (-5.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-26 17:42
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.27 points to 55.64% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-26 17:42
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.21 points to 20.83% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-26 17:42
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 4.0 to 4.46 (+11.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-26 14:27
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.06 points to 55.43% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-26 14:27
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.14 points to 20.9% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-26 14:27
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 4.0 to 4.43 (+10.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-26 10:50
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.03 points to 55.4% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-26 10:50
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.11 points to 20.93% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-26 10:50
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 4.0 to 4.42 (+10.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-26 07:09
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.06 points to 55.43% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-26 07:09
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.14 points to 20.9% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-26 07:09
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 4.0 to 4.43 (+10.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-26 02:38
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.03 points to 55.4% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-26 02:38
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.11 points to 20.93% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-26 02:38
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 4.0 to 4.42 (+10.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-25 21:00
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.01 points to 55.38% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-25 21:00
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.07 points to 20.97% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-25 21:00
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 4.0 to 4.41 (+10.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-25 17:27
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.03 points to 55.4% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-25 17:27
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.11 points to 20.93% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-25 17:27
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 4.0 to 4.42 (+10.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-25 11:09
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.97 points to 55.34% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-25 11:09
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.13 points to 20.91% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-25 01:31
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.02 points to 54.39% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-25 01:31
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.76 to 1.7 (-3.4%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-25 01:31
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 4.0 to 4.27 (+6.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
10-24 04:37
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-25 01:31
Handicap Home Water UpHandicap
10-25 01:31
Europe Home Odds UpEurope
10-27 07:39
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-27 07:39
Europe Home Odds UpEurope
10-27 16:22
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-27 16:22
Europe Home Odds DownEurope

Overview Stats Title

3
Handicap Changes
0
Ou Changes
3
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
23
Total Records
4Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status · Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
10-24
10-25
10-26
10-27
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