Groba Spachi vs FC Augsburg Odds Movement Analysis | DFB-Pokal | 168.Tips

DFB-Pokal 2026-10-28 01:00
Groba SpachiGroba Spachi
VS
FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-27 16:24:10
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.85 +2 0.97
Over Under 0.99 3.5/4 0.81
Europe 9.97 | 6.46 | 1.22
Probability 9.3% | 14.4% | 76.3%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
The core directional markets are aligned toward the away side. Evidence Label: 7.1 → 9.32
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under
Market State Evidence
4
Market Signals Title
🔴 Handicap down ★★☆☆☆🔴 Home price up ★★★★★🔴 Home win prob. down ★★☆☆☆🟢 Total up ★★★☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Handicap down+1.5 → +22026-10-27 15:16:44★★☆☆☆Home price up7.1 → 9.322026-10-27 13:40:07★★★★★Home win prob. down13.03 → 9.972026-10-27 13:40:07★★☆☆☆
Independent Market Signals Title
Total up3/3.5 → 3.5/42026-10-27 15:16:44★★★☆☆
Strength Label ★★★★★ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-27 16:24:10

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Key Movements Title

5
10-27 13:40Home price up★★★★★Key Movement Line10-27 12:28Home price up★★★★★Key Movement Line10-27 11:28Home price up★★★★★Key Movement Line10-27 10:31Home price up★★★★★Key Movement Line10-27 07:41Home price up★★★★★Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleTwo downward handicap changes were recorded over the observed period.
History Title
10-25 07:270.90 +1.5 0.92Opening
10-27 04:010.85 +1.75 0.97Down Line
10-27 12:280.80 +2 1.02Down Line
10-27 15:160.95 +2 0.87Away Water Down
10-27 16:240.85 +2 0.97No Change
0.800.911.0211223Home WaterAway Water+2
Timeline Title
10-25 07:27 Opening
+1.5
10-27 04:01
+1.75
10-27 12:28
+2
10-27 15:16
+2
10-27 16:24 Latest
+2
23
Record Count
3
Change Count
0
Up Count
2
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleA larger upward change in the total-goals line was recorded.
History Title
10-25 07:270.92 3/3.5 0.88Opening
10-27 07:410.98 3.5 0.82Up Line
10-27 15:160.99 3.5/4 0.81Up Line
10-27 16:240.99 3.5/4 0.81No Change
0.800.901.0011223OverUnder3.5/4
Timeline Title
10-25 07:27 Opening
3/3.5（0.92 / 0.88）
10-27 07:41
3.5（0.98 / 0.82）
10-27 15:16
3.5/4（0.99 / 0.81）
10-27 16:24 Latest
3.5/4（0.99 / 0.81）
23
Record Count
2
Change Count
2
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home-win price moved up materially from the opening observation.
History Title
10-25 07:277.10 / 5.31 / 1.33Opening
10-27 16:249.97 / 6.46 / 1.22No Change
1.225.609.9711223HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
10-25 07:27 Opening
7.10 / 5.31 / 1.33
10-27 16:24 Latest
9.97 / 6.46 / 1.22
23
Record Count
0
Change Count
0
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
No Change

Probability

Of
Comment TitleThe home implied probability decreased slightly from the opening observation.
History Title
10-25 07:2713.0% / 17.4% / 69.5%Opening
10-27 16:249.3% / 14.4% / 76.3%No Change
9.3342.876.311223Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
10-25 07:27 Opening
13.03%
10-27 16:24 Latest
9.33%
23
Record Count
0
Change Count
-3.70%
Home Prob Cumulative
±0.57%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
10-27 15:16
🟢Total up★★★☆☆
O/U line moved from 3/3.5 to 3.5/4, up 0.5 goals from opening - goal expectation rising notably.
10-27 15:16
🔴Handicap down★★☆☆☆
Handicap moved from -1.5 to -2, down 2 steps (0.5 goals) from opening - market momentum fading.
10-27 13:40
🟢Away win prob. up★★★☆☆
Away win probability increased by 5.41 points to 74.96% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 13:40
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.06 points to 9.97% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 13:40
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.33 to 1.24 (-6.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-27 13:40
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 7.1 to 9.32 (+31.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-27 13:40
🟢Total up★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 3/3.5 to 3.5, up 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly higher.
10-27 12:28
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 4.75 points to 74.3% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 12:28
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.81 points to 10.22% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 12:28
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.33 to 1.25 (-6.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-27 12:28
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 7.1 to 9.09 (+28.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-27 11:28
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.79 points to 73.34% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 11:28
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.35 points to 10.68% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 11:28
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.33 to 1.27 (-4.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-27 11:28
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 7.1 to 8.72 (+22.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-27 11:28
🔴Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from -1.5 to -1.5/-2, down 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward away side.
10-27 10:31
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.24 points to 72.79% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 10:31
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.08 points to 10.95% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 10:31
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 7.1 to 8.51 (+19.9%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-27 10:31
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.33 to 1.28 (-3.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-27 07:41
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.12 points to 72.67% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 07:41
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.05 points to 10.98% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 07:41
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 7.1 to 8.47 (+19.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-27 04:01
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.99 points to 72.54% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 04:01
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.0 points to 11.03% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 04:01
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 7.1 to 8.42 (+18.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-27 02:33
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.32 points to 71.87% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 02:33
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 7.1 to 8.07 (+13.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-27 02:33
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.33 to 1.29 (-3.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-27 00:08
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.31 points to 71.86% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-27 00:08
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 7.1 to 8.06 (+13.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-26 22:50
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.0 points to 71.55% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-26 22:50
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 7.1 to 7.98 (+12.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-26 21:33
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 7.1 to 7.93 (+11.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-26 19:31
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 7.1 to 7.9 (+11.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-26 18:21
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 7.1 to 7.89 (+11.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-26 17:01
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 7.1 to 7.8 (+9.9%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-26 13:08
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 7.1 to 7.45 (+4.9%) - market confidence in away side easing.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
10-25 07:27
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-27 04:01
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-27 07:41
Over Under Up LineOver Under
10-27 12:28
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-27 15:16
Handicap Away Water DownHandicap
10-27 15:16
Over Under Up LineOver Under

Overview Stats Title

3
Handicap Changes
2
Ou Changes
0
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
23
Total Records
3Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status　·　Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
10-25
10-26
10-27
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